Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tapatío: match statistics
Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tapatío: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mineros de Zacatecas played against Tapatío in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on March 29, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Mineros de Zacatecas has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Tapatío has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Mineros de Zacatecas scores 1.62 goals per game and allows 1.62. Tapatío scores 1.75 and allows 1.46. Games in this league average 2.92 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 62% of Mineros de Zacatecas's games and 67% of Tapatío's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 67%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mineros de Zacatecas has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.44 per game. Mineros de Zacatecas takes 13.4 shots per game, while Tapatío takes 12.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Mineros de Zacatecas leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.65 goals per game after halftime. Tapatío leads at halftime in 42% and scores 0.88 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mineros de Zacatecas's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (12 goals). For Tapatío, it is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 2.92 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis favors Mineros de Zacatecas, especially at home: higher average shots (15.31 vs 10.58), SOT (5.46 vs 3.58), higher xG (1.70 vs 1.27) and goals (1.69 vs 1.33). Hosts are more defensively stable at home (1.08 GA vs opponents' 1.58 away) and have a substantially higher CS% rate. Tapatío struggle away: lower possession, higher xG against and a high away loss rate. Their share of matches without scoring is also higher (33% vs 15%), reducing their chances. Considering form and statistical home advantage, I predict a Mineros win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show high season BTTS (Mineros 67%, Tapatío 67%) and the league favors scoring matches (55%). Tapatío L5 BTTS 100%, Mineros rarely fail to score at home (only 8% blank). xG and goal averages back offensive outlook: Mineros xG_for 1.58 and 2.17 avg goals; Tapatío high xG_against 1.98 and 1.33 away goals. Low away CS for Tapatío (8%) and strong recent mutual scoring point to BTTS. Recommendation: BTTS = Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Stat analysis points to a high-scoring match: home xG 1.58 and opponent conceded away 1.98 yield ~1.78 expected for Mineros; conversely Tapatío avg xG 1.27 and home conceded 1.43 -> ~1.35. Total expected ~3.13 and high BTTS (67%/67%) suggest strong chance of at least two goals. Home attack is potent (14.08 shots, 5.42 SOT) and home Over1.5 is high (92%); visitors also often play multi-goal games. Poisson for λ=3.13 gives ~82% Over1.5 and ~61% Over2.5; recommendation: Over 1.5 as strongest signal. Risk: form drift, but season and xG support the over.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Mineros de Zacatecas display markedly better home stats (58% wins, 58% HT leads, HT scoredAVG 1.0 vs 0.75 for opponents) and higher xG and shots on target; this indicates a strong advantage from the first half. Tapatío have a low away win rate (17%) and higher xG against, suggesting vulnerability to conceding under increased pressure. Seasonal goal profiles show hosts often lead at Half-Time and convert to Full-Time wins; BTTS is moderate but Mineros’ shooting superiority is key. Considering the HT lead distribution (58% home leads) and FT conversion, the strongest signal is HT/FT 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mineros de Zacatecas | Tapatío | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Mineros de Zacatecas is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Mineros de Zacatecas · 1.4 pts / game - Tapatío
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tapatío is 8% better for: goals scored per game.
1.62 goals / game - Mineros de Zacatecas · 1.75 goals / game - Tapatío
Tapatío is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.62 goals / game - Mineros de Zacatecas · 1.46 goals / game - Tapatío
Mineros de Zacatecas scores in 81% of games (21 of 26 meczów), while Tapatío keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 meczów).
Tapatío scores in 79% of games (19 of 24 meczów), while Mineros de Zacatecas keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mineros de Zacatecas
Over / Under - Tapatío
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mineros de Zacatecas is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.73 pts / game - Mineros de Zacatecas · 1.54 pts / game - Tapatío
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mineros de Zacatecas - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 35%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Tapatío - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 42% of games and wins 38%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mineros de Zacatecas
Tapatío
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Mineros de Zacatecas | Liga | Tapatío | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.23 | 2.92 | ▲ 3.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 53% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 26% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 75% | ▲ 92% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Mineros de Zacatecas's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Tapatío. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tapatío?
The Ascenso MX match finished Mineros de Zacatecas 2:1 Tapatío. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tapatío?
Mineros de Zacatecas score 1.62 goals per game on average and Tapatío 1.75. The Ascenso MX average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Mineros de Zacatecas's matches and 67% of Tapatío's.
What form are Mineros de Zacatecas and Tapatío in?
Over the last 5 games Mineros de Zacatecas have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Tapatío 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tapatío?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.