Norway - EliteserienAker StadionData current as of October 21, 2026

Molde vs Fredrikstad: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Molde vs Fredrikstad: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Molde plays Fredrikstad in Eliteserien (Norway). The game is scheduled for October 25, 2026. Venue: Aker Stadion.

Recent form

Molde has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Fredrikstad has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Molde scores 2.26 goals per game and allows 1.52. Fredrikstad scores 1.22 and allows 1.57. Games in this league average 3.21 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 74% of Molde's games and 65% of Fredrikstad's. The Over 2.5 rates are 70% and 52%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Molde has the higher season xG average, 1.87 to 1.35 per game. Molde takes 16.3 shots per game, while Fredrikstad takes 11.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Molde leads at halftime in 52% of its games and scores 1.17 goals per game after halftime. Fredrikstad leads at halftime in 30% and scores 0.57 after halftime.

When the teams score

Molde's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (13 goals). For Fredrikstad, it is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Eliteserien games average 3.21 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.53)
(4.72)
(5.49)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

2.26Goals scored / game1.22
MoldeFredrikstad
1.52Goals allowed / game1.57
MoldeFredrikstad
60%Average possession49%
MoldeFredrikstad
6.35Shots on target / game3.78
MoldeFredrikstad

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

16.3Shots per game11.91
MoldeFredrikstad
6.35Shots on target3.78
MoldeFredrikstad
13.9%Shot conversion10.2%
MoldeFredrikstad
60%Possession49%
MoldeFredrikstad
1.87xG for1.35
MoldeFredrikstad
1.36xG against1.63
MoldeFredrikstad

Shooting quality

Molde: DominantFredrikstad: Balanced
MoldeFredrikstad
Accuracy (shots on target)39%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Molde is 233% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / game - Molde · 0.6 pts / game - Fredrikstad

Molde
WWLDW
Season result split
52% W17% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-4-7
1.74 pts / game · goal difference +17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-1-3
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DWWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 3.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.48Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Fredrikstad
LDDDL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
35% W22% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-5-10
1.26 pts / game · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-7
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LWWDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.42Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Molde is 85% better for: goals scored per game.

2.26 goals / game - Molde · 1.22 goals / game - Fredrikstad

Molde scoring profile: very strong

Molde scores in 91% of games (21 of 23 games), while Fredrikstad keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 games).

Fredrikstad scoring profile: very strong

Fredrikstad scores in 78% of games (18 of 23 games), while Molde keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 games).

52Goals scored (season)28
MoldeFredrikstad
35Goals conceded (season)36
MoldeFredrikstad
3.78Average goals per game2.78
MoldeFredrikstad
16Goals scored (last 5)6
MoldeFredrikstad
6Goals conceded (last 5)8
MoldeFredrikstad

How often they score at least...

91%1 goal78%
MoldeFredrikstad
57%2 goals26%
MoldeFredrikstad
35%3 goals13%
MoldeFredrikstad
26%4 goals4%
MoldeFredrikstad

How often they concede at least...

83%1 goal87%
MoldeFredrikstad
52%2 goals43%
MoldeFredrikstad
13%3 goals17%
MoldeFredrikstad
4%4 goals9%
MoldeFredrikstad

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

35%BTTS at half-time26%
MoldeFredrikstad
9%BTTS in both halves4%
MoldeFredrikstad
43%Scored in both halves9%
MoldeFredrikstad

BTTS and goal count

70%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
MoldeFredrikstad
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
MoldeFredrikstad
80%BTTS - last 5100%
MoldeFredrikstad

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

91%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
MoldeFredrikstad
52%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
MoldeFredrikstad
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
MoldeFredrikstad

2nd half

87%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
MoldeFredrikstad
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
MoldeFredrikstad
26%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
MoldeFredrikstad

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Molde is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.83 pts / game - Molde · 1.22 pts / game - Fredrikstad

Molde - half-time state
52% leading26% draw22% trailing
Fredrikstad - half-time state
30% leading30% draw39% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.83Points per game (1st half)1.22
MoldeFredrikstad
1.09Goals scored (1st half)0.65
MoldeFredrikstad
0.78Goals conceded (1st half)0.7
MoldeFredrikstad
1.87Average goals (1st half)1.35
MoldeFredrikstad
48%Clean sheet before half-time35%
MoldeFredrikstad
26%No goal before half-time57%
MoldeFredrikstad

After half-time (2nd half)

1.52Points per game (2nd half)1.09
MoldeFredrikstad
1.17Goals scored (2nd half)0.57
MoldeFredrikstad
0.74Goals conceded (2nd half)0.87
MoldeFredrikstad
1.91Average goals (2nd half)1.43
MoldeFredrikstad
39%Clean sheet after half-time43%
MoldeFredrikstad
39%No goal after half-time57%
MoldeFredrikstad

Molde - second-half results

39% W35% D26% L
42
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 52% of games and wins 52%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Fredrikstad - second-half results

22% W43% D35% L
28
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.22
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at halftime in 30% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Molde - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.402.40
Goals scored / game1.22.0
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game1.82.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+3+7
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6
Fredrikstad - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.20
Goals scored / game0.60.6
Goals allowed / game0.80.8
Average goals per game1.41.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Molde
ScoredConceded
7
6
0-15
6
6
16-30
12
6
31-45
13
8
46-60
3
1
61-75
11
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Fredrikstad
ScoredConceded
3
6
0-15
6
5
16-30
6
5
31-45
2
6
46-60
6
7
61-75
5
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.29
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.9 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
70%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+22%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Molde

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
123%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Fredrikstad

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
88%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.66
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).

Teams vs league

MoldeLigaFredrikstad
Average goals per game▲ 3.783.21▼ 2.78
Both teams scored▲ 74%60%▲ 65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 70%62%▼ 52%
Clean sheets▼ 17%22%▼ 13%
Goal before half-time▲ 91%85%▼ 83%
Goal after half-time▲ 87%79%▼ 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.21
Average goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.83
Home goals / game
1.38
Away goals / game
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defensive advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Molde's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses against Fredrikstad. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 75% of them.

Molde FK
1 : 2
Fredrikstad FK
Fredrikstad FK
4 : 2
Molde FK
Molde
6 : 1
Fredrikstad
Fredrikstad
0 : 0
Molde

FAQ

When do Molde and Fredrikstad play?

Molde face Fredrikstad on October 25, 2026 in Eliteserien at Aker Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Molde and Fredrikstad?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Molde won 1, Fredrikstad won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Molde vs Fredrikstad?

Molde score 2.26 goals per game on average and Fredrikstad 1.22. The Eliteserien average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Molde's matches and 65% of Fredrikstad's.

What form are Molde and Fredrikstad in?

Over the last 5 games Molde have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Fredrikstad 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Molde vs Fredrikstad?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Molde vs Fredrikstad: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.