Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Milton Keynes Dons played against Swindon Town in EFL League Two (England). The game was played on December 26, 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Recent form

Milton Keynes Dons has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Swindon Town has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Milton Keynes Dons scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 1.14. Swindon Town scores 1.67 and allows 1.19. Games in this league average 2.69 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 67% of Milton Keynes Dons's games and 57% of Swindon Town's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 67%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 49% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Swindon Town has the higher season xG average, 1.42 to 1.38 per game. Milton Keynes Dons takes 12.0 shots per game, while Swindon Town takes 12.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Milton Keynes Dons leads at halftime in 52% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Swindon Town leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.62 after halftime.

When the teams score

Milton Keynes Dons's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (9 goals). For Swindon Town, it is minutes 0-15 (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

League Two games average 2.69 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 49% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

41Possession (%)59
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
16Shots12
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
6Shots on target3
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
1.77xG1.3
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
5Corners8
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
47Dangerous attacks45
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
10Fouls8
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
1Cards2
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
2Goals scored / game1.67
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
1.14Goals allowed / game1.19
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
51%Average possession53%
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
4.48Shots on target / game4.81
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12Shots per game12.62
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
4.48Shots on target4.81
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
16.7%Shot conversion13.2%
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
51%Possession53%
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
1.38xG for1.42
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
1.22xG against1.31
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town

Shooting quality

Milton Keynes Dons: Efficient finishingSwindon Town: Efficient finishing
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
Accuracy (shots on target)37%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.450.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Swindon Town is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Milton Keynes Dons · 2 pts / game - Swindon Town

Milton Keynes Dons
DWLDW
Season result split
48% W29% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-6-5
1.71 pts / game · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-3
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.81Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Swindon Town
DWLWW
Season result split
57% W19% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-4-5
1.90 pts / game · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
6-1-3
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WLDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.47BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Milton Keynes Dons is 20% better for: goals scored per game.

2 goals / game - Milton Keynes Dons · 1.67 goals / game - Swindon Town

Milton Keynes Dons scoring profile: very strong

Milton Keynes Dons scores in 90% of games (19 of 21 meczów), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 meczów).

Swindon Town scoring profile: very strong

Swindon Town scores in 81% of games (17 of 21 meczów), while Milton Keynes Dons keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 meczów).

42Goals scored (season)35
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
24Goals conceded (season)25
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
3.14Average goals per game2.86
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
11Goals scored (last 5)8
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
7Goals conceded (last 5)4
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town

How often they score at least...

90%1 goal81%
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
67%2 goals62%
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
24%3 goals24%
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
14%4 goals0%
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal71%
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
33%2 goals33%
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
10%3 goals10%
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
0%4 goals5%
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

67%
Milton Keynes Dons - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.14 of 21 meczów
57%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time33%
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
0%BTTS in both halves10%
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
43%Scored in both halves29%
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town

BTTS and goal count

52%Min. 3 goals and BTTS52%
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
80%BTTS - last 540%
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time57%
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
24%Min. 3 goals before half-time24%
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town

2nd half

95%Min. 1 goal after half-time62%
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
48%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Milton Keynes Dons is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.81 pts / game - Milton Keynes Dons · 1.62 pts / game - Swindon Town

Milton Keynes Dons - half-time state
52% leading24% draw24% trailing
Swindon Town - half-time state
38% leading48% draw14% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.81Points per game (1st half)1.62
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
1Goals scored (1st half)1.05
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
1.57Average goals (1st half)1.62
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
67%Clean sheet before half-time52%
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
33%No goal before half-time38%
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town

After half-time (2nd half)

1.67Points per game (2nd half)1.33
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.62
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
0.57Goals conceded (2nd half)0.62
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
1.57Average goals (2nd half)1.24
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
52%Clean sheet after half-time52%
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
33%No goal after half-time52%
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town

Milton Keynes Dons - second-half results

48% W24% D29% L
38
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.81
PPG before half-time
Lead holding92%

Leads at halftime in 52% of games and wins 48%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Swindon Town - second-half results

24% W62% D14% L
34
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.62
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Milton Keynes Dons - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.40
Goals scored / game1.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.80.6
Average goals per game2.21.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 7
Swindon Town - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.60
Goals scored / game1.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.60.2
Average goals per game1.80.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%0%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Milton Keynes Dons
ScoredConceded
9
5
0-15
5
6
16-30
7
1
31-45
6
1
46-60
6
4
61-75
9
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Swindon Town
ScoredConceded
9
7
0-15
4
2
16-30
9
3
31-45
3
1
46-60
3
3
61-75
7
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.6 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
73%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Milton Keynes Dons

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.70
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.62
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
140%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Swindon Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
133%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 26% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Milton Keynes DonsLigaSwindon Town
Average goals per game 3.142.69 2.86
Both teams scored 67%57% 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%49% 67%
Clean sheets 29%24% 29%
Goal before half-time 86%71% 76%
Goal after half-time 95%77% 62%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.69
Average goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / game
1.26
Away goals / game
+13%
Home attack advantage
+12%
Home defensive advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Milton Keynes DonsGoalAaron Evans NemaneAssist: Alexander Scott Gilbey
  2. Swindon TownYellow cardFinley Munroe
  3. Milton Keynes DonsYellow cardWilliam Guy Collar
  4. Swindon TownYellow cardDarren Joseph Norman Oldaker
  5. Swindon TownSubstitutionOn: Oliver James PalmerOff: Finley Munroe
  6. Swindon TownSubstitutionOn: Joseph SnowdonOff: Joel McGregor
  7. Milton Keynes DonsSubstitutionOn: Rushian Hepburn-MurphyOff: Aaron Graham John Collins
  8. Swindon TownSubstitutionOn: Jake TaborOff: Darren Joseph Norman Oldaker
  9. Milton Keynes DonsSubstitutionOn: Connor Lemonheigh-EvansOff: Gethin Wynne Jones

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town?

The EFL League Two match finished Milton Keynes Dons 1:0 Swindon Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town?

Milton Keynes Dons score 2.00 goals per game on average and Swindon Town 1.67. The EFL League Two average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Milton Keynes Dons's matches and 57% of Swindon Town's.

What form are Milton Keynes Dons and Swindon Town in?

Over the last 5 games Milton Keynes Dons have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Swindon Town 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town?

The statistical background for Milton Keynes Dons vs Swindon Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.