Minnesota United vs FC Cincinnati: match statistics
FC Cincinnati presents decidedly better form in the last five matches, earning an impressive 2.4 points per match compared to just 0.6 points for Minnesota United. The visitors won four of the last five meetings, scoring an impressive 17 goals, while the hosts recorded only one draw and four defeats in this period. Minnesota has clear defensive problems, conceding 10 goals in the last five matches, while Cincinnati has kept a clean sheet in the current season. The form of the visitors (wlwww) and their offensive effectiveness (17 goals in the last 5 matches) clearly surpass the unstable disposition of the hosts (dldld). Considering all these factors, FC Cincinnati has a decisive advantage and should secure a victory on the road.
Minnesota United vs FC Cincinnati: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Minnesota United play FC Cincinnati in MLS (United States). The match date is 28 February 2026 at 22:30. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Minnesota United: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. FC Cincinnati: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Minnesota United scores 1.20 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. FC Cincinnati scores 2.50 and concedes 2.50. League average: 3.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Minnesota United 53%, FC Cincinnati 75%. Over 2.5: Minnesota United 53%, FC Cincinnati 69%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
FC Cincinnati has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.47. Minnesota United: 13.1 shots per match, FC Cincinnati: 13.4.
Match halves
Minnesota United: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.73. FC Cincinnati: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.38.
Goals by minute
Minnesota United: 61-75 (5 goals). FC Cincinnati: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.31 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
FC Cincinnati presents decidedly better form in the last five matches, earning an impressive 2.4 points per match compared to just 0.6 points for Minnesota United. The visitors won four of the last five meetings, scoring an impressive 17 goals, while the hosts recorded only one draw and four defeats in this period. Minnesota has clear defensive problems, conceding 10 goals in the last five matches, while Cincinnati has kept a clean sheet in the current season. The form of the visitors (wlwww) and their offensive effectiveness (17 goals in the last 5 matches) clearly surpass the unstable disposition of the hosts (dldld). Considering all these factors, FC Cincinnati has a decisive advantage and should secure a victory on the road.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Minnesota United | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FC Cincinnati is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Minnesota United · 1.6 pts / match - FC Cincinnati
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
FC Cincinnati is 108% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Minnesota United · 2.5 goals / match - FC Cincinnati
Minnesota United is 70% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - Minnesota United · 2.5 goals / match - FC Cincinnati
Minnesota United scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while FC Cincinnati keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).
FC Cincinnati scores in 88% of matches (14 of 16 matches), while Minnesota United keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Minnesota United
Over / Under — FC Cincinnati
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
FC Cincinnati is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - Minnesota United · 1.25 pts / match - FC Cincinnati
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Minnesota United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
FC Cincinnati - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 3.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Minnesota United
FC Cincinnati
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Minnesota United | Liga | FC Cincinnati | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.67 | 3.31 | ▲ 5.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 53% | 61% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 63% | ▲ 69% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 22% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 80% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Minnesota United vs FC Cincinnati?
The MLS match finished Minnesota United 1:0 FC Cincinnati. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Minnesota United vs FC Cincinnati?
Minnesota United score 1.20 goals per game on average and FC Cincinnati 2.50. The MLS average is 3.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Minnesota United's matches and 75% of FC Cincinnati's.
What form are Minnesota United and FC Cincinnati in?
Over the last 5 games Minnesota United have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and FC Cincinnati 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Minnesota United vs FC Cincinnati?
The statistical background for Minnesota United vs FC Cincinnati — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.