Mirassol vs Bahia: match statistics
Mirassol vs Bahia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mirassol played against Bahia in Serie A (Brazil). The game was played on April 11, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Mirassol has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.00 points per game. Bahia has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Mirassol scores 1.11 goals per game and allows 1.56. Bahia scores 1.44 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.65 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Mirassol's games and 56% of Bahia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 44%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mirassol has the higher season xG average, 1.73 to 1.38 per game. Mirassol takes 15.8 shots per game, while Bahia takes 12.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Mirassol leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Bahia leads at halftime in 56% and scores 0.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mirassol's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Bahia, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.65 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Favorite is Bahia: they sit 5th in the table, have won 3 of their last 5 matches and average 1.8 points per match in that period, while Mirassol has only 0.6 points. Mirassol at home generates higher attacking volume — average xG 1.93, 17.8 shots and 6.4 shots on target per game — but their finishing rate at home is only 7% and in 40% of home matches they fail to score. Bahia away have lower xG (1.02) and fewer shots (9.25 with 3.25 on target), but superior conversion at 14%, averaging 1.25 goals scored and 0% of away games without a goal. Defensively Bahia is more reliable — 50% clean sheets away and 1.25 goals conceded per away match versus 0% clean sheets for Mirassol and 1.4 goals conceded at home. Given their higher efficiency in converting fewer chances, the points advantage (1.8 vs 0.6) and more clean sheets, I give the away side the better chance of winning.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal indicators suggest a moderate probability for BTTS: Mirassol has BTTS at 60% for the season, Bahia 50%, and the league average is 57%, which at first glance favors a Goal/Goal scenario. However, a strong signal against BTTS comes from form and recent stats: in the last 5 matches Mirassol has only 20% BTTS and scored a total of 3 goals (0.6 per game), while Bahia has 40% BTTS and 8 goals in the last 5 (1.6 per game). Looking at xG and shots, Mirassol generates xG 1.67 and averages 6.4 shots on target, whereas Bahia has xG 1.02 and 3.25 shots on target; at the same time Bahia concedes average xG 1.85 versus Mirassol 1.20 defensively, which suggests Mirassol has a greater potential to score than Bahia. Additionally Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 50% of season matches versus 40% for Mirassol, and Bahia’s better form (last 5: 'wwlwl') increases the likelihood that one of the teams will not score. Considering the conflicting signals (seasonal BTTS preference vs Mirassol’s poor recent BTTS and Bahia’s high clean sheet rate), I assign higher probability to No Goal: 60% 'no' vs 40% 'yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Averaging Mirassol’s offensive xG (1.67) and Bahia’s defensive xG (1.85) yields a forecast of 1.76 goals for the home side; similarly Bahia’s attack (1.02) and Mirassol’s defense (1.20) give 1.11 goals for the away team, totaling 2.87 expected goals. Mirassol has 100% of home matches over 1.5 goals, Bahia 50% in away games, and the league averages 2.66 goals per match, supporting a high likely scoring level. Additionally, Mirassol averages 6.4 shots on target and 14.6 total shots per game versus Bahia’s 3.25/9.25, and BTTS occurs in 60% of Mirassol’s matches and 50% of Bahia’s, increasing the chance of at least two goals. For these reasons the safest and strongest signal is a bet on Over 1.5 (recommendation: Over 1.5).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Data indicate a clear edge for Bahia in results: the away win rate is 75% with a season average points of 2.25 versus 1.6 for the home side, and recent forms are 'wwlwl' for Bahia versus 'llllw' for Mirassol. Bahia led at the break in 75% of matches and averages 1.25 goals before half-time, while Mirassol has averaged only 0.2 goals at the break over the last five games, which supports the away side taking a lead in the first half. Although Mirassol produces higher xG (1.67 vs 1.02) and more shots (14.6 vs 9.25) and shots on target (6.4 vs 3.25), that creative advantage does not translate into form and results for the visitors. Therefore the primary scenario is Bahia leading at half-time and winning full-time (2/2 — 40%), with realistic alternatives being X/2 (18%) and 2/X (12%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mirassol | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bahia is 30% better for: goals scored per game.
1.11 goals / game - Mirassol · 1.44 goals / game - Bahia
Bahia is 56% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.56 goals / game - Mirassol · 1 goals / game - Bahia
Mirassol scores in 56% of games (5 of 9 meczów), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 meczów).
Bahia scores in 100% of games (9 of 9 meczów), while Mirassol keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mirassol
Over / Under - Bahia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bahia is 142% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.78 pts / game - Mirassol · 1.89 pts / game - Bahia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mirassol - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 11%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Bahia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 56% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mirassol
Bahia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Mirassol | Liga | Bahia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.67 | 2.65 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 56% | 58% | ▼ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 47% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 23% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 76% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 76% | ▼ 44% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Mirassol's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Bahia. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Mirassol vs Bahia?
The Serie A match finished Mirassol 1:2 Bahia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mirassol and Bahia?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 1, Bahia won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mirassol vs Bahia?
Mirassol score 1.11 goals per game on average and Bahia 1.44. The Serie A average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Mirassol's matches and 56% of Bahia's.
What form are Mirassol and Bahia in?
Over the last 5 games Mirassol have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Bahia 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mirassol vs Bahia?
The statistical background for Mirassol vs Bahia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.