Japan - J2 LeagueND Soft Stadium YamagataData current as of September 24, 2026

Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Montedio Yamagata plays Sagan Tosu in J2 League (Japan). The game is scheduled for September 26, 2026. Venue: ND Soft Stadium Yamagata.

Recent form

Montedio Yamagata has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Sagan Tosu has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Montedio Yamagata scores 1.14 goals per game and allows 0.86. Sagan Tosu scores 1.14 and allows 1.29. Games in this league average 2.54 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 14% of Montedio Yamagata's games and 43% of Sagan Tosu's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 43%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Montedio Yamagata has the higher season xG average, 1.69 to 1.64 per game. Montedio Yamagata takes 14.4 shots per game, while Sagan Tosu takes 14.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Montedio Yamagata leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Sagan Tosu leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.71 after halftime.

When the teams score

Montedio Yamagata's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Sagan Tosu, it is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

J2 League games average 2.54 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.60)
(3.30)
(2.32)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
1.14Goals scored / game1.14
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
0.86Goals allowed / game1.29
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
53%Average possession53%
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
5Shots on target / game4.71
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14.43Shots per game14.57
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
5Shots on target4.71
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
7.9%Shot conversion7.8%
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
53%Possession53%
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
1.69xG for1.64
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
1.51xG against1.41
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu

Shooting quality

Montedio Yamagata: AttackingSagan Tosu: Attacking
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
Accuracy (shots on target)35%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.230.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Montedio Yamagata is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Montedio Yamagata · 0.8 pts / game - Sagan Tosu

Montedio Yamagata
WWLLL
Season result split
43% W0% D57% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-0-4
1.29 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Last 5 at home
2-0-2
WWLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.68Opponent xG: 1.53BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Sagan Tosu
LDWLL
Season result split
29% W29% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-3
1.14 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Last 5 away
0-2-1
DDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Montedio Yamagata is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.86 goals / game - Montedio Yamagata · 1.29 goals / game - Sagan Tosu

Montedio Yamagata scoring profile: mixed

Montedio Yamagata scores in 57% of games (4 of 7 games), while Sagan Tosu keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 games).

Sagan Tosu scoring profile: strong

Sagan Tosu scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 games), while Montedio Yamagata keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 games).

8Goals scored (season)8
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
6Goals conceded (season)9
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
2Average goals per game2.43
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
6Goals scored (last 5)6
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
5Goals conceded (last 5)9
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu

How often they score at least...

57%1 goal71%
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
43%2 goals43%
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
14%3 goals0%
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
0%4 goals0%
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu

How often they concede at least...

57%1 goal57%
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
29%2 goals43%
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
0%3 goals29%
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
0%4 goals0%
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

46%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time14%
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
0%BTTS in both halves14%
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
14%Scored in both halves29%
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu

BTTS and goal count

14%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
20%BTTS - last 560%
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

29%Min. 1 goal before half-time43%
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
14%Min. 2 goals before half-time14%
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Sagan Tosu is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.14 pts / game - Montedio Yamagata · 1.57 pts / game - Sagan Tosu

Montedio Yamagata - half-time state
14% leading71% draw14% trailing
Sagan Tosu - half-time state
29% leading71% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.14Points per game (1st half)1.57
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
0.14Goals scored (1st half)0.43
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
0.29Goals conceded (1st half)0.14
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
0.43Average goals (1st half)0.57
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
86%Clean sheet before half-time86%
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
86%No goal before half-time57%
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu

After half-time (2nd half)

1.71Points per game (2nd half)1.14
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.71
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
0.57Goals conceded (2nd half)1.14
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
1.57Average goals (2nd half)1.86
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
57%Clean sheet after half-time43%
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu
43%No goal after half-time43%
Montedio YamagataSagan Tosu

Montedio Yamagata - second-half results

57% W0% D43% L
8
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding307%

Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Sagan Tosu - second-half results

29% W29% D43% L
11
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.57
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+1.0

Allows 1.0 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Montedio Yamagata - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.80
Goals scored / game0.01.2
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game0.41.8
1 goal20%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-2+3
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Sagan Tosu - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.80
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.21.6
Average goals per game0.62.4
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Montedio Yamagata
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Sagan Tosu
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.21
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
87%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
29%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+81%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Montedio Yamagata

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.55
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.65
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
76%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
63% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
63%

Sagan Tosu

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.50
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J2 League).

Teams vs league

Montedio YamagataLigaSagan Tosu
Average goals per game 2.002.54 2.43
Both teams scored 14%46% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%46% 43%
Clean sheets 43%32% 43%
Goal before half-time 29%64% 43%
Goal after half-time 100%80% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.54
Average goals per game
46%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.41
Home goals / game
1.13
Away goals / game
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defensive advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Montedio Yamagata's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Sagan Tosu. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Montedio Yamagata
3 : 2
Sagan Tosu
Sagan Tosu
2 : 1
Montedio Yamagata

FAQ

When do Montedio Yamagata and Sagan Tosu play?

Montedio Yamagata face Sagan Tosu on September 26, 2026 in J2 League at ND Soft Stadium Yamagata. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Montedio Yamagata and Sagan Tosu?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Montedio Yamagata won 1, Sagan Tosu won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu?

Montedio Yamagata score 1.14 goals per game on average and Sagan Tosu 1.14. The J2 League average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 14% of Montedio Yamagata's matches and 43% of Sagan Tosu's.

What form are Montedio Yamagata and Sagan Tosu in?

Over the last 5 games Montedio Yamagata have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Sagan Tosu 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.