United States - MLSData current as of September 13, 2026

Minnesota United vs FC Cincinnati: match statistics

125%(2.58)
X20%(3.69)
255%(2.68)

FC Cincinnati presents decidedly better form in the last five matches, earning an impressive 2.4 points per match compared to just 0.6 points for Minnesota United. The visitors won four of the last five meetings, scoring an impressive 17 goals, while the hosts recorded only one draw and four defeats in this period. Minnesota has clear defensive problems, conceding 10 goals in the last five matches, while Cincinnati has kept a clean sheet in the current season. The form of the visitors (wlwww) and their offensive effectiveness (17 goals in the last 5 matches) clearly surpass the unstable disposition of the hosts (dldld). Considering all these factors, FC Cincinnati has a decisive advantage and should secure a victory on the road.

Minnesota United vs FC Cincinnati: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Minnesota United played against FC Cincinnati in MLS (United States). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 1:0.

Recent form

Minnesota United has 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. FC Cincinnati has 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Minnesota United scores 2.00 goals per game and allows 2.00. FC Cincinnati scores 2.00 and allows 0.00. Games in this league average 2.94 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 100% of Minnesota United's games and 0% of FC Cincinnati's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 0%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

FC Cincinnati has the higher season xG average, 1.23 to 1.22 per game. Minnesota United takes 11.0 shots per game, while FC Cincinnati takes 11.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Minnesota United leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. FC Cincinnati leads at halftime in 0% and scores 2.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Minnesota United's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (1 goals). For FC Cincinnati, it is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

MLS games average 2.94 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

FC Cincinnati presents decidedly better form in the last five matches, earning an impressive 2.4 points per match compared to just 0.6 points for Minnesota United. The visitors won four of the last five meetings, scoring an impressive 17 goals, while the hosts recorded only one draw and four defeats in this period. Minnesota has clear defensive problems, conceding 10 goals in the last five matches, while Cincinnati has kept a clean sheet in the current season. The form of the visitors (wlwww) and their offensive effectiveness (17 goals in the last 5 matches) clearly surpass the unstable disposition of the hosts (dldld). Considering all these factors, FC Cincinnati has a decisive advantage and should secure a victory on the road.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
1 : 0
Second half

Game stats

45Possession (%)55
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
16Shots13
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
5Shots on target4
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
1.63xG1.57
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
5Corners12
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
37Dangerous attacks63
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
9Fouls6
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
2Cards0
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
2Goals scored / game2
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
2Goals allowed / game0
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
43%Average possession54%
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
4Shots on target / game3
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11Shots per game11
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
4Shots on target3
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
18.2%Shot conversion18.2%
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
43%Possession54%
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
1.22xG for1.23
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
1.41xG against0.91
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati

Shooting quality

Minnesota United: Counter-attackingFC Cincinnati: Efficient finishing
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
Accuracy (shots on target)36%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.500.67

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

FC Cincinnati is 200% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Minnesota United · 3 pts / game - FC Cincinnati

Minnesota United
D
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W100% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-0
1.00 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-0
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Last 5 at home
0-0-0
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
FC Cincinnati
W
5 wins in a row
Season result split
100% W0% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-0
3.00 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-0
3.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-0
Last 5 away
0-0-0
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.0xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 0.91BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Minnesota United scoring profile: mixed

Minnesota United scores in 100% of games (1 of 1 meczów), while FC Cincinnati keeps a clean sheet in 100% (1 of 1 meczów).

FC Cincinnati scoring profile: very strong

FC Cincinnati scores in 100% of games (1 of 1 meczów), while Minnesota United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 meczów).

2Goals scored (season)2
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
2Goals conceded (season)0
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
4Average goals per game2
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
2Goals scored (last 5)2
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
2Goals conceded (last 5)0
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
100%2 goals100%
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
0%3 goals0%
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
0%4 goals0%
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal0%
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
100%2 goals0%
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
0%3 goals0%
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
0%4 goals0%
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

100%BTTS at half-time0%
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
100%BTTS in both halves0%
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
100%Scored in both halves0%
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati

BTTS and goal count

100%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
100%BTTS - last 50%
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time0%
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
100%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
100%Min. 2 goals after half-time100%
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Minnesota United - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing
FC Cincinnati - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)1
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
1Goals scored (1st half)0
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
1Goals conceded (1st half)0
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
2Average goals (1st half)0
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
0%Clean sheet before half-time100%
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
0%No goal before half-time100%
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per game (2nd half)3
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
1Goals scored (2nd half)2
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
2Average goals (2nd half)2
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
0%Clean sheet after half-time100%
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati
0%No goal after half-time0%
Minnesota UnitedFC Cincinnati

Minnesota United - second-half results

0% W100% D0% L
1
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

FC Cincinnati - second-half results

100% W0% D0% L
1
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Minnesota United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.00
Goals scored / game1.01.0
Goals allowed / game1.01.0
Average goals per game2.02.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals100%100%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet0%0%
No goal0%0%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 100% - Half-time goals total: 1
FC Cincinnati - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.003.00
Goals scored / game0.02.0
Goals allowed / game0.00.0
Average goals per game0.02.0
1 goal0%100%
2 goals0%100%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%100%
No goal100%0%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Minnesota United
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

FC Cincinnati
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
2
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.00
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Minnesota United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.78
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.59
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
282%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

FC Cincinnati

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.68
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
0.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.77
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.91
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
282%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
0%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+2.0
Late goals
100% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
100%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).

Teams vs league

Minnesota UnitedLigaFC Cincinnati
Average goals per game 4.002.94 2.00
Both teams scored 100%47% 0%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 100%59% 0%
Clean sheets 0%26% 100%
Goal before half-time 100%76% 0%
Goal after half-time 100%94% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.94
Average goals per game
47%
Both teams scored
59%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
2.24
Home goals / game
0.71
Away goals / game
+215%
Home attack advantage
+68%
Home defensive advantage
+70%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
94%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Minnesota UnitedYellow cardMorris Duggan
  2. Minnesota UnitedSubstitutionOn: Devin PadelfordOff: Michael Boxall
  3. FC CincinnatiSubstitutionOn: Kenji Mboma DemOff: Ender Jesús Echenique Peña
  4. FC CincinnatiSubstitutionOn: Alvas Elvis PowellOff: Nick Hagglund
  5. Minnesota UnitedYellow cardJefferson Abel Díaz Beleño

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Marcos de OliveiraMatches officiated: 8
3Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 263%Home wins25%Draws13%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Minnesota United vs FC Cincinnati?

The MLS match finished Minnesota United 1:0 FC Cincinnati. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Minnesota United vs FC Cincinnati?

Minnesota United score 2.00 goals per game on average and FC Cincinnati 2.00. The MLS average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Minnesota United's matches and 0% of FC Cincinnati's.

What form are Minnesota United and FC Cincinnati in?

Over the last 5 games Minnesota United have a 0-1-0 record (1.00 points per game) and FC Cincinnati 1-0-0 (3.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Minnesota United vs FC Cincinnati?

The statistical background for Minnesota United vs FC Cincinnati — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.