Milton Keynes Dons vs Harrogate Town: match statistics
Milton Keynes Dons presents decidedly better form and statistics this season. The hosts occupy 3rd place in the table with an impressive record of 17 wins and a goal difference of +15 in home matches, where they win 53% of fixtures. Harrogate Town, as the last team in the league table (24th place), has a poor away record—only 18% wins on the road and a negative goal difference of -9. MK Dons scores an average of 1.76 goals per home match, while the guests score merely 0.76 goals away. The recent form of both teams also speaks in favor of the hosts—MK Dons earned 2.2 points per game in the last 5 matches with a WWDWD streak, while Harrogate has 1.8 PPG. The qualitative, statistical advantage, and the hosts' form point to their certain victory in this match.
Milton Keynes Dons vs Harrogate Town: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Milton Keynes Dons played against Harrogate Town in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on March 7, 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Recent form
Milton Keynes Dons has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Harrogate Town has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Milton Keynes Dons scores 1.85 goals per game and allows 1.00. Harrogate Town scores 0.71 and allows 1.49. Games in this league average 2.55 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 59% of Milton Keynes Dons's games and 43% of Harrogate Town's. The Over 2.5 rates are 53% and 31%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Milton Keynes Dons has the higher season xG average, 1.38 to 1.26 per game. Milton Keynes Dons takes 12.1 shots per game, while Harrogate Town takes 11.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Milton Keynes Dons leads at halftime in 59% of its games and scores 0.79 goals per game after halftime. Harrogate Town leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.43 after halftime.
When the teams score
Milton Keynes Dons's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (13 goals). For Harrogate Town, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League Two games average 2.55 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Milton Keynes Dons presents decidedly better form and statistics this season. The hosts occupy 3rd place in the table with an impressive record of 17 wins and a goal difference of +15 in home matches, where they win 53% of fixtures. Harrogate Town, as the last team in the league table (24th place), has a poor away record—only 18% wins on the road and a negative goal difference of -9. MK Dons scores an average of 1.76 goals per home match, while the guests score merely 0.76 goals away. The recent form of both teams also speaks in favor of the hosts—MK Dons earned 2.2 points per game in the last 5 matches with a WWDWD streak, while Harrogate has 1.8 PPG. The qualitative, statistical advantage, and the hosts' form point to their certain victory in this match.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Milton Keynes Dons | Harrogate Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Milton Keynes Dons is 22% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / game - Milton Keynes Dons · 1.8 pts / game - Harrogate Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Milton Keynes Dons is 161% better for: goals scored per game.
1.85 goals / game - Milton Keynes Dons · 0.71 goals / game - Harrogate Town
Milton Keynes Dons is 49% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Milton Keynes Dons · 1.49 goals / game - Harrogate Town
Milton Keynes Dons scores in 88% of games (30 of 34 meczów), while Harrogate Town keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 35 meczów).
Harrogate Town scores in 57% of games (20 of 35 meczów), while Milton Keynes Dons keeps a clean sheet in 35% (12 of 34 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Milton Keynes Dons
Over / Under - Harrogate Town
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Milton Keynes Dons is 125% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - Milton Keynes Dons · 0.89 pts / game - Harrogate Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Milton Keynes Dons - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 59% of games and wins 50%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Harrogate Town - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 17%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Milton Keynes Dons
Harrogate Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Milton Keynes Dons | Liga | Harrogate Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.85 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 53% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 47% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 27% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 69% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 76% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Milton Keynes Dons's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Harrogate Town. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Milton Keynes Dons vs Harrogate Town?
The EFL League Two match finished Milton Keynes Dons 4:1 Harrogate Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Milton Keynes Dons vs Harrogate Town?
Milton Keynes Dons score 1.85 goals per game on average and Harrogate Town 0.71. The EFL League Two average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Milton Keynes Dons's matches and 43% of Harrogate Town's.
What form are Milton Keynes Dons and Harrogate Town in?
Over the last 5 games Milton Keynes Dons have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Harrogate Town 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Milton Keynes Dons vs Harrogate Town?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.