Molde vs Lillestrøm: match statistics
Molde vs Lillestrøm: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Molde played against Lillestrøm in Eliteserien (Norway). The game was played on April 6, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Molde has 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.50 points per game. Lillestrøm has 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Molde scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 2.00. Lillestrøm scores 3.00 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.86 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Molde's games and 100% of Lillestrøm's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 100%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 50% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Lillestrøm has the higher season xG average, 1.97 to 1.44 per game. Molde takes 12.5 shots per game, while Lillestrøm takes 17.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Molde leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Lillestrøm leads at halftime in 0% and scores 2.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Molde's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (1 goals). For Lillestrøm, it is minutes 16-30 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eliteserien games average 2.86 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 50% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lillestrøm is the favorite based on form and attacking efficiency: they have 4 wins in their last 5 matches and 11 goals in that run, while Molde have 2 wins and 8 goals. The visitors create more chances — averaging 17 shots and 7 on target per away match versus Molde’s 13 shots and 4 on target at home — and they have a higher conversion rate (18% vs 15%) and higher xG (1.97 vs 1.50). Molde, however, boast strong home defensive stats: 100% wins and 100% clean sheets at their stadium, conceding on average 0 goals per match, which mitigates the visitors’ advantage. Considering the average points over the last 5 matches (2.4 for Lillestrøm vs 1.2 for Molde), the greater quantity and quality of chances created by the visitors, and Molde’s defensive steadiness at home, I tip a Lillestrøm win with a moderate risk of a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I project BTTS - Yes as more likely (70% vs 30%) because recent data indicates goal exchange. In the last 5 matches Molde averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while Lillestrøm averaged 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded, showing both teams create and concede chances. Lillestrøm averages 17 shots and 7 shots on target per match; xG over the last 5 matches is 1.63 for Molde and 1.44 for Lillestrøm, with xG against 1.18 (Molde) and 1.22 (Lillestrøm), confirming an exchange of opportunities. Seasonal indicators diverge (Molde home BTTS 0% vs Lillestrøm 100%), but both sides recorded 40% BTTS in the last 5 matches and the league BTTS rate is 54%, so the overall signal favors both teams scoring. Considering the away side’s attacking activity and the fact both teams concede on average 1.4 and 1.2 goals respectively, I choose 'Yes' as the strongest scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Combining xG with 5-match averages yields expected goals of 1.43 for Molde and 1.31 for Lillestrøm, a total of 2.74 goals; attacking xG is 1.63 (Molde) and 1.44 (Lillestrøm). With this total, estimated probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) is around 76%, while probability of at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) is about 52%. Historical data support this: in their last 5 matches Molde have seen 60% of games finish Over 2.5 goals and Lillestrøm 80%, while the league average is 3.0 goals per match, confirming a tendency toward higher-scoring games. Lillestrøm are in good form (wwwwl) and in available data average 17 shots and 7 on target per match, which increases goal probability. Therefore the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 and I recommend betting that line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistics strongly favor Lillestrøm: the visitors’ xG is 1.97 versus Molde’s 0.00, and Lillestrøm averages 17 shots (7 on target) per match, while available seasonal data shows Molde with 0.0 xG and 0.0 shots, suggesting a significant advantage for the visitors. Lillestrøm is level at the break in 100% of away matches and averages 1.0 goal before half-time, so a draw HT is a strong signal. In the second half the visitors score an average of 2.0 goals (2.4 in the last 5 matches) and win the second half in 80% of cases, indicating frequent turnarounds and victories after the break. Molde has a 40% win rate in the last 5 matches and averages 0.4 goals before half-time, but its seasonal home values are zero, which reduces the likelihood of the hosts taking and holding a lead. Therefore the most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a Lillestrøm win at full-time (HT/FT X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Molde | Lillestrøm | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Lillestrøm is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.5 pts / game - Molde · 3 pts / game - Lillestrøm
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lillestrøm is 100% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - Molde · 3 goals / game - Lillestrøm
Lillestrøm is 100% better for: goals allowed per game.
2 goals / game - Molde · 1 goals / game - Lillestrøm
Molde scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 meczów), while Lillestrøm keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 1 meczów).
Lillestrøm scores in 100% of games (1 of 1 meczów), while Molde keeps a clean sheet in 50% (1 of 2 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Molde
Over / Under - Lillestrøm
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Molde is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / game - Molde · 1 pts / game - Lillestrøm
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Molde - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Lillestrøm - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 0% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 100% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Molde
Lillestrøm
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eliteserien).
Teams vs league
| Molde | Liga | Lillestrøm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.50 | 2.86 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 50% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 50% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 25% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 86% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 64% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Molde's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Lillestrøm. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Molde vs Lillestrøm?
The Eliteserien match finished Molde 0:1 Lillestrøm. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Molde and Lillestrøm?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Molde won 2, Lillestrøm won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Molde vs Lillestrøm?
Molde score 1.50 goals per game on average and Lillestrøm 3.00. The Eliteserien average is 2.86 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Molde's matches and 100% of Lillestrøm's.
What form are Molde and Lillestrøm in?
Over the last 5 games Molde have a 1-0-1 record (1.50 points per game) and Lillestrøm 1-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Molde vs Lillestrøm?
The statistical background for Molde vs Lillestrøm — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.