Millwall vs Oxford United: match statistics
Millwall vs Oxford United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Millwall play Oxford United in Championship (England). The match date is 2 May 2026 at 13:30. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Millwall: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Oxford United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Millwall scores 1.33 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Oxford United scores 0.98 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.59 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Millwall 48%, Oxford United 52%. Over 2.5: Millwall 46%, Oxford United 46%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Millwall has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.27. Millwall: 12.9 shots per match, Oxford United: 11.9.
Match halves
Millwall: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.81. Oxford United: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.37.
Goals by minute
Millwall: 76-90+ (17 goals). Oxford United: 0-15 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Millwall are the favorites and I predict a home win (1). At home Millwall win 55% of matches and have a positive goal difference of +6, while Oxford win only 18% of away games and have a -9 goal difference, which gives a clear home advantage in season results. Offensively Millwall average 1.41 goals per home game with xG 1.54 and register 4.45 shots on target, whereas Oxford score 0.95 goals away with xG 1.08 and 2.68 shots on target. Defensively Millwall concede 1.14 goals at home with an opponent xG of 1.27 and keep 45% clean sheets, while Oxford concede 1.36 goals away with an opponent xG of 1.85 and only 14% clean sheets; additionally Oxford fail to score in 41% of away matches vs 18% for Millwall. Short-term form is similar (Millwall 1.6 points per game in last 5, Oxford 1.4), so Millwall’s superiority in quality of chances and defensive stability prevails.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Millwall | Oxford United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Millwall is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Millwall · 1.2 pts / match - Oxford United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Millwall is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Millwall · 0.98 goals / match - Oxford United
Millwall is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Millwall · 1.28 goals / match - Oxford United
Millwall scores in 79% of matches (38 of 48 matches), while Oxford United keeps a clean sheet in 17% (8 of 46 matches).
Oxford United scores in 59% of matches (27 of 46 matches), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 40% (19 of 48 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Millwall
Over / Under — Oxford United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Millwall is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Millwall · 1.13 pts / match - Oxford United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Millwall - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Oxford United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Millwall
Oxford United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Millwall | Liga | Oxford United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.40 | 2.59 | ▼ 2.26 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 57% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 50% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 25% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 71% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | ▼ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Millwall 0 - 1 - 0 Oxford United. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Millwall vs Oxford United?
The Championship match finished Millwall 2:0 Oxford United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Millwall vs Oxford United?
Millwall score 1.33 goals per game on average and Oxford United 0.98. The Championship average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Millwall's matches and 52% of Oxford United's.
What form are Millwall and Oxford United in?
Over the last 5 games Millwall have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Oxford United 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Millwall vs Oxford United?
The statistical background for Millwall vs Oxford United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.