Monza vs Carrarese: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Monza play Carrarese in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 20 December 2025 at 15:00. Final score: 4:1.

Current form

Monza: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Carrarese: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Monza scores 1.60 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Carrarese scores 1.24 and concedes 1.37. League average: 2.55 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Monza 50%, Carrarese 47%. Over 2.5: Monza 48%, Carrarese 50%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Monza has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.43. Monza: 14.1 shots per match, Carrarese: 13.3.

Match halves

Monza: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.00. Carrarese: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.84.

Goals by minute

Monza: 76-90+ (21 goals). Carrarese: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie B: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

51Possession (%)49
MonzaCarrarese
16Shots9
MonzaCarrarese
13Shots on target4
MonzaCarrarese
2.21xG1.23
MonzaCarrarese
5Corners8
MonzaCarrarese
39Dangerous attacks52
MonzaCarrarese
12Fouls12
MonzaCarrarese
0Cards4
MonzaCarrarese

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.6Goals scored / match1.24
MonzaCarrarese
0.88Goals conceded / match1.37
MonzaCarrarese
52%Average possession51%
MonzaCarrarese
4.83Shots on target / match3.92
MonzaCarrarese

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.1Shots per match13.32
MonzaCarrarese
4.83Shots on target3.92
MonzaCarrarese
11.3%Shot conversion9.3%
MonzaCarrarese
52%Possession51%
MonzaCarrarese
1.56xG for1.43
MonzaCarrarese
1.29xG against1.39
MonzaCarrarese

Shooting quality

Monza: AttackingCarrarese: Balanced
MonzaCarrarese
Accuracy (shots on target)34%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Monza is 300% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Monza · 0.4 pts / match - Carrarese

Monza
DDWWL
Season result split
57% W26% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
24-11-7
1.98 pts / match · goal difference +30
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
15-4-2
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WWDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Carrarese
LDLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
26% W37% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-14-14
1.16 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-6-10
Last 5 away
1-1-3
DWLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.52Opponent xG: 1.42BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Monza is 29% better for: goals scored per match.

1.6 goals / match - Monza · 1.24 goals / match - Carrarese

Monza is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.88 goals / match - Monza · 1.37 goals / match - Carrarese

Monza scoring profile: very strong

Monza scores in 86% of matches (36 of 42 matches), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).

Carrarese scoring profile: mixed

Carrarese scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Monza keeps a clean sheet in 40% (17 of 42 matches).

67Goals scored (season)47
MonzaCarrarese
37Goals conceded (season)52
MonzaCarrarese
2.48Average goals in match2.61
MonzaCarrarese
8Goals scored (last 5)3
MonzaCarrarese
7Goals conceded (last 5)9
MonzaCarrarese

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal63%
MonzaCarrarese
55%2 goals39%
MonzaCarrarese
17%3 goals21%
MonzaCarrarese
2%4 goals0%
MonzaCarrarese

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal68%
MonzaCarrarese
21%2 goals42%
MonzaCarrarese
5%3 goals16%
MonzaCarrarese
2%4 goals8%
MonzaCarrarese

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

19%BTTS at half-time18%
MonzaCarrarese
7%BTTS in both halves13%
MonzaCarrarese
29%Scored in both halves29%
MonzaCarrarese

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS37%
MonzaCarrarese
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
MonzaCarrarese
60%BTTS - last 540%
MonzaCarrarese

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

62%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
MonzaCarrarese
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
MonzaCarrarese
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
MonzaCarrarese

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
MonzaCarrarese
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
MonzaCarrarese
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
MonzaCarrarese

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Monza is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.4 pts / match - Monza · 0.92 pts / match - Carrarese

Monza - half-time state
29% leading55% draw17% trailing
Carrarese - half-time state
13% leading53% draw34% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.4Points per match (1st half)0.92
MonzaCarrarese
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0.39
MonzaCarrarese
0.4Goals conceded (1st half)0.66
MonzaCarrarese
1Average goals (1st half)1.05
MonzaCarrarese
64%Clean sheet before half-time50%
MonzaCarrarese
55%No goal before half-time68%
MonzaCarrarese

After half-time (2nd half)

1.9Points per match (2nd half)1.39
MonzaCarrarese
1Goals scored (2nd half)0.84
MonzaCarrarese
0.48Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
MonzaCarrarese
1.48Average goals (2nd half)1.55
MonzaCarrarese
60%Clean sheet after half-time47%
MonzaCarrarese
31%No goal after half-time39%
MonzaCarrarese

Monza - second-half results

52% W33% R14% P
59
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
80
Second-half points
+22
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding197%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Carrarese - second-half results

32% W45% R24% P
35
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
53
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.92
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Monza - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.60
Goals scored / match0.21.4
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match0.62.4
1 goal40%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Carrarese - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.80
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-3-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Monza
ScoredConceded
6
6
0-15
9
5
16-30
10
6
31-45
13
6
46-60
8
2
61-75
21
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (21 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

Carrarese
ScoredConceded
6
6
0-15
7
8
16-30
2
11
31-45
7
10
46-60
12
6
61-75
13
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.54
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-61%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Monza

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-13.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
82%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.38
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
31% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
31%

Carrarese

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.76
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).

Teams vs league

MonzaLigaCarrarese
Average goals in match 2.482.55 2.61
Both teams scored 50%53% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 48%48% 50%
Clean sheets 40%27% 32%
Goal before half-time 62%70% 63%
Goal after half-time 83%78% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.07
Away goals / match
+38%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Monza 1 - 0 - 0 Carrarese. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Monza vs Carrarese?

The Serie B match finished Monza 4:1 Carrarese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Monza vs Carrarese?

Monza score 1.60 goals per game on average and Carrarese 1.24. The Serie B average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Monza's matches and 47% of Carrarese's.

What form are Monza and Carrarese in?

Over the last 5 games Monza have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Carrarese 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monza vs Carrarese?

The statistical background for Monza vs Carrarese — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.