Milton Keynes Dons vs Bristol Rovers: match statistics
Milton Keynes Dons demonstrate significantly better form and statistics this season. The hosts occupy 3rd place in the table with a record of 13 wins, while Bristol Rovers are ranked 22nd with just 6 victories. At home, MK Dons boast an impressive win rate of 50% and average 2 goals per match, conceding only 1.07. Bristol Rovers show very poor form in away matches – 62% losses, merely 23% wins, and a negative goal difference of -11. Form over the last five matches also favors the hosts (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) compared to the visitors (1 win, 4 losses). Additionally, MK Dons possess better xG stats (1.33 vs 1.19) and higher shot conversion (17% vs 10%), suggesting greater offensive efficiency for the home side.
Milton Keynes Dons vs Bristol Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Milton Keynes Dons played against Bristol Rovers in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on January 27, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Milton Keynes Dons has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Bristol Rovers has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Milton Keynes Dons scores 1.96 goals per game and allows 1.07. Bristol Rovers scores 0.81 and allows 1.77. Games in this league average 2.63 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of Milton Keynes Dons's games and 42% of Bristol Rovers's. The Over 2.5 rates are 59% and 54%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Milton Keynes Dons has the higher season xG average, 1.36 to 1.24 per game. Milton Keynes Dons takes 11.9 shots per game, while Bristol Rovers takes 10.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Milton Keynes Dons leads at halftime in 56% of its games and scores 0.89 goals per game after halftime. Bristol Rovers leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.42 after halftime.
When the teams score
Milton Keynes Dons's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (12 goals). For Bristol Rovers, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 2.63 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Milton Keynes Dons demonstrate significantly better form and statistics this season. The hosts occupy 3rd place in the table with a record of 13 wins, while Bristol Rovers are ranked 22nd with just 6 victories. At home, MK Dons boast an impressive win rate of 50% and average 2 goals per match, conceding only 1.07. Bristol Rovers show very poor form in away matches – 62% losses, merely 23% wins, and a negative goal difference of -11. Form over the last five matches also favors the hosts (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) compared to the visitors (1 win, 4 losses). Additionally, MK Dons possess better xG stats (1.33 vs 1.19) and higher shot conversion (17% vs 10%), suggesting greater offensive efficiency for the home side.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Milton Keynes Dons | Bristol Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 25% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Milton Keynes Dons is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Milton Keynes Dons · 0.6 pts / game - Bristol Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Milton Keynes Dons is 142% better for: goals scored per game.
1.96 goals / game - Milton Keynes Dons · 0.81 goals / game - Bristol Rovers
Milton Keynes Dons is 65% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.07 goals / game - Milton Keynes Dons · 1.77 goals / game - Bristol Rovers
Milton Keynes Dons scores in 89% of games (24 of 27 meczów), while Bristol Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 meczów).
Bristol Rovers scores in 54% of games (14 of 26 meczów), while Milton Keynes Dons keeps a clean sheet in 30% (8 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Milton Keynes Dons
Over / Under - Bristol Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Milton Keynes Dons is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.89 pts / game - Milton Keynes Dons · 1.08 pts / game - Bristol Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Milton Keynes Dons - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 56% of games and wins 48%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Bristol Rovers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -15 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Milton Keynes Dons
Bristol Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Milton Keynes Dons | Liga | Bristol Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.04 | 2.63 | • 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 55% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 48% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 25% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 69% | • 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 77% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Milton Keynes Dons's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Bristol Rovers. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Milton Keynes Dons vs Bristol Rovers?
The EFL League Two match finished Milton Keynes Dons 1:0 Bristol Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Milton Keynes Dons vs Bristol Rovers?
Milton Keynes Dons score 1.96 goals per game on average and Bristol Rovers 0.81. The EFL League Two average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Milton Keynes Dons's matches and 42% of Bristol Rovers's.
What form are Milton Keynes Dons and Bristol Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Milton Keynes Dons have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Bristol Rovers 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Milton Keynes Dons vs Bristol Rovers?
The statistical background for Milton Keynes Dons vs Bristol Rovers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.