United States - USL ChampionshipData current as of 06 August 2026

Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Monterey Bay play New Mexico United in USL Championship (United States). The match date is 9 August 2026.

Current form

Monterey Bay: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. New Mexico United: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Monterey Bay scores 1.00 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. New Mexico United scores 1.36 and concedes 1.07. League average: 2.79 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Monterey Bay 50%, New Mexico United 50%. Over 2.5: Monterey Bay 50%, New Mexico United 50%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

New Mexico United has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.21. Monterey Bay: 9.6 shots per match, New Mexico United: 11.9.

Match halves

Monterey Bay: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.69. New Mexico United: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71.

Goals by minute

Monterey Bay: 76-90+ (5 goals). New Mexico United: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL Championship: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.21)
(3.40)
(2.90)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Monterey BayNew Mexico United
1Goals scored / match1.36
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
1.56Goals conceded / match1.07
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
50%Average possession54%
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
2.94Shots on target / match4.29
Monterey BayNew Mexico United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.56Shots per match11.86
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
2.94Shots on target4.29
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
10.5%Shot conversion11.4%
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
50%Possession54%
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
1.21xG for1.33
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
1.48xG against1.58
Monterey BayNew Mexico United

Shooting quality

Monterey Bay: BalancedNew Mexico United: Balanced
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
Accuracy (shots on target)31%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

New Mexico United is 57% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Monterey Bay · 2.2 pts / match - New Mexico United

Monterey Bay
WLWDL
Season result split
25% W19% R56% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-9
0.94 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-3
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
LWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
New Mexico United
DDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
50% W21% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-3-4
1.71 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-3
Last 5 away
3-1-1
WLDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

New Mexico United is 36% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Monterey Bay · 1.36 goals / match - New Mexico United

New Mexico United is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.56 goals / match - Monterey Bay · 1.07 goals / match - New Mexico United

Monterey Bay scoring profile: strong

Monterey Bay scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while New Mexico United keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).

New Mexico United scoring profile: very strong

New Mexico United scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while Monterey Bay keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).

16Goals scored (season)19
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
25Goals conceded (season)15
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
2.56Average goals in match2.43
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
5Goals scored (last 5)8
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
6Goals conceded (last 5)3
Monterey BayNew Mexico United

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal71%
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
25%2 goals36%
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
6%3 goals21%
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
6%4 goals7%
Monterey BayNew Mexico United

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal71%
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
44%2 goals29%
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
31%3 goals7%
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
6%4 goals0%
Monterey BayNew Mexico United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
New Mexico United - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.7 of 14 matches
58%
League average

Goal patterns

6%BTTS at half-time21%
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
6%BTTS in both halves0%
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
19%Scored in both halves14%
Monterey BayNew Mexico United

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS7%
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
40%BTTS - last 560%
Monterey BayNew Mexico United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

56%Min. 1 goal before half-time64%
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
Monterey BayNew Mexico United

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
63%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Monterey BayNew Mexico United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

New Mexico United is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.06 pts / match - Monterey Bay · 1.36 pts / match - New Mexico United

Monterey Bay - half-time state
19% leading50% draw31% trailing
New Mexico United - half-time state
29% leading50% draw21% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.06Points per match (1st half)1.36
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
0.31Goals scored (1st half)0.64
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.43
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
0.81Average goals (1st half)1.07
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
63%Clean sheet before half-time57%
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
75%No goal before half-time57%
Monterey BayNew Mexico United

After half-time (2nd half)

0.88Points per match (2nd half)1.43
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
0.69Goals scored (2nd half)0.71
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
1.06Goals conceded (2nd half)0.64
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
1.75Average goals (2nd half)1.36
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
25%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Monterey BayNew Mexico United
44%No goal after half-time57%
Monterey BayNew Mexico United

Monterey Bay - second-half results

19% W31% R50% P
17
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

New Mexico United - second-half results

36% W36% R29% P
19
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
20
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.36
PPG before half-time
Lead holding172%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Monterey Bay - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
New Mexico United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.60
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match1.21.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+4+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Monterey Bay
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
2
5
16-30
1
2
31-45
4
9
46-60
2
5
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

New Mexico United
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
1
1
16-30
5
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
6
4
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-10%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Monterey Bay

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
65%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
125%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.46
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

New Mexico United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.54
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.51
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
69%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL Championship).

Teams vs league

Monterey BayLigaNew Mexico United
Average goals in match 2.562.79 2.43
Both teams scored 50%58% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%52% 50%
Clean sheets 25%26% 29%
Goal before half-time 56%67% 64%
Goal after half-time 88%80% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.79
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.54
Home goals / match
1.25
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Monterey Bay 1 - 1 - 2 New Mexico United. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Monterey Bay FC
1 : 1
New Mexico United
New Mexico United
1 : 0
Monterey Bay FC
New Mexico United
3 : 2
Monterey Bay
Monterey Bay
1 : 0
New Mexico United

FAQ

When do Monterey Bay and New Mexico United play?

Monterey Bay face New Mexico United on 9 August 2026 in USL Championship. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Monterey Bay and New Mexico United?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Monterey Bay won 1, New Mexico United won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United?

Monterey Bay score 1.00 goals per game on average and New Mexico United 1.36. The USL Championship average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Monterey Bay's matches and 50% of New Mexico United's.

What form are Monterey Bay and New Mexico United in?

Over the last 5 games Monterey Bay have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and New Mexico United 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monterey Bay vs New Mexico United?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.