Morelia vs Correcaminos UAT: match statistics
Morelia displays decisively better home form with a 44% win rate and an impressive +5 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts have shown stability in their last five matches with four draws and one win, remaining unbeaten. Correcaminos UAT has very poor away results—only 14% wins, a staggering 43% loss rate, and a disastrous goal difference of -10, conceding an average of 2.57 goals per away match. xG statistics also favor Morelia (1.89 vs 1.07), and their advantage in possession (54% vs 43%) and shot efficiency confirm the hosts' dominance. Considering all parameters, Morelia should comfortably win this encounter in front of their home crowd.
Morelia vs Correcaminos UAT: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Morelia played against Correcaminos UAT in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on January 11, 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
Morelia has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Correcaminos UAT has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Morelia scores 1.33 goals per game and allows 1.33. Correcaminos UAT scores 1.14 and allows 2.50. Games in this league average 2.95 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Morelia's games and 71% of Correcaminos UAT's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 57%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Morelia has the higher season xG average, 1.66 to 1.21 per game. Morelia takes 13.9 shots per game, while Correcaminos UAT takes 9.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Morelia leads at halftime in 39% of its games and scores 0.61 goals per game after halftime. Correcaminos UAT leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.93 after halftime.
When the teams score
Morelia's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For Correcaminos UAT, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 2.95 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Morelia displays decisively better home form with a 44% win rate and an impressive +5 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts have shown stability in their last five matches with four draws and one win, remaining unbeaten. Correcaminos UAT has very poor away results—only 14% wins, a staggering 43% loss rate, and a disastrous goal difference of -10, conceding an average of 2.57 goals per away match. xG statistics also favor Morelia (1.89 vs 1.07), and their advantage in possession (54% vs 43%) and shot efficiency confirm the hosts' dominance. Considering all parameters, Morelia should comfortably win this encounter in front of their home crowd.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Morelia | Correcaminos UAT | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Morelia is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Morelia · 0.8 pts / game - Correcaminos UAT
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Morelia is 17% better for: goals scored per game.
1.33 goals / game - Morelia · 1.14 goals / game - Correcaminos UAT
Morelia is 88% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - Morelia · 2.5 goals / game - Correcaminos UAT
Morelia scores in 67% of games (12 of 18 meczów), while Correcaminos UAT keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 meczów).
Correcaminos UAT scores in 86% of games (12 of 14 meczów), while Morelia keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Morelia
Over / Under - Correcaminos UAT
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Morelia is 667% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.61 pts / game - Morelia · 0.21 pts / game - Correcaminos UAT
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Morelia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 33%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Correcaminos UAT - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -7 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Morelia
Correcaminos UAT
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Morelia | Liga | Correcaminos UAT | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.67 | 2.95 | ▲ 3.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 54% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 25% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 77% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Morelia's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Correcaminos UAT. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Morelia vs Correcaminos UAT?
The Ascenso MX match finished Morelia 3:0 Correcaminos UAT. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Morelia vs Correcaminos UAT?
Morelia score 1.33 goals per game on average and Correcaminos UAT 1.14. The Ascenso MX average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Morelia's matches and 71% of Correcaminos UAT's.
What form are Morelia and Correcaminos UAT in?
Over the last 5 games Morelia have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Correcaminos UAT 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Morelia vs Correcaminos UAT?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.