Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive: match statistics
Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Monterey Bay play El Paso Locomotive in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 21 June 2026 at 04:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Monterey Bay: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. El Paso Locomotive: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Monterey Bay scores 0.93 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. El Paso Locomotive scores 1.79 and concedes 1.71. League average: 2.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Monterey Bay 47%, El Paso Locomotive 79%. Over 2.5: Monterey Bay 47%, El Paso Locomotive 79%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
El Paso Locomotive has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.23. Monterey Bay: 9.9 shots per match, El Paso Locomotive: 11.4.
Match halves
Monterey Bay: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.67. El Paso Locomotive: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Monterey Bay: 76-90+ (5 goals). El Paso Locomotive: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL Championship: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-1-2. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.
Match description
I predict a win for the home side (Monterey Bay) based on a clear uptick in form over the last five matches: Monterey have scored 9 goals and recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss (PPG 2), while El Paso in the same period have scored 6 goals and had 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses (PPG 1). Season-long figures still favor the visitors — El Paso have 23 goals this season versus Monterey's 13, and away they score on average 2.17 goals per game with a conversion rate of 19% compared to 1.29 and 12% for the hosts; visitors average 11.17 shots (4.33 on target) per away game, Monterey 10.71 (4.0 on target) at home. In terms of xG, both teams show similar attacking expected chances (xG For 1.33), but defensively Monterey look more stable at their stadium — the hosts have average xG against 1.19 and concede 1.14 goals per game, whereas El Paso away have a higher xG against 1.75 despite officially conceding 1.00 goal per away match. Additionally, El Paso have never had a goalless away game (FTS 0%), and Monterey have failed to score in 43% of home matches, however the hosts' last 5 games have yielded 9 goals scored and only 5 conceded, indicating improved finishing and defensive solidity. On that basis I give Monterey a slight edge, expecting a tight but home-advantage match.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Monterey Bay | El Paso Locomotive | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Monterey Bay is 100% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Monterey Bay · 1 pts / match - El Paso Locomotive
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
El Paso Locomotive is 92% better for: goals scored per match.
0.93 goals / match - Monterey Bay · 1.79 goals / match - El Paso Locomotive
Monterey Bay is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.47 goals / match - Monterey Bay · 1.71 goals / match - El Paso Locomotive
Monterey Bay scores in 60% of matches (9 of 15 matches), while El Paso Locomotive keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 matches).
El Paso Locomotive scores in 93% of matches (13 of 14 matches), while Monterey Bay keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Monterey Bay
Over / Under — El Paso Locomotive
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
El Paso Locomotive is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - Monterey Bay · 1.43 pts / match - El Paso Locomotive
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Monterey Bay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
El Paso Locomotive - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Monterey Bay
El Paso Locomotive
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).
Teams vs league
| Monterey Bay | Liga | El Paso Locomotive | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.40 | 2.80 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 57% | ▲ 79% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 52% | ▲ 79% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 26% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 67% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Monterey Bay 0 - 1 - 2 El Paso Locomotive. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?
The USL Championship match finished Monterey Bay 1:0 El Paso Locomotive. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Monterey Bay and El Paso Locomotive?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Monterey Bay won 0, El Paso Locomotive won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?
Monterey Bay score 0.93 goals per game on average and El Paso Locomotive 1.79. The USL Championship average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Monterey Bay's matches and 79% of El Paso Locomotive's.
What form are Monterey Bay and El Paso Locomotive in?
Over the last 5 games Monterey Bay have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and El Paso Locomotive 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Monterey Bay vs El Paso Locomotive: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.