Mladost Ždralovi vs Sesvete: match statistics

Mladost Ždralovi remain unbeaten in their last five matches, recording 3 wins and 2 draws, while Sesvete have lost 3 of their last 5 games. The hosts have scored 10 goals during this period, compared with 8 for the visitors, but Mladost have a clearly superior form record, averaging 2.2 points per match versus their opponents’ 1.2. At home, Mladost create chances worth an average of 1.68 xG and restrict opponents to just 0.76 xG, while averaging 61% possession and 14 shots per game. Sesvete have conceded as many as 8 goals in their last five appearances, which could prove problematic against hosts who regularly find the back of the net. A draw remains a realistic outcome, as Mladost’s only home match so far ended in a share of the points, but the current trend more clearly favors the hosts.

Recent form clearly supports goals at both ends: Mladost Ždralovi and Sesvete recorded BTTS in 80% of their last five matches. During this period, the hosts averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while the visitors scored 1.6 and allowed their opponents 1.6 goals. Sesvete generated a solid 1.45 xG per match across their last five fixtures, higher than Mladost’s 1.06 xG, strengthening the visitors’ chances of scoring at least once. At home, Mladost averages 11.0 shots, including 3.5 on target, while their season average of 2.0 goals scored suggests they should also be able to exploit the opponent’s defensive weaknesses. Another supporting factor is the league’s high 67% BTTS rate, making a Goal/Goal outcome more likely.

Mladost’s last five matches produced an average of 3.4 goals, while Sesvete’s games averaged as many as 3.2 goals, clearly supporting a scenario with at least two goals. During this period, Mladost scored 2.0 goals per match, compared with 1.6 for Sesvete, while conceding 1.4 and 1.6 goals respectively. Both teams recorded BTTS in 80% of their last five appearances, while Sesvete saw Over 2.5 goals in 100% of those matches. The xG figures are somewhat more cautious, but still positive from an attacking perspective: 1.06 for Mladost and 1.45 for Sesvete, compared with 0.92 and 1.17 xG conceded by their opponents. Over 1.5 goals is the strongest selection, as even with regression from the teams’ high-scoring results, the two-goal threshold remains clearly the most likely outcome.

Mladost Ždralovi are unbeaten in their last five matches, winning 60% and drawing the remaining 40%, while Sesvete lost 60% of their games during this period. The hosts held a lead at the break in 67% of their recent outings, whereas the visitors were ahead at half-time in only 20% and went into the interval trailing in as many as 40% of matches. In the first halves, Mladost average 1.67 goals, significantly more than Sesvete’s 0.60, with a half-time goal difference of +2 compared with their opponents’ -1. After the break, the picture is more balanced, as Sesvete score an average of 1.00 goals and Mladost just 0.33, increasing the risk of a draw after the hosts have previously taken the lead. Nevertheless, Mladost’s superior form, more effective starts and average of 2.0 goals scored across their last five matches point primarily to an HT/FT scenario of the hosts leading at the break and securing the win at full-time.