Mineros de Zacatecas vs Morelia: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a closely contested match with a slight edge towards a draw. Mineros de Zacatecas displays solid home form with 60% draws and only 10% losses at their stadium, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 goals conceded per home match. Morelia shows improved form in their last five away games with two victories, however, their overall away record (30% wins, 40% draws) and a negative goal difference (-2) do not give them a decisive advantage. A key factor is the hosts' possession advantage (58% vs 48%) and a superior xG rate in home matches (1.71 vs 1.37 for the visitors away), suggesting greater control of the game by Mineros. Considering the home side's tendency to draw and the recent form of both teams, the most probable outcome is a share of the points, although the hosts hold a slight advantage due to the home pitch factor.
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Morelia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mineros de Zacatecas played against Morelia in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on February 7, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Mineros de Zacatecas has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Morelia has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Mineros de Zacatecas scores 1.70 goals per game and allows 1.60. Morelia scores 1.43 and allows 1.19. Games in this league average 2.91 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 65% of Mineros de Zacatecas's games and 43% of Morelia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 65% and 57%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Morelia has the higher season xG average, 1.68 to 1.60 per game. Mineros de Zacatecas takes 13.2 shots per game, while Morelia takes 14.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Mineros de Zacatecas leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. Morelia leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.71 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mineros de Zacatecas's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (11 goals). For Morelia, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 2.91 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a closely contested match with a slight edge towards a draw. Mineros de Zacatecas displays solid home form with 60% draws and only 10% losses at their stadium, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 goals conceded per home match. Morelia shows improved form in their last five away games with two victories, however, their overall away record (30% wins, 40% draws) and a negative goal difference (-2) do not give them a decisive advantage. A key factor is the hosts' possession advantage (58% vs 48%) and a superior xG rate in home matches (1.71 vs 1.37 for the visitors away), suggesting greater control of the game by Mineros. Considering the home side's tendency to draw and the recent form of both teams, the most probable outcome is a share of the points, although the hosts hold a slight advantage due to the home pitch factor.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mineros de Zacatecas | Morelia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Morelia is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Mineros de Zacatecas · 1.6 pts / game - Morelia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mineros de Zacatecas is 19% better for: goals scored per game.
1.7 goals / game - Mineros de Zacatecas · 1.43 goals / game - Morelia
Morelia is 34% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.6 goals / game - Mineros de Zacatecas · 1.19 goals / game - Morelia
Mineros de Zacatecas scores in 80% of games (16 of 20 meczów), while Morelia keeps a clean sheet in 38% (8 of 21 meczów).
Morelia scores in 67% of games (14 of 21 meczów), while Mineros de Zacatecas keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mineros de Zacatecas
Over / Under - Morelia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mineros de Zacatecas is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / game - Mineros de Zacatecas · 1.62 pts / game - Morelia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mineros de Zacatecas - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 30%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Morelia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mineros de Zacatecas
Morelia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Mineros de Zacatecas | Liga | Morelia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.30 | 2.91 | ▼ 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 55% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 53% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 27% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 85% | 75% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Mineros de Zacatecas's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Morelia. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Mineros de Zacatecas vs Morelia?
The Ascenso MX match finished Mineros de Zacatecas 1:1 Morelia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mineros de Zacatecas vs Morelia?
Mineros de Zacatecas score 1.70 goals per game on average and Morelia 1.43. The Ascenso MX average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Mineros de Zacatecas's matches and 43% of Morelia's.
What form are Mineros de Zacatecas and Morelia in?
Over the last 5 games Mineros de Zacatecas have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Morelia 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Morelia?
The statistical background for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Morelia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.