Monza vs Carrarese: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Monza played against Carrarese in Serie B (Italy). The game was played on December 20, 2025. Final score: 4:1.

Recent form

Monza has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Carrarese has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Monza scores 1.31 goals per game and allows 0.75. Carrarese scores 1.44 and allows 1.56. Games in this league average 2.50 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 44% of Monza's games and 56% of Carrarese's. The Over 2.5 rates are 31% and 56%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Monza has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.40 per game. Monza takes 13.6 shots per game, while Carrarese takes 12.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Monza leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Carrarese leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.88 after halftime.

When the teams score

Monza's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For Carrarese, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie B games average 2.50 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Stats by half

2 : 0
First half
2 : 1
Second half

Game stats

51Possession (%)49
MonzaCarrarese
16Shots9
MonzaCarrarese
13Shots on target4
MonzaCarrarese
2.21xG1.23
MonzaCarrarese
5Corners8
MonzaCarrarese
39Dangerous attacks52
MonzaCarrarese
12Fouls12
MonzaCarrarese
0Cards4
MonzaCarrarese

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.31Goals scored / game1.44
MonzaCarrarese
0.75Goals allowed / game1.56
MonzaCarrarese
53%Average possession50%
MonzaCarrarese
3.88Shots on target / game3.88
MonzaCarrarese

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.63Shots per game12.69
MonzaCarrarese
3.88Shots on target3.88
MonzaCarrarese
9.6%Shot conversion11.3%
MonzaCarrarese
53%Possession50%
MonzaCarrarese
1.47xG for1.4
MonzaCarrarese
1.18xG against1.4
MonzaCarrarese

Shooting quality

Monza: BalancedCarrarese: Balanced
MonzaCarrarese
Accuracy (shots on target)28%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Monza is 60% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Monza · 1 pts / game - Carrarese

Monza
WWDDL
Season result split
56% W25% D19% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-3
1.94 pts / game · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-1-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Carrarese
DDLLW
Season result split
25% W44% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-7-5
1.19 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-4-3
Last 5 away
0-2-3
DLDLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.41Opponent xG: 1.50BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Carrarese is 10% better for: goals scored per game.

1.31 goals / game - Monza · 1.44 goals / game - Carrarese

Monza is 108% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.75 goals / game - Monza · 1.56 goals / game - Carrarese

Monza scoring profile: very strong

Monza scores in 88% of games (14 of 16 meczów), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 meczów).

Carrarese scoring profile: strong

Carrarese scores in 69% of games (11 of 16 meczów), while Monza keeps a clean sheet in 44% (7 of 16 meczów).

21Goals scored (season)23
MonzaCarrarese
12Goals conceded (season)25
MonzaCarrarese
2.06Average goals per game3
MonzaCarrarese
6Goals scored (last 5)6
MonzaCarrarese
5Goals conceded (last 5)10
MonzaCarrarese

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal69%
MonzaCarrarese
31%2 goals50%
MonzaCarrarese
13%3 goals25%
MonzaCarrarese
0%4 goals0%
MonzaCarrarese

How often they concede at least...

56%1 goal69%
MonzaCarrarese
19%2 goals50%
MonzaCarrarese
0%3 goals19%
MonzaCarrarese
0%4 goals13%
MonzaCarrarese

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time25%
MonzaCarrarese
6%BTTS in both halves19%
MonzaCarrarese
25%Scored in both halves38%
MonzaCarrarese

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
MonzaCarrarese
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
MonzaCarrarese
40%BTTS - last 560%
MonzaCarrarese

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
MonzaCarrarese
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time31%
MonzaCarrarese
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
MonzaCarrarese

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time81%
MonzaCarrarese
31%Min. 2 goals after half-time63%
MonzaCarrarese
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time31%
MonzaCarrarese

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Monza is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.69 pts / game - Monza · 1.19 pts / game - Carrarese

Monza - half-time state
38% leading56% draw6% trailing
Carrarese - half-time state
19% leading63% draw19% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.69Points per game (1st half)1.19
MonzaCarrarese
0.69Goals scored (1st half)0.56
MonzaCarrarese
0.31Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
MonzaCarrarese
1Average goals (1st half)1.19
MonzaCarrarese
69%Clean sheet before half-time56%
MonzaCarrarese
44%No goal before half-time56%
MonzaCarrarese

After half-time (2nd half)

1.56Points per game (2nd half)1.19
MonzaCarrarese
0.63Goals scored (2nd half)0.88
MonzaCarrarese
0.44Goals conceded (2nd half)0.94
MonzaCarrarese
1.06Average goals (2nd half)1.81
MonzaCarrarese
63%Clean sheet after half-time31%
MonzaCarrarese
44%No goal after half-time38%
MonzaCarrarese

Monza - second-half results

38% W44% D19% L
27
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.69
PPG before half-time
Lead holding147%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Carrarese - second-half results

25% W44% D31% L
19
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Monza - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.201.00
Goals scored / game0.80.4
Goals allowed / game0.20.8
Average goals per game1.01.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+3-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
Carrarese - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.00
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.81.2
Average goals per game1.22.0
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-2-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Monza
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
3
1
16-30
6
2
31-45
6
3
46-60
2
0
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Carrarese
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
3
3
16-30
2
6
31-45
3
5
46-60
5
4
61-75
6
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.53
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Monza

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
71%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

Carrarese

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.16
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
136%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.19
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

MonzaLigaCarrarese
Average goals per game 2.062.50 3.00
Both teams scored 44%54% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 31%47% 56%
Clean sheets 44%27% 31%
Goal before half-time 63%68% 63%
Goal after half-time 75%76% 81%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.50
Average goals per game
54%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / game
1.06
Away goals / game
+37%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defensive advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. CarrareseYellow cardGabriele Parlanti
  2. CarrareseYellow cardSimone Zanon
  3. CarrareseYellow cardJulián Illanes Minucci
  4. CarrareseYellow cardNicolás Adrián Schiavi
  5. CarrareseGoalFilippo Di Stefano
  6. CarrareseSubstitutionOn: Tommaso RubinoOff: Nicolás Adrián Schiavi
  7. MonzaSubstitutionOn: Adam BakouneOff: Luca Ravanelli

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Daniele PerenzoniMatches officiated: 16
4.56Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 238%Home wins38%Draws25%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Monza vs Carrarese?

The Serie B match finished Monza 4:1 Carrarese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Monza vs Carrarese?

Monza score 1.31 goals per game on average and Carrarese 1.44. The Serie B average is 2.50 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Monza's matches and 56% of Carrarese's.

What form are Monza and Carrarese in?

Over the last 5 games Monza have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Carrarese 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monza vs Carrarese?

The statistical background for Monza vs Carrarese — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.