Montpellier vs Pau: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Montpellier play Pau in Ligue 2 (France). The match date is 6 December 2025 at 14:00. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Montpellier: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Pau: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Montpellier scores 1.21 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. Pau scores 1.41 and concedes 1.82. League average: 2.53 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Montpellier 41%, Pau 56%. Over 2.5: Montpellier 29%, Pau 68%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

Pau has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.29. Montpellier: 11.3 shots per match, Pau: 12.2.

Match halves

Montpellier: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.74. Pau: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.59.

Goals by minute

Montpellier: 76-90+ (14 goals). Pau: 16-30 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ligue 2: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

56Possession (%)44
MontpellierPau
13Shots7
MontpellierPau
5Shots on target3
MontpellierPau
1.45xG0.84
MontpellierPau
13Corners4
MontpellierPau
37Dangerous attacks25
MontpellierPau
22Fouls18
MontpellierPau
2Cards5
MontpellierPau

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.21Goals scored / match1.41
MontpellierPau
0.91Goals conceded / match1.82
MontpellierPau
52%Average possession52%
MontpellierPau
4Shots on target / match3.88
MontpellierPau

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.35Shots per match12.15
MontpellierPau
4Shots on target3.88
MontpellierPau
10.6%Shot conversion11.6%
MontpellierPau
52%Possession52%
MontpellierPau
1.29xG for1.35
MontpellierPau
1.35xG against1.25
MontpellierPau

Shooting quality

Montpellier: BalancedPau: Balanced
MontpellierPau
Accuracy (shots on target)35%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Montpellier is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Montpellier · 1.2 pts / match - Pau

Montpellier
DWWLD
Season result split
41% W26% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-9-11
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-4-5
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Pau
WWLLL
Season result split
35% W26% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-9-13
1.32 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
7-4-6
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Pau is 17% better for: goals scored per match.

1.21 goals / match - Montpellier · 1.41 goals / match - Pau

Montpellier is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.91 goals / match - Montpellier · 1.82 goals / match - Pau

Montpellier scoring profile: strong

Montpellier scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Pau keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).

Pau scoring profile: very strong

Pau scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Montpellier keeps a clean sheet in 35% (12 of 34 matches).

41Goals scored (season)48
MontpellierPau
31Goals conceded (season)62
MontpellierPau
2.12Average goals in match3.24
MontpellierPau
6Goals scored (last 5)8
MontpellierPau
4Goals conceded (last 5)14
MontpellierPau

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal82%
MontpellierPau
35%2 goals41%
MontpellierPau
12%3 goals18%
MontpellierPau
6%4 goals0%
MontpellierPau

How often they concede at least...

65%1 goal71%
MontpellierPau
21%2 goals53%
MontpellierPau
6%3 goals32%
MontpellierPau
0%4 goals15%
MontpellierPau

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time24%
MontpellierPau
3%BTTS in both halves9%
MontpellierPau
21%Scored in both halves24%
MontpellierPau

BTTS and goal count

26%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
MontpellierPau
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS21%
MontpellierPau
60%BTTS - last 580%
MontpellierPau

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time85%
MontpellierPau
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
MontpellierPau
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time32%
MontpellierPau

2nd half

65%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
MontpellierPau
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
MontpellierPau
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
MontpellierPau

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Pau is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.18 pts / match - Montpellier · 1.32 pts / match - Pau

Montpellier - half-time state
24% leading47% draw29% trailing
Pau - half-time state
35% leading26% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.18Points per match (1st half)1.32
MontpellierPau
0.47Goals scored (1st half)0.82
MontpellierPau
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.97
MontpellierPau
1Average goals (1st half)1.79
MontpellierPau
53%Clean sheet before half-time47%
MontpellierPau
62%No goal before half-time44%
MontpellierPau

After half-time (2nd half)

1.56Points per match (2nd half)1.06
MontpellierPau
0.74Goals scored (2nd half)0.59
MontpellierPau
0.38Goals conceded (2nd half)0.85
MontpellierPau
1.12Average goals (2nd half)1.44
MontpellierPau
68%Clean sheet after half-time47%
MontpellierPau
50%No goal after half-time50%
MontpellierPau

Montpellier - second-half results

38% W41% R21% P
40
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
53
Second-half points
+12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding171%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Pau - second-half results

24% W35% R41% P
45
Half-time points
28
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.32
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Montpellier - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.80
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Pau - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match1.21.6
Average goals in match2.02.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals40%60%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-2-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Montpellier
ScoredConceded
4
7
0-15
6
6
16-30
6
5
31-45
7
3
46-60
4
3
61-75
14
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

Pau
ScoredConceded
8
10
0-15
10
12
16-30
10
11
31-45
7
6
46-60
3
7
61-75
10
16
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.67
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Montpellier

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.36
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.08
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.44
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.10
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
34% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
34%

Pau

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+6.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.57
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
139%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 2).

Teams vs league

MontpellierLigaPau
Average goals in match 2.122.53 3.24
Both teams scored 41%52% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%47% 68%
Clean sheets 35%30% 29%
Goal before half-time 65%67% 85%
Goal after half-time 65%73% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.53
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.31
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+7%
Home attack advantage
+7%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Montpellier 0 - 1 - 0 Pau. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Montpellier vs Pau?

The Ligue 2 match finished Montpellier 0:1 Pau. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Montpellier vs Pau?

Montpellier score 1.21 goals per game on average and Pau 1.41. The Ligue 2 average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Montpellier's matches and 56% of Pau's.

What form are Montpellier and Pau in?

Over the last 5 games Montpellier have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Pau 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Montpellier vs Pau?

The statistical background for Montpellier vs Pau — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.