Modena vs Mantova: match statistics
Modena hold a distinct home advantage, boasting a 44% win rate at home and an impressive scoring efficiency of 1.44 goals per match while conceding just 0.81. The hosts also maintain clean sheets in 50% of their home games, showcasing defensive solidity. Mantova exhibit serious problems away from home, with only a 13% win rate, a 60% loss rate, and an alarming 53% of away matches without a goal scored. The difference in average xG (1.65 for Modena vs 1.37 for Mantova) and goal difference (+10 vs -10) further confirms the hosts' superiority. Despite Mantova's recent good form (1.6 PPG), their historical away struggles make a Modena victory the most likely scenario, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the hosts' solid defense and the unpredictability of Serie B.
Modena vs Mantova: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Modena played against Mantova in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on March 21, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Modena has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Mantova has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Modena scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 0.80. Mantova scores 1.13 and allows 1.48. Games in this league average 2.54 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Modena's games and 55% of Mantova's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 52%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Modena has the higher season xG average, 1.73 to 1.58 per game. Modena takes 15.9 shots per game, while Mantova takes 14.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Modena leads at halftime in 37% of its games and scores 0.77 goals per game after halftime. Mantova leads at halftime in 26% and scores 0.61 after halftime.
When the teams score
Modena's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Mantova, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.54 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Modena hold a distinct home advantage, boasting a 44% win rate at home and an impressive scoring efficiency of 1.44 goals per match while conceding just 0.81. The hosts also maintain clean sheets in 50% of their home games, showcasing defensive solidity. Mantova exhibit serious problems away from home, with only a 13% win rate, a 60% loss rate, and an alarming 53% of away matches without a goal scored. The difference in average xG (1.65 for Modena vs 1.37 for Mantova) and goal difference (+10 vs -10) further confirms the hosts' superiority. Despite Mantova's recent good form (1.6 PPG), their historical away struggles make a Modena victory the most likely scenario, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the hosts' solid defense and the unpredictability of Serie B.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Modena | Mantova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Mantova is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Modena · 1.6 pts / game - Mantova
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Modena is 18% better for: goals scored per game.
1.33 goals / game - Modena · 1.13 goals / game - Mantova
Modena is 85% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.8 goals / game - Modena · 1.48 goals / game - Mantova
Modena scores in 73% of games (22 of 30 meczów), while Mantova keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 meczów).
Mantova scores in 68% of games (21 of 31 meczów), while Modena keeps a clean sheet in 47% (14 of 30 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Modena
Over / Under - Mantova
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Modena is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / game - Modena · 1.13 pts / game - Mantova
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Modena - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Mantova - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Modena
Mantova
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Modena | Liga | Mantova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.13 | 2.54 | • 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 55% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 50% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 27% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 72% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Modena's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Mantova. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Modena vs Mantova?
The Serie B match finished Modena 2:1 Mantova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Modena vs Mantova?
Modena score 1.33 goals per game on average and Mantova 1.13. The Serie B average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Modena's matches and 55% of Mantova's.
What form are Modena and Mantova in?
Over the last 5 games Modena have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Mantova 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Modena vs Mantova?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.