Modena vs Carrarese: match statistics
Modena is displaying significantly better home form with a 42% win rate at home and a solid goal difference (+6). The hosts score an average of 1.42 goals per home match while conceding just 0.92, confirming their defensive stability with a 42% clean sheet rate. Carrarese has very poor away results – only a 17% win rate and as many as 50% defeats, conceding an average of 2 goals per away match with a -9 goal difference. The xG values also favor the hosts (1.71 vs 1.31), indicating their advantage in creating chances. Modena has earned 1.6 points per match in their last five games, while Carrarese only 1.4, further confirming the home side's advantage. Considering all these factors, a Modena victory is the most likely scenario, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to Carrarese's tendency to share points (33% draws away).
Modena vs Carrarese: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Modena played against Carrarese in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on February 14, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Modena has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Carrarese has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Modena scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 0.79. Carrarese scores 1.29 and allows 1.38. Games in this league average 2.47 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 42% of Modena's games and 50% of Carrarese's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 54%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Modena has the higher season xG average, 1.80 to 1.43 per game. Modena takes 16.6 shots per game, while Carrarese takes 13.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Modena leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.79 goals per game after halftime. Carrarese leads at halftime in 17% and scores 0.83 after halftime.
When the teams score
Modena's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Carrarese, it is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.47 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Modena is displaying significantly better home form with a 42% win rate at home and a solid goal difference (+6). The hosts score an average of 1.42 goals per home match while conceding just 0.92, confirming their defensive stability with a 42% clean sheet rate. Carrarese has very poor away results – only a 17% win rate and as many as 50% defeats, conceding an average of 2 goals per away match with a -9 goal difference. The xG values also favor the hosts (1.71 vs 1.31), indicating their advantage in creating chances. Modena has earned 1.6 points per match in their last five games, while Carrarese only 1.4, further confirming the home side's advantage. Considering all these factors, a Modena victory is the most likely scenario, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to Carrarese's tendency to share points (33% draws away).
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Modena | Carrarese | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Modena is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Modena · 1.4 pts / game - Carrarese
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Modena is 75% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.79 goals / game - Modena · 1.38 goals / game - Carrarese
Modena scores in 71% of games (17 of 24 meczów), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 meczów).
Carrarese scores in 67% of games (16 of 24 meczów), while Modena keeps a clean sheet in 46% (11 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Modena
Over / Under - Carrarese
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Modena is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / game - Modena · 1.08 pts / game - Carrarese
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Modena - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Carrarese - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Modena
Carrarese
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Modena | Liga | Carrarese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.08 | 2.47 | ▲ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 47% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 27% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 70% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 74% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Modena's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Carrarese. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Modena vs Carrarese?
The Serie B match finished Modena 2:0 Carrarese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Modena vs Carrarese?
Modena score 1.29 goals per game on average and Carrarese 1.29. The Serie B average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Modena's matches and 50% of Carrarese's.
What form are Modena and Carrarese in?
Over the last 5 games Modena have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Carrarese 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Modena vs Carrarese?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Modena vs Carrarese: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.