Mexico - Ascenso MXData current as of 23 July 2026

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tapatío: match statistics

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tapatío: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Mineros de Zacatecas play Tapatío in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 30 March 2026 at 01:00. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Mineros de Zacatecas: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Tapatío: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Mineros de Zacatecas scores 1.56 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Tapatío scores 1.63 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.85 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mineros de Zacatecas 62%, Tapatío 67%. Over 2.5: Mineros de Zacatecas 59%, Tapatío 67%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Mineros de Zacatecas has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.43. Mineros de Zacatecas: 12.9 shots per match, Tapatío: 12.3.

Match halves

Mineros de Zacatecas: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.68. Tapatío: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.83.

Goals by minute

Mineros de Zacatecas: 31-45+ (15 goals). Tapatío: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

Statistical analysis favors Mineros de Zacatecas, especially at home: higher average shots (15.31 vs 10.58), SOT (5.46 vs 3.58), higher xG (1.70 vs 1.27) and goals (1.69 vs 1.33). Hosts are more defensively stable at home (1.08 GA vs opponents' 1.58 away) and have a substantially higher CS% rate. Tapatío struggle away: lower possession, higher xG against and a high away loss rate. Their share of matches without scoring is also higher (33% vs 15%), reducing their chances. Considering form and statistical home advantage, I predict a Mineros win.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
21Shots9
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
5Shots on target4
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
2.04xG1.23
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
7Corners5
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
52Dangerous attacks53
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
15Fouls15
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
2Cards3
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
1.56Goals scored / match1.63
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
1.5Goals conceded / match1.47
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
53%Average possession49%
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
4.79Shots on target / match4.2
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.88Shots per match12.27
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
4.79Shots on target4.2
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
12.1%Shot conversion13.3%
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
53%Possession49%
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
1.54xG for1.43
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
1.26xG against1.62
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío

Shooting quality

Mineros de Zacatecas: BalancedTapatío: Efficient finishing
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
Accuracy (shots on target)37%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mineros de Zacatecas is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Mineros de Zacatecas · 0.8 pts / match - Tapatío

Mineros de Zacatecas
DWLDD
Season result split
35% W38% R26% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-13-9
1.44 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-8-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.05Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Tapatío
WLLDL
Season result split
33% W20% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-6-14
1.20 pts / match · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-9
Last 5 away
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mineros de Zacatecas scoring profile: very strong

Mineros de Zacatecas scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Tapatío keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 30 matches).

Tapatío scoring profile: very strong

Tapatío scores in 80% of matches (24 of 30 matches), while Mineros de Zacatecas keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).

53Goals scored (season)49
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
51Goals conceded (season)44
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
3.06Average goals in match3.1
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
5Goals scored (last 5)6
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
4Goals conceded (last 5)7
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal80%
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
50%2 goals50%
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
24%3 goals27%
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
3%4 goals7%
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío

How often they concede at least...

74%1 goal83%
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
44%2 goals47%
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
21%3 goals13%
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
12%4 goals3%
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

62%
Mineros de Zacatecas - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.21 of 34 matches
57%
League average

Goal patterns

35%BTTS at half-time27%
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
9%BTTS in both halves10%
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
35%Scored in both halves47%
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
40%BTTS - last 560%
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

85%Min. 1 goal before half-time90%
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
44%Min. 2 goals before half-time47%
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
21%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mineros de Zacatecas is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.71 pts / match - Mineros de Zacatecas · 1.4 pts / match - Tapatío

Mineros de Zacatecas - half-time state
47% leading29% draw24% trailing
Tapatío - half-time state
37% leading30% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.71Points per match (1st half)1.4
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
0.88Goals scored (1st half)0.8
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
0.65Goals conceded (1st half)0.7
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
1.53Average goals (1st half)1.5
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
47%Clean sheet before half-time43%
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
32%No goal before half-time40%
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío

After half-time (2nd half)

1.21Points per match (2nd half)1.37
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
0.68Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
0.85Goals conceded (2nd half)0.77
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
1.53Average goals (2nd half)1.6
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
41%Clean sheet after half-time40%
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío
53%No goal after half-time33%
Mineros de ZacatecasTapatío

Mineros de Zacatecas - second-half results

29% W32% R38% P
58
Half-time points
30
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding74%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 35%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Tapatío - second-half results

33% W37% R30% P
42
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding89%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 33%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mineros de Zacatecas - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.00
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.61.2
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Tapatío - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.20
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mineros de Zacatecas
ScoredConceded
7
4
0-15
8
8
16-30
15
10
31-45
2
9
46-60
9
4
61-75
12
16
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Tapatío
ScoredConceded
8
6
0-15
9
6
16-30
7
9
31-45
8
7
46-60
4
5
61-75
13
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.08
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+62%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mineros de Zacatecas

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.24
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Tapatío

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
144%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
85%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

Mineros de ZacatecasLigaTapatío
Average goals in match 3.062.85 3.10
Both teams scored 62%57% 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 59%53% 67%
Clean sheets 26%25% 17%
Goal before half-time 85%74% 90%
Goal after half-time 79%80% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.85
Average goals per match
57%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.73
Home goals / match
1.13
Away goals / match
+53%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Mineros de Zacatecas 1 - 0 - 0 Tapatío. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

CD Tapatío
2 : 3
Club Deportivo Mineros de Zacatecas

FAQ

What was the result of Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tapatío?

The Ascenso MX match finished Mineros de Zacatecas 2:1 Tapatío. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tapatío?

Mineros de Zacatecas score 1.56 goals per game on average and Tapatío 1.63. The Ascenso MX average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Mineros de Zacatecas's matches and 67% of Tapatío's.

What form are Mineros de Zacatecas and Tapatío in?

Over the last 5 games Mineros de Zacatecas have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Tapatío 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tapatío?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.