Montana vs Vihren Sandanski: match statistics

Montana are extremely strong at home: they have won all three home matches, averaging 2.33 goals scored and just 0.33 conceded, while keeping a clean sheet in two-thirds of those games. Vihren Sandanski arrive as unbeaten leaders after 7 rounds, with a record of 4 wins and 3 draws, and have scored 11 goals while conceding only 4 in their last five matches. Both teams have a perfect record of three wins in matches played at home and away respectively, averaging an identical 2.33 goals in those venues and failing to score in none of them. Montana have marginally higher average xG, 1.50 compared to 1.45, and limit opponents more effectively in terms of xG against, 1.02 compared to 1.18, but the visitors boast a clearly stronger recent points run: 3 wins and 2 draws in their last five matches. The combination of highly balanced venue-based numbers and the leaders’ unbeaten form suggests a closely contested match in which a draw is the most likely outcome.

Montana average 2.00 goals per match, while Vihren average 2.33, with neither team recording a game without scoring this season. The hosts have kept no clean sheets and concede an average of 1.25 goals, which supports the prospect of the away side finding the net. Montana also create high-quality chances at 2.05 xG, above the 1.18 xG average allowed by Vihren, although the visitors have kept a clean sheet in as many as 67% of their matches. Across their last five outings, both teams recorded BTTS - Yes in 40% and 60% of matches respectively, with average xG figures of 1.54 and 1.79. The attacking strength of both sides and Montana’s poor clean-sheet record give a slight edge to the scenario in which both teams score.

Both teams have surpassed the 1.5-goal threshold in 100% of their league matches so far, which is the strongest indicator of a higher-scoring game. Montana average 2.00 goals at home and create chances worth 2.05 xG, while Vihren score an average of 2.33 goals away from home. The last five matches also point to attacking potential: the hosts have scored 1.4 goals per game, while the visitors have averaged 2.2. Vihren’s defense concedes just 0.67 goals away from home, but Montana average 17.5 shots and 7.25 shots on target per match, so they should create chances of their own. The projected total of 2.70 goals provides a clearer edge for Over 1.5 than for the more evenly balanced 2.5 line.

Vihren Sandanski have won all of their league matches so far, averaging 2.33 goals scored and conceding just 0.67, while Montana have recorded only a 25% win rate and 75% draws. The visitors led at the break in 67% of their matches and are yet to concede in the first half; Montana have also avoided trailing at half-time, but drew at the break in as many as 50% of cases. Vihren’s advantage should increase after the interval, as they average 1.67 goals in the second half compared with Montana’s 1.25, while their second-half average over the last five matches stands at an impressive 1.4 goals. Montana create plenty of chances, as reflected by an xG of 2.05 and 7.25 shots on target per match, but the visitors have kept a clean sheet in 67% of their games. Therefore, the most likely HT/FT outcome is a Vihren lead at half-time followed by a full-time victory (1/1).