Mirassol vs Vasco da Gama: match statistics
Analysis of available data points to a very balanced situation for both teams. Mirassol and Vasco da Gama occupy distant positions in the table (14th and 19th place); however, their form in the last five matches is identical - 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses each, which translates to an identical 1.4 points per game. Both squads scored 8 goals and conceded a similar number of goals (4 vs 5) in recent meetings, which attests to comparable offensive and defensive potential. The lack of detailed statistics regarding home matches for Mirassol and away matches for Vasco da Gama prevents a deeper analysis of the hosts' advantage. Due to the identical form, similar goal difference, and lack of clear indicators of advantage for either side, a draw appears to be the most probable scenario, although a slight edge is given to the hosts due to playing in their own environment.
Mirassol vs Vasco da Gama: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mirassol play Vasco da Gama in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 30 January 2026 at 00:00. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Mirassol: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Vasco da Gama: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mirassol scores 1.11 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Vasco da Gama scores 1.16 and concedes 1.58. League average: 2.65 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mirassol 61%, Vasco da Gama 68%. Over 2.5: Mirassol 56%, Vasco da Gama 58%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Vasco da Gama has higher xG: 1.85 vs 1.53. Mirassol: 14.0 shots per match, Vasco da Gama: 17.6.
Match halves
Mirassol: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.39. Vasco da Gama: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Mirassol: 31-45+ (7 goals). Vasco da Gama: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Analysis of available data points to a very balanced situation for both teams. Mirassol and Vasco da Gama occupy distant positions in the table (14th and 19th place); however, their form in the last five matches is identical - 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses each, which translates to an identical 1.4 points per game. Both squads scored 8 goals and conceded a similar number of goals (4 vs 5) in recent meetings, which attests to comparable offensive and defensive potential. The lack of detailed statistics regarding home matches for Mirassol and away matches for Vasco da Gama prevents a deeper analysis of the hosts' advantage. Due to the identical form, similar goal difference, and lack of clear indicators of advantage for either side, a draw appears to be the most probable scenario, although a slight edge is given to the hosts due to playing in their own environment.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mirassol | Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mirassol is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Mirassol · 0.6 pts / match - Vasco da Gama
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vasco da Gama is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Mirassol · 1.16 goals / match - Vasco da Gama
Mirassol is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - Mirassol · 1.58 goals / match - Vasco da Gama
Mirassol scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Vasco da Gama keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 19 matches).
Vasco da Gama scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Mirassol keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mirassol
Over / Under — Vasco da Gama
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mirassol is 82% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Mirassol · 0.79 pts / match - Vasco da Gama
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mirassol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 28%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Vasco da Gama - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mirassol
Vasco da Gama
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Mirassol | Liga | Vasco da Gama | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.50 | 2.65 | • 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 59% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 50% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 23% | ▼ 5% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 78% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Mirassol 2 - 0 - 0 Vasco da Gama. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mirassol vs Vasco da Gama?
The Serie A match finished Mirassol 2:1 Vasco da Gama. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Mirassol and Vasco da Gama?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Mirassol won 2, Vasco da Gama won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Mirassol vs Vasco da Gama?
Mirassol score 1.11 goals per game on average and Vasco da Gama 1.16. The Serie A average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Mirassol's matches and 68% of Vasco da Gama's.
What form are Mirassol and Vasco da Gama in?
Over the last 5 games Mirassol have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Vasco da Gama 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mirassol vs Vasco da Gama?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mirassol vs Vasco da Gama: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.