Millwall vs Southampton: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Millwall played against Southampton in Championship (England). The game was played on November 29, 2025. Final score: 3:2.

Recent form

Millwall has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Southampton has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Millwall scores 1.12 goals per game and allows 1.35. Southampton scores 1.53 and allows 1.29. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 41% of Millwall's games and 76% of Southampton's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 65%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Southampton has the higher season xG average, 1.64 to 1.39 per game. Millwall takes 12.5 shots per game, while Southampton takes 14.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Millwall leads at halftime in 35% of its games and scores 0.47 goals per game after halftime. Southampton leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.65 after halftime.

When the teams score

Millwall's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For Southampton, it is minutes 16-30 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Championship games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
3 : 2
Second half

Game stats

41Possession (%)59
MillwallSouthampton
21Shots11
MillwallSouthampton
7Shots on target8
MillwallSouthampton
2.37xG1.52
MillwallSouthampton
9Corners6
MillwallSouthampton
78Dangerous attacks36
MillwallSouthampton
11Fouls6
MillwallSouthampton
1Cards2
MillwallSouthampton

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

MillwallSouthampton
1.12Goals scored / game1.53
MillwallSouthampton
1.35Goals allowed / game1.29
MillwallSouthampton
47%Average possession57%
MillwallSouthampton
3.76Shots on target / game5.12
MillwallSouthampton

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.47Shots per game14.65
MillwallSouthampton
3.76Shots on target5.12
MillwallSouthampton
9%Shot conversion10.4%
MillwallSouthampton
47%Possession57%
MillwallSouthampton
1.39xG for1.64
MillwallSouthampton
1.38xG against1.2
MillwallSouthampton

Shooting quality

Millwall: BalancedSouthampton: Dominant
MillwallSouthampton
Accuracy (shots on target)30%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Southampton is 140% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Millwall · 2.4 pts / game - Southampton

Millwall
DLDLW
Season result split
47% W24% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-5
1.65 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-3
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Southampton
LWWWW
Season result split
35% W35% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-6-5
1.41 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-3
Last 5 away
2-1-2
DLLWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Southampton is 37% better for: goals scored per game.

1.12 goals / game - Millwall · 1.53 goals / game - Southampton

Southampton is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.35 goals / game - Millwall · 1.29 goals / game - Southampton

Millwall scoring profile: very strong

Millwall scores in 76% of games (13 of 17 meczów), while Southampton keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 meczów).

Southampton scoring profile: very strong

Southampton scores in 82% of games (14 of 17 meczów), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 meczów).

19Goals scored (season)26
MillwallSouthampton
23Goals conceded (season)22
MillwallSouthampton
2.47Average goals per game2.82
MillwallSouthampton
5Goals scored (last 5)13
MillwallSouthampton
10Goals conceded (last 5)5
MillwallSouthampton

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal82%
MillwallSouthampton
29%2 goals41%
MillwallSouthampton
6%3 goals18%
MillwallSouthampton
0%4 goals6%
MillwallSouthampton

How often they concede at least...

65%1 goal82%
MillwallSouthampton
35%2 goals35%
MillwallSouthampton
24%3 goals12%
MillwallSouthampton
12%4 goals0%
MillwallSouthampton

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

57%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time29%
MillwallSouthampton
6%BTTS in both halves0%
MillwallSouthampton
12%Scored in both halves12%
MillwallSouthampton

BTTS and goal count

24%Min. 3 goals and BTTS59%
MillwallSouthampton
24%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
MillwallSouthampton
60%BTTS - last 560%
MillwallSouthampton

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
MillwallSouthampton
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
MillwallSouthampton
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
MillwallSouthampton

2nd half

65%Min. 1 goal after half-time65%
MillwallSouthampton
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
MillwallSouthampton
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
MillwallSouthampton

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Millwall is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.47 pts / game - Millwall · 1.35 pts / game - Southampton

Millwall - half-time state
35% leading41% draw24% trailing
Southampton - half-time state
29% leading47% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.47Points per game (1st half)1.35
MillwallSouthampton
0.65Goals scored (1st half)0.88
MillwallSouthampton
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
MillwallSouthampton
1.12Average goals (1st half)1.41
MillwallSouthampton
59%Clean sheet before half-time47%
MillwallSouthampton
47%No goal before half-time53%
MillwallSouthampton

After half-time (2nd half)

1.12Points per game (2nd half)1.12
MillwallSouthampton
0.47Goals scored (2nd half)0.65
MillwallSouthampton
0.88Goals conceded (2nd half)0.76
MillwallSouthampton
1.35Average goals (2nd half)1.41
MillwallSouthampton
53%Clean sheet after half-time53%
MillwallSouthampton
65%No goal after half-time53%
MillwallSouthampton

Millwall - second-half results

24% W41% R35% P
25
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding134%

Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Southampton - second-half results

24% W41% R35% P
23
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Millwall - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.00
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game1.01.0
Average goals per game1.41.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-3-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Southampton - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.60
Goals scored / game2.00.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game2.61.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+7+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 10

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Millwall
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
2
3
16-30
6
3
31-45
2
5
46-60
4
2
61-75
2
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

Southampton
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
9
4
16-30
2
4
31-45
4
3
46-60
2
5
61-75
5
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.65
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
59%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Millwall

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+7.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.65
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

Southampton

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
123%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
97%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.99
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

MillwallLigaSouthampton
Average goals per game 2.472.57 2.82
Both teams scored 41%57% 76%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%50% 65%
Clean sheets 35%25% 18%
Goal before half-time 76%74% 71%
Goal after half-time 65%75% 65%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.57
Average goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / game
1.24
Away goals / game
+7%
Home attack advantage
+7%
Home defensive advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. SouthamptonYellow cardTom Fellows
  2. SouthamptonYellow cardAdam James Armstrong
  3. SouthamptonGoalAdam James Armstrong
  4. MillwallGoalFemi AzeezAssist: Tristan Crama
  5. MillwallSubstitutionOn: Camiel NeghliOff: Raees Bangura-Williams
  6. MillwallSubstitutionOn: Alfie DoughtyOff: Dan McNamara
  7. MillwallSubstitutionOn: Thierno BalloOff: Femi Azeez
  8. MillwallGoalCaleb TaylorAssist: Casper De Norre
  9. SouthamptonGoalFinn Azaz
  10. MillwallGoalTristan CramaAssist: Thierno Ballo
  11. MillwallYellow cardTristan Crama

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Ben TonerMatches officiated: 18
4Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 244%Home wins28%Draws28%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Millwall vs Southampton?

The Championship match finished Millwall 3:2 Southampton. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Millwall vs Southampton?

Millwall score 1.12 goals per game on average and Southampton 1.53. The Championship average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Millwall's matches and 76% of Southampton's.

What form are Millwall and Southampton in?

Over the last 5 games Millwall have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Southampton 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Millwall vs Southampton?

The statistical background for Millwall vs Southampton — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.