Montpellier vs Guingamp: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely even, which argues for a draw. Montpellier presents solid home form with a 40% win record and only 20% of matches without scoring, but their average xG (1.49) exceeds actual goals scored (1.3 per match), suggesting some inefficiency. Guingamp impresses in away matches with a 44% win rate and high efficiency (17% shot conversion), and their recent form (3 consecutive wins) is excellent. A key factor is the close average possession for both teams (54% vs 52%) and similar xG Against values, indicating tactical balance. Both teams have scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches with an identical points record (1.8 PPG), further confirming the even nature of the clash. Guingamp's advantage in Goal Difference away (2 vs 1 for Montpellier at home) is minimal; therefore, a split of points seems the most likely scenario.
Montpellier vs Guingamp: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Montpellier played against Guingamp in Ligue 2 (France). The game was played on January 30, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Montpellier has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Guingamp has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Montpellier scores 1.05 goals per game and allows 1.00. Guingamp scores 1.60 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.51 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Montpellier's games and 50% of Guingamp's. The Over 2.5 rates are 20% and 70%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Montpellier has the higher season xG average, 1.34 to 1.31 per game. Montpellier takes 12.4 shots per game, while Guingamp takes 11.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Montpellier leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.70 goals per game after halftime. Guingamp leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.80 after halftime.
When the teams score
Montpellier's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). For Guingamp, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligue 2 games average 2.51 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely even, which argues for a draw. Montpellier presents solid home form with a 40% win record and only 20% of matches without scoring, but their average xG (1.49) exceeds actual goals scored (1.3 per match), suggesting some inefficiency. Guingamp impresses in away matches with a 44% win rate and high efficiency (17% shot conversion), and their recent form (3 consecutive wins) is excellent. A key factor is the close average possession for both teams (54% vs 52%) and similar xG Against values, indicating tactical balance. Both teams have scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches with an identical points record (1.8 PPG), further confirming the even nature of the clash. Guingamp's advantage in Goal Difference away (2 vs 1 for Montpellier at home) is minimal; therefore, a split of points seems the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Montpellier | Guingamp | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Guingamp is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Montpellier · 1.8 pts / game - Guingamp
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Guingamp is 52% better for: goals scored per game.
1.05 goals / game - Montpellier · 1.6 goals / game - Guingamp
Montpellier is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Montpellier · 1.5 goals / game - Guingamp
Montpellier scores in 70% of games (14 of 20 meczów), while Guingamp keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 meczów).
Guingamp scores in 75% of games (15 of 20 meczów), while Montpellier keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Montpellier
Over / Under - Guingamp
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Guingamp is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.9 pts / game - Montpellier · 1.5 pts / game - Guingamp
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Montpellier - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Guingamp - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Montpellier
Guingamp
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).
Teams vs league
| Montpellier | Liga | Guingamp | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.05 | 2.51 | ▲ 3.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 51% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 48% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | • 30% | 29% | • 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 66% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 75% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Montpellier's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Guingamp. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Montpellier vs Guingamp?
The Ligue 2 match finished Montpellier 3:1 Guingamp. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Montpellier vs Guingamp?
Montpellier score 1.05 goals per game on average and Guingamp 1.60. The Ligue 2 average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Montpellier's matches and 50% of Guingamp's.
What form are Montpellier and Guingamp in?
Over the last 5 games Montpellier have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Guingamp 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Montpellier vs Guingamp?
The statistical background for Montpellier vs Guingamp — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.