Millwall vs Swansea City: match statistics
Millwall performs decidedly better in home matches, achieving a 54% win rate and only a 31% loss rate at their own stadium. The hosts hold the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.52 vs 1.20), indicating the creation of higher quality scoring chances. Swansea City records poor results on the road with just 25% wins and a staggering 58% losses, failing to score in 42% of their matches. The form of both teams in the last five games is similar (Millwall 1 PPG vs Swansea 1.8 PPG); however, home advantage and xG statistics favor the hosts. Millwall's home goal difference (-1) is superior to Swansea's away record (-5), further supporting the prediction of a home win, although the slight edge suggests the possibility of a draw.
Millwall vs Swansea City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Millwall played against Swansea City in Championship (England). The game was played on January 4, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Millwall has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Swansea City has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Millwall scores 1.08 goals per game and allows 1.28. Swansea City scores 1.04 and allows 1.24. Games in this league average 2.60 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Millwall's games and 52% of Swansea City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 44% and 44%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Millwall has the higher season xG average, 1.39 to 1.30 per game. Millwall takes 12.3 shots per game, while Swansea City takes 11.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Millwall leads at halftime in 28% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Swansea City leads at halftime in 12% and scores 0.68 after halftime.
When the teams score
Millwall's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Swansea City, it is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.60 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Millwall performs decidedly better in home matches, achieving a 54% win rate and only a 31% loss rate at their own stadium. The hosts hold the advantage in expected goals (xG 1.52 vs 1.20), indicating the creation of higher quality scoring chances. Swansea City records poor results on the road with just 25% wins and a staggering 58% losses, failing to score in 42% of their matches. The form of both teams in the last five games is similar (Millwall 1 PPG vs Swansea 1.8 PPG); however, home advantage and xG statistics favor the hosts. Millwall's home goal difference (-1) is superior to Swansea's away record (-5), further supporting the prediction of a home win, although the slight edge suggests the possibility of a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Millwall | Swansea City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Swansea City is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Millwall · 1.8 pts / game - Swansea City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Millwall scores in 72% of games (18 of 25 meczów), while Swansea City keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 meczów).
Swansea City scores in 76% of games (19 of 25 meczów), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Millwall
Over / Under - Swansea City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Millwall is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / game - Millwall · 0.84 pts / game - Swansea City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Millwall - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Swansea City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 12% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Millwall
Swansea City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Millwall | Liga | Swansea City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.36 | 2.60 | ▼ 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 44% | 58% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 51% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 24% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 73% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 77% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Millwall's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Swansea City. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Millwall vs Swansea City?
The Championship match finished Millwall 2:1 Swansea City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Millwall vs Swansea City?
Millwall score 1.08 goals per game on average and Swansea City 1.04. The Championship average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Millwall's matches and 52% of Swansea City's.
What form are Millwall and Swansea City in?
Over the last 5 games Millwall have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Swansea City 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Millwall vs Swansea City?
The statistical background for Millwall vs Swansea City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.