Monaco vs Lille: match statistics
Monaco vs Lille: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Monaco played against Lille in Ligue 1 (France). The game was played on May 10, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Monaco has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Lille has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Monaco scores 1.75 goals per game and allows 1.50. Lille scores 1.59 and allows 1.09. Games in this league average 2.84 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 66% of Monaco's games and 41% of Lille's. The Over 2.5 rates are 66% and 41%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Lille has the higher season xG average, 1.62 to 1.46 per game. Monaco takes 12.4 shots per game, while Lille takes 13.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Monaco leads at halftime in 28% of its games and scores 1.16 goals per game after halftime. Lille leads at halftime in 34% and scores 1.13 after halftime.
When the teams score
Monaco's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (14 goals). For Lille, it is minutes 76-90+ (23 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 1 games average 2.84 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Visitors Lille appear to have the edge in form and defensive solidity: they average 2.2 points per match over the last 5 games versus Monaco’s 1.6 and sit 4th in the table compared to the hosts’ 6th. The main counterargument is the goal record in the last 5 matches — Lille have conceded just 1 goal while Monaco have let in 10 in the same period. Monaco remain very dangerous at home, scoring 2.06 goals per game with a shot conversion of 17%, only 6% of matches without a goal, and averaging 12.44 shots and 4.63 on target. xG figures are similar (Monaco 1.48 xG at home vs Lille 1.51 xG away), and Lille have a slightly better average goals conceded away (1.25 vs 1.38) and a higher clean sheet rate (38% vs 31%), so I give higher chances to the visitors to win, although Monaco remain offensively dangerous.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Monaco has a seasonal BTTS rate of 50% versus 31% for Lille, but in the last 5 matches Monaco recorded BTTS in 100% (5/5) while Lille only 20% (1/5). In their last 5 Monaco scored 9 and conceded 10 (avg 1.8 and 2.0), whereas Lille scored 9 and conceded 1 (1.8 and 0.2), highlighting Monaco's defensive vulnerability and Lille's offensive efficiency. xG and shot comparison show Monaco generates xG 1.73 and averages 14.94 shots with 4.88 on target, while Lille has xG 1.51 with 12.75 shots and 4.63 on target, so both sides create scoring opportunities. At the same time Lille have failed to score in 38% of away matches this season, and Monaco failed to score in 19% of matches, which partially lowers Lille’s BTTS probability. Considering Monaco’s dominant signal in the last 5 (100% BTTS), Monaco’s high goals conceded rate (10 in L5) and comparable xG and shot numbers, I predict a 62% chance of BTTS (Yes) and 38% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG I calculate expected goals of 2.71: Monaco 1.46, Lille 1.25, which suggests a match with around 2–3 goals. Seasonal stats show Monaco matches finished over 1.5 goals in 63% of cases and Lille in 69%, so both sides have a high tendency for games with at least 2 goals. In the last 5 fixtures Monaco recorded 100% of matches over 2.5 goals and scored 9 while conceding 10 (avg 1.8 scored / 2.0 conceded), whereas Lille in their last 5 scored 9 and conceded 1 (avg 1.8 / 0.2) with xG_for 1.77 and xG_against 0.67 — Monaco is active in attack but more vulnerable at the back, while Lille have recently shown a solid defense. Considering xG 2.71 and the league average of 2.84 goals, I rate Over 2.5 goals as moderately likely (62%), while low seasonal Over 3.5 figures (Monaco 19%, Lille 25%) favor Under 3.5 (80%). The strongest signal is Over 1.5 (I assess it at 85% probability), therefore I recommend staking Over 1.5 as the best market.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Monaco led at the break in 4 of 16 home matches (25%), with a draw at halftime in 10 of 16 (63%), while Lille led at the break in 7 of 16 away matches (44%) and were level at half-time in only 3 of 16 (19%). Averaging the tendencies of both teams ((63% + 19%) / 2 ≈ 41%) indicates a draw at the break is the most likely outcome. Monaco have better metrics in the latter stages: average xG 1.73 versus 1.51 for Lille, and they earn 1.63 points in second halves compared to Lille’s 1.31, with a second-half win rate of 38% vs 31%, giving the hosts an advantage in the final phase of the match. Therefore the strongest signal is a draw at half-time and a Monaco win at full-time (X/1), assigned the highest probability (23%), while also considering 1/1 at 18% and 2/2 at 16% as relevant alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Monaco | Lille | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Lille is 38% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Monaco · 2.2 pts / game - Lille
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Monaco is 10% better for: goals scored per game.
1.75 goals / game - Monaco · 1.59 goals / game - Lille
Lille is 38% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.5 goals / game - Monaco · 1.09 goals / game - Lille
Monaco scores in 81% of games (26 of 32 meczów), while Lille keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 meczów).
Lille scores in 72% of games (23 of 32 meczów), while Monaco keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Monaco
Over / Under - Lille
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lille is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / game - Monaco · 1.44 pts / game - Lille
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Monaco - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Lille - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 34% of games and wins 53%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (23 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +17 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Monaco
Lille
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Monaco | Liga | Lille | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.25 | 2.84 | ▼ 2.69 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 51% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 66% | 53% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 28% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 71% | ▼ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 78% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Monaco's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Lille. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Monaco vs Lille?
The Ligue 1 match finished Monaco 0:1 Lille. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Monaco vs Lille?
Monaco score 1.75 goals per game on average and Lille 1.59. The Ligue 1 average is 2.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Monaco's matches and 41% of Lille's.
What form are Monaco and Lille in?
Over the last 5 games Monaco have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Lille 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monaco vs Lille?
The statistical background for Monaco vs Lille — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.