Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia: match statistics
Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mito Hollyhock played against Machida Zelvia in J1 League (Japan). The game was played on August 29, 2026. Venue: K's denki Stadium Mito. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Mito Hollyhock has 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.33 points per game. Machida Zelvia has 3 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Mito Hollyhock scores 1.67 goals per game and allows 1.33. Machida Zelvia scores 4.00 and allows 0.67. Games in this league average 3.20 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 100% of Mito Hollyhock's games and 67% of Machida Zelvia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 100%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Machida Zelvia has the higher season xG average, 1.79 to 1.58 per game. Mito Hollyhock takes 16.0 shots per game, while Machida Zelvia takes 16.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Mito Hollyhock leads at halftime in 67% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Machida Zelvia leads at halftime in 67% and scores 2.33 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mito Hollyhock's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). For Machida Zelvia, it is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
J1 League games average 3.20 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Machida Zelvia top the table and remain unbeaten in the league, winning all 3 matches with a 12:2 goal difference, while Mito Hollyhock have managed just 1 win in 3 games. The visitors are in significantly better form: they have recorded 4 wins and 1 draw in their last five appearances, scoring 16 goals, whereas the hosts have lost 3 times and scored 5 goals over the same period. Away from home, Machida average 4.5 goals per match and concede just 0.5, while Mito have drawn all of their matches at home so far, scoring and conceding 1 goal each. The visitors’ advantage is also evident in the quality of chances created, with an average xG of 1.88 compared to Mito’s 1.58, while they allow opponents an xG of just 1.01, against 1.90 for the hosts. Machida also register more shots on target away from home, averaging 6.5 compared to 4, which, combined with a 26% shot conversion rate, provides strong grounds for a victory for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS - Yes pick is supported by the fact that Mito Hollyhock have seen both teams score in 100% of their matches so far, while Machida Zelvia have recorded this outcome in 80% of their last five games. The hosts have kept no clean sheets, with an average xG conceded of 2.03, which clearly strengthens Machida’s chances of scoring. Machida are in excellent attacking form, averaging 3.2 goals in their last five matches with an xG of 1.79. On the other hand, Mito have scored only 1.0 goal per game during this period, but Machida have conceded an average of 1.0 goal and allowed opponents an xG of 1.36, so a home goal remains likely. The data-based odds are only slightly more pro-BTTS than the league average of 63%, but Mito’s weaker defense and Machida’s scoring consistency give the Goal/Goal scenario an edge.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as both teams have cleared this line in 100% of their matches so far this season. Machida have scored an average of 3.2 goals in their last five matches and won four of them, while Mito have conceded an average of 1.2 goals. The visitors’ attacking potential is further supported by an xG of 1.79, while the hosts allow opponents an average xG of 1.62. Mito have scored just 1.0 goal per game in their last five outings, but Machida allow opponents 1.36 xG, meaning the hosts have a realistic chance of finding the net. The projected total of 3.16 goals also supports Over 2.5, but the 1.5 line offers a clearly safer edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Machida Zelvia have been clearly stronger in their last five matches: they have won 80% of their games and scored an average of 3.2 goals, while Mito Hollyhock recorded only a 20% win rate, 60% defeats, and an average of 1.0 goal. The visitors already look superior before the break, scoring an average of 1.2 goals compared with Mito’s 0.6, while Mito were trailing at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches. Machida’s advantage should increase further after the interval, as they average 2.0 goals in second halves, compared with just 0.4 for Mito. The quality of chances also points to the visitors: their average xG is 1.88, while Mito’s defense allows opponents 2.03 xG, whereas Machida concede only 1.01 xG on average. The most likely scenario is therefore an HT/FT outcome in which Machida take the lead at the break and maintain it until the end of the match.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mito Hollyhock | Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.60 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Machida Zelvia is 126% better for: last-5 form.
1.33 pts / game - Mito Hollyhock · 3 pts / game - Machida Zelvia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Machida Zelvia is 140% better for: goals scored per game.
1.67 goals / game - Mito Hollyhock · 4 goals / game - Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia is 99% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - Mito Hollyhock · 0.67 goals / game - Machida Zelvia
Mito Hollyhock scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 meczów), while Machida Zelvia keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 meczów).
Machida Zelvia scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 meczów), while Mito Hollyhock keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mito Hollyhock
Over / Under - Machida Zelvia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Machida Zelvia is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / game - Mito Hollyhock · 2.33 pts / game - Machida Zelvia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mito Hollyhock - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 33%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Machida Zelvia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 67% of games and wins 100%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.33 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Average goals per game | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 33% |
| No goal | 33% | 33% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.7 | 2.3 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.3 | 2.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mito Hollyhock
Machida Zelvia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).
Teams vs league
| Mito Hollyhock | Liga | Machida Zelvia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.00 | 3.20 | ▲ 4.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 63% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 20% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 83% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia?
The J1 League match finished Mito Hollyhock 1:1 Machida Zelvia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia?
Mito Hollyhock score 1.67 goals per game on average and Machida Zelvia 4.00. The J1 League average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Mito Hollyhock's matches and 67% of Machida Zelvia's.
What form are Mito Hollyhock and Machida Zelvia in?
Over the last 5 games Mito Hollyhock have a 1-1-1 record (1.33 points per game) and Machida Zelvia 3-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mito Hollyhock vs Machida Zelvia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.