Morecambe vs Eastleigh: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched encounter between two teams in poor form. Morecambe occupy the bottom 23rd position in the table with just a 19% win rate at home and a disastrous record of 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Eastleigh show slightly better away form (29% wins), but their recent form also raises doubts with only 1 point per game. A key factor is Morecambe's advantage in possession (54% vs 41%) and a slightly better xG ratio at their home ground (1.41 vs 1.30 for the visitors). Both teams struggle to keep clean sheets (13% and 12%), suggesting the potential for goals at both ends. Considering the poor form of both sides, Eastleigh's high draw percentage away (24%), and Morecambe's desperate need for points, the most likely scenario appears to be a share of the points.
Morecambe vs Eastleigh: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Morecambe played against Eastleigh in National League (England). The game was played on February 21, 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Recent form
Morecambe has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Eastleigh has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Morecambe scores 1.19 goals per game and allows 2.19. Eastleigh scores 1.28 and allows 1.66. Games in this league average 2.85 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 56% of Morecambe's games and 69% of Eastleigh's. The Over 2.5 rates are 66% and 53%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Morecambe has the higher season xG average, 1.38 to 1.33 per game. Morecambe takes 11.2 shots per game, while Eastleigh takes 9.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Morecambe leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.69 goals per game after halftime. Eastleigh leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.81 after halftime.
When the teams score
Morecambe's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (11 goals). For Eastleigh, it is minutes 46-60 (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
National League games average 2.85 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a very evenly matched encounter between two teams in poor form. Morecambe occupy the bottom 23rd position in the table with just a 19% win rate at home and a disastrous record of 0 wins in their last 5 matches. Eastleigh show slightly better away form (29% wins), but their recent form also raises doubts with only 1 point per game. A key factor is Morecambe's advantage in possession (54% vs 41%) and a slightly better xG ratio at their home ground (1.41 vs 1.30 for the visitors). Both teams struggle to keep clean sheets (13% and 12%), suggesting the potential for goals at both ends. Considering the poor form of both sides, Eastleigh's high draw percentage away (24%), and Morecambe's desperate need for points, the most likely scenario appears to be a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Morecambe | Eastleigh | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Eastleigh is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Morecambe · 1 pts / game - Eastleigh
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Eastleigh is 8% better for: goals scored per game.
1.19 goals / game - Morecambe · 1.28 goals / game - Eastleigh
Eastleigh is 32% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.19 goals / game - Morecambe · 1.66 goals / game - Eastleigh
Morecambe scores in 66% of games (21 of 32 meczów), while Eastleigh keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 32 meczów).
Eastleigh scores in 75% of games (24 of 32 meczów), while Morecambe keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 32 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Morecambe
Over / Under - Eastleigh
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Eastleigh is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / game - Morecambe · 1.09 pts / game - Eastleigh
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Morecambe - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 16%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Eastleigh - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Morecambe
Eastleigh
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Morecambe | Liga | Eastleigh | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.38 | 2.85 | • 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | • 56% | 56% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 66% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 24% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 72% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 80% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Morecambe's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Eastleigh. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Morecambe vs Eastleigh?
The National League match finished Morecambe 4:0 Eastleigh. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Morecambe vs Eastleigh?
Morecambe score 1.19 goals per game on average and Eastleigh 1.28. The National League average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Morecambe's matches and 69% of Eastleigh's.
What form are Morecambe and Eastleigh in?
Over the last 5 games Morecambe have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Eastleigh 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Morecambe vs Eastleigh?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.