Montrose vs Kelty Hearts: match statistics
Montrose has a clear advantage as the host of this meeting. Despite an average season, the home team shows solid home form with 42% of matches won at home and just 33% of matches without scoring a goal. Kelty Hearts present very poor disposition away - only 25% wins and a massive 58% of lost matches, making them one of the weakest away teams in the league. The guests' recent form is worrying - just 0.6 points per match in the last five meetings and no wins. Montrose scored an average of 1.25 goals per match at home, while Kelty Hearts conceded an average of 1.83 goals away, suggesting an advantage for the hosts. xG statistics also support this prediction - Montrose generates better chances in home matches than Kelty Hearts do away, which, with the support of their own fans, should translate into a victory for the hosts.
Montrose vs Kelty Hearts: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Montrose played against Kelty Hearts in League One (Scotland). The game was played on March 3, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Montrose has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Kelty Hearts has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Montrose scores 1.27 goals per game and allows 1.73. Kelty Hearts scores 0.81 and allows 1.92. Games in this league average 2.61 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 58% of Montrose's games and 50% of Kelty Hearts's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 58%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Montrose has the higher season xG average, 1.08 to 0.96 per game. Montrose takes 8.3 shots per game, while Kelty Hearts takes 6.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Montrose leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.65 goals per game after halftime. Kelty Hearts leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.35 after halftime.
When the teams score
Montrose's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Kelty Hearts, it is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
League One games average 2.61 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Montrose has a clear advantage as the host of this meeting. Despite an average season, the home team shows solid home form with 42% of matches won at home and just 33% of matches without scoring a goal. Kelty Hearts present very poor disposition away - only 25% wins and a massive 58% of lost matches, making them one of the weakest away teams in the league. The guests' recent form is worrying - just 0.6 points per match in the last five meetings and no wins. Montrose scored an average of 1.25 goals per match at home, while Kelty Hearts conceded an average of 1.83 goals away, suggesting an advantage for the hosts. xG statistics also support this prediction - Montrose generates better chances in home matches than Kelty Hearts do away, which, with the support of their own fans, should translate into a victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Montrose | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Montrose is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Montrose · 0.6 pts / game - Kelty Hearts
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Montrose is 57% better for: goals scored per game.
1.27 goals / game - Montrose · 0.81 goals / game - Kelty Hearts
Montrose is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.73 goals / game - Montrose · 1.92 goals / game - Kelty Hearts
Montrose scores in 73% of games (19 of 26 meczów), while Kelty Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 meczów).
Kelty Hearts scores in 58% of games (15 of 26 meczów), while Montrose keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Montrose
Over / Under - Kelty Hearts
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Montrose is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.12 pts / game - Montrose · 1.04 pts / game - Kelty Hearts
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Montrose - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Kelty Hearts - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 12%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Montrose
Kelty Hearts
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Montrose | Liga | Kelty Hearts | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.00 | 2.61 | ▲ 2.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 51% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 31% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 74% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 79% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Montrose's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Kelty Hearts. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Montrose vs Kelty Hearts?
The League One match finished Montrose 1:1 Kelty Hearts. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Montrose and Kelty Hearts?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Montrose won 1, Kelty Hearts won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Montrose vs Kelty Hearts?
Montrose score 1.27 goals per game on average and Kelty Hearts 0.81. The League One average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Montrose's matches and 50% of Kelty Hearts's.
What form are Montrose and Kelty Hearts in?
Over the last 5 games Montrose have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Kelty Hearts 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Montrose vs Kelty Hearts?
The statistical background for Montrose vs Kelty Hearts — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.