Monterrey vs Guadalajara: match statistics
Monterrey displays impressive home form with a 60% win rate and a +14 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts show superiority in offensive efficiency at home (1.87 goals per match) and in possession (59%). Guadalajara, despite a solid away record (53% wins), has weaker shooting efficiency away (1.4 goals per match) and a higher percentage of matches without a scored goal (27%). Monterrey's recent form is slightly weaker (1 point per match), but their dominance in home matches, confirmed by xG statistics (1.63 vs 1.27), gives them an advantage. I expect a balanced match with a slight advantage for the hosts, considering their strength at home and Guadalajara's solid defense.
Monterrey vs Guadalajara: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Monterrey played against Guadalajara in Liga MX (Mexico). The game was played on March 22, 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
Monterrey has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Guadalajara has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Monterrey scores 1.72 goals per game and allows 1.44. Guadalajara scores 1.77 and allows 1.13. Games in this league average 2.92 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Monterrey's games and 50% of Guadalajara's. The Over 2.5 rates are 53% and 60%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Guadalajara has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.52 per game. Monterrey takes 13.7 shots per game, while Guadalajara takes 15.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Monterrey leads at halftime in 53% of its games and scores 0.66 goals per game after halftime. Guadalajara leads at halftime in 47% and scores 0.83 after halftime.
When the teams score
Monterrey's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (18 goals). For Guadalajara, it is minutes 76-90+ (15 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga MX games average 2.92 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Monterrey displays impressive home form with a 60% win rate and a +14 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts show superiority in offensive efficiency at home (1.87 goals per match) and in possession (59%). Guadalajara, despite a solid away record (53% wins), has weaker shooting efficiency away (1.4 goals per match) and a higher percentage of matches without a scored goal (27%). Monterrey's recent form is slightly weaker (1 point per match), but their dominance in home matches, confirmed by xG statistics (1.63 vs 1.27), gives them an advantage. I expect a balanced match with a slight advantage for the hosts, considering their strength at home and Guadalajara's solid defense.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Monterrey | Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Guadalajara is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Monterrey · 1.8 pts / game - Guadalajara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guadalajara is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.44 goals / game - Monterrey · 1.13 goals / game - Guadalajara
Monterrey scores in 78% of games (25 of 32 meczów), while Guadalajara keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 meczów).
Guadalajara scores in 77% of games (23 of 30 meczów), while Monterrey keeps a clean sheet in 28% (9 of 32 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Monterrey
Over / Under - Guadalajara
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Monterrey is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.84 pts / game - Monterrey · 1.63 pts / game - Guadalajara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Monterrey - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 53% of games and wins 47%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Guadalajara - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 47% of games and wins 60%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +7 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (18 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Monterrey
Guadalajara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Monterrey | Liga | Guadalajara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.16 | 2.92 | • 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 53% | 56% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 24% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 72% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 77% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Monterrey's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Guadalajara. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Monterrey vs Guadalajara?
The Liga MX match finished Monterrey 2:3 Guadalajara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Monterrey vs Guadalajara?
Monterrey score 1.72 goals per game on average and Guadalajara 1.77. The Liga MX average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Monterrey's matches and 50% of Guadalajara's.
What form are Monterrey and Guadalajara in?
Over the last 5 games Monterrey have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Guadalajara 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monterrey vs Guadalajara?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.