Morecambe vs Eastleigh: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched encounter between two teams in poor form. Morecambe occupy the bottom 23rd position in the table with just a 19% win rate at home and a disastrous record of 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Eastleigh show slightly better away form (29% wins), but their recent form also raises doubts with only 1 point per game. A key factor is Morecambe's advantage in possession (54% vs 41%) and a slightly better xG ratio at their home ground (1.41 vs 1.30 for the visitors). Both teams struggle to keep clean sheets (13% and 12%), suggesting the potential for goals at both ends. Considering the poor form of both sides, Eastleigh's high draw percentage away (24%), and Morecambe's desperate need for points, the most likely scenario appears to be a share of the points.
Morecambe vs Eastleigh: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Morecambe play Eastleigh in National League (England). The match date is 21 February 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Morecambe: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Eastleigh: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Morecambe scores 1.43 and concedes 2.24 goals per match. Eastleigh scores 1.24 and concedes 1.74. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Morecambe 57%, Eastleigh 67%. Over 2.5: Morecambe 70%, Eastleigh 57%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Morecambe has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.32. Morecambe: 11.3 shots per match, Eastleigh: 9.3.
Match halves
Morecambe: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.76. Eastleigh: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Morecambe: 46-60 (16 goals). Eastleigh: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched encounter between two teams in poor form. Morecambe occupy the bottom 23rd position in the table with just a 19% win rate at home and a disastrous record of 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Eastleigh show slightly better away form (29% wins), but their recent form also raises doubts with only 1 point per game. A key factor is Morecambe's advantage in possession (54% vs 41%) and a slightly better xG ratio at their home ground (1.41 vs 1.30 for the visitors). Both teams struggle to keep clean sheets (13% and 12%), suggesting the potential for goals at both ends. Considering the poor form of both sides, Eastleigh's high draw percentage away (24%), and Morecambe's desperate need for points, the most likely scenario appears to be a share of the points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Morecambe | Eastleigh | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Eastleigh is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Morecambe · 1.6 pts / match - Eastleigh
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Morecambe is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.43 goals / match - Morecambe · 1.24 goals / match - Eastleigh
Eastleigh is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.24 goals / match - Morecambe · 1.74 goals / match - Eastleigh
Morecambe scores in 67% of matches (31 of 46 matches), while Eastleigh keeps a clean sheet in 9% (4 of 46 matches).
Eastleigh scores in 74% of matches (34 of 46 matches), while Morecambe keeps a clean sheet in 13% (6 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Morecambe
Over / Under — Eastleigh
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Morecambe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Eastleigh - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (28). Late-goal balance (76-90): -17 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Morecambe
Eastleigh
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Morecambe | Liga | Eastleigh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.67 | 2.92 | • 2.98 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 70% | 57% | • 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 24% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 80% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Morecambe 0 - 0 - 1 Eastleigh. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Morecambe vs Eastleigh?
The National League match finished Morecambe 4:0 Eastleigh. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Morecambe vs Eastleigh?
Morecambe score 1.43 goals per game on average and Eastleigh 1.24. The National League average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Morecambe's matches and 67% of Eastleigh's.
What form are Morecambe and Eastleigh in?
Over the last 5 games Morecambe have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Eastleigh 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Morecambe vs Eastleigh?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.