Mławianka Mława vs Jagiellonia II: match statistics
Mławianka Mława vs Jagiellonia II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Mławianka Mława play Jagiellonia II in 3 Liga Group 1 (Poland). The match date is 13 May 2026 at 17:30. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Mławianka Mława: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Jagiellonia II: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Mławianka Mława scores 1.62 and concedes 1.74 goals per match. Jagiellonia II scores 1.35 and concedes 1.32. League average: 3.33 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Mławianka Mława 71%, Jagiellonia II 53%. Over 2.5: Mławianka Mława 71%, Jagiellonia II 41%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Mławianka Mława has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.41. Mławianka Mława: 9.9 shots per match, Jagiellonia II: 8.3.
Match halves
Mławianka Mława: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 1.15. Jagiellonia II: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Mławianka Mława: 76-90+ (18 goals). Jagiellonia II: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 1: 3.33 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
My pick is a home win (1). Mławianka averages 2.00 goals per home match with an average xG of 2.25, while Jagiellonia II concedes 1.13 goals on average away and has an average xG against of 1.36. The hosts create significantly more chances: 16.7 shots and 8.0 on target at home versus the visitors' 9.62 shots and 4.54 on target away, giving Mławianka a clear edge in chance volume despite the visitors exhibiting higher conversion (15% vs 11%). Form also slightly favors the hosts — Mławianka has scored 10 goals in the last 5 matches, won 3 of them and averaged 1.8 points per game over that span, whereas Jagiellonia II have 7 goals, 2 wins and 1.4 points per game. At the same time Mławianka’s home defense is weaker (1.87 goals conceded per match and only 7% clean sheets), while the visitors keep 33% clean sheets on the road, which reduces the home advantage and points to an open, goal-prone game. In summary, higher xG for Mławianka (2.25 vs 1.36), greater shot volume and better recent form give them the edge, but Jagiellonia II’s defensive strengths mean the outcome is not certain.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Mławianka Mława | Jagiellonia II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Jagiellonia II is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Mławianka Mława · 1.4 pts / match - Jagiellonia II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mławianka Mława is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.62 goals / match - Mławianka Mława · 1.35 goals / match - Jagiellonia II
Jagiellonia II is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.74 goals / match - Mławianka Mława · 1.32 goals / match - Jagiellonia II
Mławianka Mława scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Jagiellonia II keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
Jagiellonia II scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Mławianka Mława keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Mławianka Mława
Over / Under — Jagiellonia II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Jagiellonia II is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / match - Mławianka Mława · 1.21 pts / match - Jagiellonia II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mławianka Mława - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Jagiellonia II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Mławianka Mława
Jagiellonia II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 1).
Teams vs league
| Mławianka Mława | Liga | Jagiellonia II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.35 | 3.33 | ▼ 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 62% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 66% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 20% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 74% | • 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 83% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Mławianka Mława 0 - 0 - 1 Jagiellonia II. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Mławianka Mława vs Jagiellonia II?
The 3 Liga Group 1 match finished Mławianka Mława 0:1 Jagiellonia II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mławianka Mława vs Jagiellonia II?
Mławianka Mława score 1.62 goals per game on average and Jagiellonia II 1.35. The 3 Liga Group 1 average is 3.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Mławianka Mława's matches and 53% of Jagiellonia II's.
What form are Mławianka Mława and Jagiellonia II in?
Over the last 5 games Mławianka Mława have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Jagiellonia II 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mławianka Mława vs Jagiellonia II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.