Moreirense FC vs CD Nacional: match statistics
Moreirense FC displays significantly better home form with a 55% win rate at their own stadium, constituting a solid basis for predicting their victory. The hosts have a positive goal difference at home (-1), while CD Nacional records poor away form with just 17% wins and a negative balance of -5 goals. The last five matches of both teams show a clear form advantage for Moreirense (0.8 PPG) over Nacional (0.2 PPG). Additionally, the hosts are characterized by a better shot conversion rate (16% vs 7%) and a higher average possession on their own pitch (49% vs 42% for the visitors). Although Nacional generates higher xG on the road (1.33), their poor efficiency and a series of four losses in the last five matches suggest that Moreirense has a real chance of triumphing before their own crowd.
Moreirense FC vs CD Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Moreirense FC played against CD Nacional in Liga NOS (Portugal). The game was played on March 7, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Moreirense FC has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. CD Nacional has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 0.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Moreirense FC scores 1.25 goals per game and allows 1.42. CD Nacional scores 1.17 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.74 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Moreirense FC's games and 58% of CD Nacional's. The Over 2.5 rates are 58% and 54%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
CD Nacional has the higher season xG average, 1.32 to 1.04 per game. Moreirense FC takes 9.0 shots per game, while CD Nacional takes 12.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Moreirense FC leads at halftime in 13% of its games and scores 0.83 goals per game after halftime. CD Nacional leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.71 after halftime.
When the teams score
Moreirense FC's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). For CD Nacional, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga Portugal games average 2.74 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Moreirense FC displays significantly better home form with a 55% win rate at their own stadium, constituting a solid basis for predicting their victory. The hosts have a positive goal difference at home (-1), while CD Nacional records poor away form with just 17% wins and a negative balance of -5 goals. The last five matches of both teams show a clear form advantage for Moreirense (0.8 PPG) over Nacional (0.2 PPG). Additionally, the hosts are characterized by a better shot conversion rate (16% vs 7%) and a higher average possession on their own pitch (49% vs 42% for the visitors). Although Nacional generates higher xG on the road (1.33), their poor efficiency and a series of four losses in the last five matches suggest that Moreirense has a real chance of triumphing before their own crowd.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Moreirense FC | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Moreirense FC is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Moreirense FC · 0.2 pts / game - CD Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Moreirense FC is 7% better for: goals scored per game.
1.25 goals / game - Moreirense FC · 1.17 goals / game - CD Nacional
Moreirense FC is 6% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.42 goals / game - Moreirense FC · 1.5 goals / game - CD Nacional
Moreirense FC scores in 75% of games (18 of 24 meczów), while CD Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 24 meczów).
CD Nacional scores in 71% of games (17 of 24 meczów), while Moreirense FC keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Moreirense FC
Over / Under - CD Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CD Nacional is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / game - Moreirense FC · 1.25 pts / game - CD Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Moreirense FC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
CD Nacional - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 21%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Moreirense FC
CD Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Moreirense FC | Liga | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.67 | 2.74 | • 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 56% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 30% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 71% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 79% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Moreirense FC's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against CD Nacional. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Moreirense FC vs CD Nacional?
The Liga NOS match finished Moreirense FC 1:1 CD Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Moreirense FC vs CD Nacional?
Moreirense FC score 1.25 goals per game on average and CD Nacional 1.17. The Liga NOS average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Moreirense FC's matches and 58% of CD Nacional's.
What form are Moreirense FC and CD Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Moreirense FC have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and CD Nacional 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Moreirense FC vs CD Nacional?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Moreirense FC vs CD Nacional: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.