Monza vs Napoli: match statistics
Monza vs Napoli: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Monza played against Napoli in Serie A (Italy). The game was played on October 28, 2026. Venue: U-Power Stadium. Final score: 1:4.
Recent form
Monza has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Napoli has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Monza scores 1.88 goals per game and allows 2.25. Napoli scores 1.63 and allows 1.25. Games in this league average 3.10 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 88% of Monza's games and 50% of Napoli's. The Over 2.5 rates are 88% and 50%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Napoli has the higher season xG average, 1.87 to 1.54 per game. Monza takes 13.4 shots per game, while Napoli takes 16.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Monza leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 1.25 goals per game after halftime. Napoli leads at halftime in 38% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Monza's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For Napoli, it is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 3.10 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Monza have won 2 of their 3 home matches so far, scoring an average of 2.67 goals, while Napoli have won just 1 of 4 away fixtures, averaging 1.25 goals in those matches. The hosts have scored in every home game, with a shot conversion rate of 18% compared with Napoli’s 7% away from home. However, Napoli create higher-quality chances: their away xG stands at 2.01, compared with Monza’s 1.62 at home, so the hosts’ advantage is not decisive. In their last five league matches, Monza have scored 11 goals but conceded 10, showing that their attacking efficiency comes with defensive risks. Despite this, home advantage and a higher conversion rate favor Monza, although their record is based on just three home matches, which calls for caution.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In their last 5 matches, both teams scored in 80% of Monza’s games and 60% of Napoli’s, which supports the BTTS - Yes pick. Over this period, Monza averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while Napoli averaged 1.8 scored and 1.6 conceded, showing that both teams have found the net regularly but have also allowed their opponents to score. Their attacking potential is reflected in average xG figures of 1.74 for Monza and 2.01 for Napoli, although Napoli convert only 7% of their shots into goals, compared with 11% for the hosts. The strongest argument against BTTS is Monza’s clean sheet record in 67% of their home matches; however, their defense has conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game recently, so I consider both teams to score the more likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Monza’s last 5 matches averaged 4.2 goals, while Napoli’s averaged 3.4, supporting a scenario with at least two goals. Both teams posted high average xG over this period: 1.63 for Monza and 2.05 for Napoli, although their average goals conceded—2.0 and 1.6, respectively—cover all matches, not just games in this configuration. Caution is warranted by Monza’s home results: at least two goals were scored in 67% of those matches, but none featured more than three. Therefore, Over 1.5 is a stronger pick than higher goal lines; with a projected total of 2.85 goals, I rate its probability at 79%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Napoli were level at the break in 3 of their 4 away matches and conceded no goals before half-time in any of them. Monza led at the break in only 1 of their 3 home games, so their advantage may emerge later. In their last 5 matches, the hosts averaged 1.8 goals after half-time compared with Napoli’s 0.6, and won the second half in 60% of matches compared with 20% for their opponents. Monza’s home record also supports a full-time win: they have won 67% of their home games and averaged 2.0 points per match, while Napoli have won 25% of their away matches and averaged 1.0 point. Although Napoli led at the break in 60% of their last 5 matches, the combination of frequent away draws at half-time and Monza’s stronger second halves points above all to a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Monza | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Napoli is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Monza · 1.6 pts / game - Napoli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Monza is 15% better for: goals scored per game.
1.88 goals / game - Monza · 1.63 goals / game - Napoli
Napoli is 80% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.25 goals / game - Monza · 1.25 goals / game - Napoli
Monza scores in 100% of games (8 of 8 games), while Napoli keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 games).
Napoli scores in 88% of games (7 of 8 games), while Monza keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Monza
Over / Under - Napoli
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Napoli is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Monza · 1.63 pts / game - Napoli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Monza - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Napoli - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Monza
Napoli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Monza | Liga | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.13 | 3.10 | ▼ 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 88% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 88% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 23% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 67% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 86% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Monza vs Napoli?
The Serie A match finished Monza 1:4 Napoli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Monza vs Napoli?
Monza score 1.88 goals per game on average and Napoli 1.63. The Serie A average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 88% of Monza's matches and 50% of Napoli's.
What form are Monza and Napoli in?
Over the last 5 games Monza have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Napoli 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Monza vs Napoli?
The statistical background for Monza vs Napoli — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.


