Modena vs Monza: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Modena played against Monza in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on December 26, 2025. Final score: 1:2.

Recent form

Modena has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Monza has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Modena scores 1.47 goals per game and allows 0.76. Monza scores 1.47 and allows 0.76. Games in this league average 2.52 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 47% of Modena's games and 47% of Monza's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 35%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Modena has the higher season xG average, 1.84 to 1.52 per game. Modena takes 17.1 shots per game, while Monza takes 13.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Modena leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 1.06 goals per game after halftime. Monza leads at halftime in 41% and scores 0.71 after halftime.

When the teams score

Modena's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Monza, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie B games average 2.52 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
0 : 2
Second half

Game stats

52Possession (%)48
ModenaMonza
12Shots14
ModenaMonza
7Shots on target6
ModenaMonza
1.65xG1.56
ModenaMonza
5Corners4
ModenaMonza
55Dangerous attacks35
ModenaMonza
15Fouls15
ModenaMonza
4Cards4
ModenaMonza

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.47Goals scored / game1.47
ModenaMonza
0.76Goals allowed / game0.76
ModenaMonza
52%Average possession53%
ModenaMonza
4.94Shots on target / game4.41
ModenaMonza

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

17.06Shots per game13.76
ModenaMonza
4.94Shots on target4.41
ModenaMonza
8.6%Shot conversion10.7%
ModenaMonza
52%Possession53%
ModenaMonza
1.84xG for1.52
ModenaMonza
1.07xG against1.18
ModenaMonza

Shooting quality

Modena: AttackingMonza: Balanced
ModenaMonza
Accuracy (shots on target)29%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Monza is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - Modena · 1.6 pts / game - Monza

Modena
DLLWL
Season result split
47% W29% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-5-4
1.71 pts / game · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WWDLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.11Opponent xG: 1.28BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Monza
WDDLW
Season result split
59% W24% R18% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-4-3
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-2
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WWWDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Modena scoring profile: strong

Modena scores in 76% of games (13 of 17 meczów), while Monza keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 meczów).

Monza scoring profile: very strong

Monza scores in 88% of games (15 of 17 meczów), while Modena keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 meczów).

25Goals scored (season)25
ModenaMonza
13Goals conceded (season)13
ModenaMonza
2.24Average goals per game2.24
ModenaMonza
4Goals scored (last 5)8
ModenaMonza
5Goals conceded (last 5)6
ModenaMonza

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal88%
ModenaMonza
53%2 goals35%
ModenaMonza
18%3 goals18%
ModenaMonza
0%4 goals6%
ModenaMonza

How often they concede at least...

59%1 goal59%
ModenaMonza
18%2 goals18%
ModenaMonza
0%3 goals0%
ModenaMonza
0%4 goals0%
ModenaMonza

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time24%
ModenaMonza
0%BTTS in both halves6%
ModenaMonza
29%Scored in both halves29%
ModenaMonza

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
ModenaMonza
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
ModenaMonza
40%BTTS - last 560%
ModenaMonza

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
ModenaMonza
12%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
ModenaMonza
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
ModenaMonza

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
ModenaMonza
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
ModenaMonza
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
ModenaMonza

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Monza is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.24 pts / game - Modena · 1.76 pts / game - Monza

Modena - half-time state
29% leading35% draw35% trailing
Monza - half-time state
41% leading53% draw6% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.24Points per game (1st half)1.76
ModenaMonza
0.41Goals scored (1st half)0.76
ModenaMonza
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.29
ModenaMonza
0.88Average goals (1st half)1.06
ModenaMonza
53%Clean sheet before half-time71%
ModenaMonza
65%No goal before half-time41%
ModenaMonza

After half-time (2nd half)

2.12Points per game (2nd half)1.65
ModenaMonza
1.06Goals scored (2nd half)0.71
ModenaMonza
0.29Goals conceded (2nd half)0.47
ModenaMonza
1.35Average goals (2nd half)1.18
ModenaMonza
76%Clean sheet after half-time59%
ModenaMonza
29%No goal after half-time41%
ModenaMonza

Modena - second-half results

59% W35% R6% P
21
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 47%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Monza - second-half results

41% W41% R18% P
30
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.76
PPG before half-time
Lead holding144%

Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 59%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Modena - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.20
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game0.81.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Monza - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.00
Goals scored / game1.00.6
Goals allowed / game0.21.0
Average goals per game1.21.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+4-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Modena
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
0
2
16-30
4
5
31-45
4
2
46-60
6
2
61-75
8
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

Monza
ScoredConceded
3
2
0-15
3
1
16-30
7
2
31-45
7
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.23
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
88%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Modena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.77
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.91
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Monza

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.34
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
139%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
52%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

ModenaLigaMonza
Average goals per game 2.242.52 2.24
Both teams scored 47%56% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%47% 35%
Clean sheets 41%26% 41%
Goal before half-time 71%69% 65%
Goal after half-time 76%76% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.52
Average goals per game
56%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / game
1.06
Away goals / game
+37%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defensive advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. ModenaYellow cardDavide Adorni
  2. MonzaYellow cardKeita Baldé Diao
  3. MonzaYellow cardArmando Izzo
  4. ModenaGoalEttore Gliozzi
  5. MonzaYellow cardMatteo Pessina
  6. ModenaYellow cardFrancesco Filippo Zampano
  7. MonzaSubstitutionOn: Adam BakouneOff: Samuele Birindelli
  8. MonzaYellow cardPatrick Ciurria
  9. MonzaSubstitutionOn: Lorenzo LucchesiOff: Patrick Ciurria
  10. ModenaYellow cardDaniel Tonoli

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Kevin BonacinaMatches officiated: 8
5.13Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 213%Home wins25%Draws63%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Modena vs Monza?

The Serie B match finished Modena 1:2 Monza. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Modena vs Monza?

Modena score 1.47 goals per game on average and Monza 1.47. The Serie B average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Modena's matches and 47% of Monza's.

What form are Modena and Monza in?

Over the last 5 games Modena have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Monza 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Modena vs Monza?

The statistical background for Modena vs Monza — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.