Montrose vs Hamilton Academical: match statistics
Montrose vs Hamilton Academical: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Montrose play Hamilton Academical in League One (Scotland). The match date is 18 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Montrose: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Hamilton Academical: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Montrose scores 1.31 and concedes 1.83 goals per match. Hamilton Academical scores 1.47 and concedes 1.19. League average: 2.62 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Montrose 61%, Hamilton Academical 42%. Over 2.5: Montrose 56%, Hamilton Academical 58%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Hamilton Academical has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.11. Montrose: 8.6 shots per match, Hamilton Academical: 9.7.
Match halves
Montrose: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.72. Hamilton Academical: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Montrose: 61-75 (11 goals). Hamilton Academical: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.62 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 0-1-2. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 33%.
Match description
I back a Montrose win (1) because the hosts have scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches with a record of 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, whereas Hamilton have only 5 goals and a 1-1-3 record in that period. Hamilton do have a better season record (14 wins vs 10 for Montrose, 5th vs 7th) and higher away average xG 1.32 versus the home xG of 1.11, plus more shots on target per game (4.81 vs 3.31), indicating higher quality chance creation. Defensively the visitors are slightly stronger – Montrose concede 1.81 goals per home game, while Hamilton allow 1.56 on the road and keep 31% clean sheets versus Montrose’s 19% at home. Still, Montrose are less likely to be held scoreless at home (25% of matches without a goal vs 38% for Hamilton away) and have a higher home shot-to-goal conversion rate (17% vs 15%), which increases the hosts’ real chance of converting opportunities. Considering average points in the last 5 matches (Montrose 1.4 vs Hamilton 0.8) and the clear advantage in goals scored recently (10 vs 5), I assign probabilities of 45% for a home win, 30% for a draw and 25% for an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Montrose | Hamilton Academical | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hamilton Academical is 800% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Montrose · 1.8 pts / match - Hamilton Academical
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hamilton Academical is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - Montrose · 1.47 goals / match - Hamilton Academical
Hamilton Academical is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.83 goals / match - Montrose · 1.19 goals / match - Hamilton Academical
Montrose scores in 75% of matches (27 of 36 matches), while Hamilton Academical keeps a clean sheet in 39% (14 of 36 matches).
Hamilton Academical scores in 72% of matches (26 of 36 matches), while Montrose keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Montrose
Over / Under — Hamilton Academical
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hamilton Academical is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Montrose · 1.56 pts / match - Hamilton Academical
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Montrose - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hamilton Academical - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Montrose
Hamilton Academical
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Montrose | Liga | Hamilton Academical | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.14 | 2.62 | • 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 61% | 50% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 49% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 28% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 83% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Montrose 0 - 1 - 2 Hamilton Academical. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Montrose vs Hamilton Academical?
The League One match finished Montrose 0:2 Hamilton Academical. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Montrose and Hamilton Academical?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Montrose won 0, Hamilton Academical won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Montrose vs Hamilton Academical?
Montrose score 1.31 goals per game on average and Hamilton Academical 1.47. The League One average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 61% of Montrose's matches and 42% of Hamilton Academical's.
What form are Montrose and Hamilton Academical in?
Over the last 5 games Montrose have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Hamilton Academical 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Montrose vs Hamilton Academical?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.