Morelia vs Irapuato: match statistics
Morelia vs Irapuato: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Morelia played against Irapuato in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on March 29, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Morelia has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Irapuato has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Morelia scores 1.43 goals per game and allows 1.18. Irapuato scores 1.63 and allows 1.47. Games in this league average 2.91 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Morelia's games and 57% of Irapuato's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 63%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Morelia has the higher season xG average, 1.60 to 1.57 per game. Morelia takes 13.5 shots per game, while Irapuato takes 12.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Morelia leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Irapuato leads at halftime in 23% and scores 1.10 after halftime.
When the teams score
Morelia's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (12 goals). For Irapuato, it is minutes 46-60 (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 2.91 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Morelia possess a clear home statistical advantage: higher xG (1.89 vs 1.28) and better home win rate (57%). Irapuato show weaker away metrics: fewer shots and SOT (10.13/3.8) and higher away GA (1.6). Recent form confirms hosts' edge — Morelia PPG 1.8 in last 5 (wwlwl) vs Irapuato PPG 0.8 with poorer performances. Defensive difference (home CS 43% vs away CS 33%) and conversion suggest Morelia control the game. Based on these data a home win is more likely, with lower probability of draw or away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
High BTTS probability: Morelia season goals 2.27 (xG 1.84) while Irapuato, despite lower season avg (1.0), show recent improvement (last5 GF 10, last5 xG_for 1.72). Season BTTS: Morelia 60%, Irapuato 53%, league 55% indicate frequent mutual goals. Low CS rates (27% and 33%) and high home over2.5 (73%) increase two-way scoring chances. Recommendation: BTTS = Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Morelia has a clearly stronger attack (2.27 avg goals, xG 1.84) and generates more shots and chances, suggesting an edge in chance creation. Irapuato can also score (10 goals in last 5) and has weaker defense, increasing BTTS and total goals. Season stats show high Over1.5 rates for both (Morelia 87%, Irapuato 67%) and league avg ~2.91. Considering xG, shot conversion and form, the most reliable signal is Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis indicates a draw at Half-Time and a Morelia win at Full-Time (HT/FT X/1). Morelia hold clear advantages in xG, shots and conversion rates, plus better PPG and home form, favoring a turnaround after the break. The first half should be low-scoring — hosts drew at HT in 53% of matches and have low HT goal averages, hence high draw probability at Half-Time. In the second half Morelia show strong scoring metrics after the break (high AVG_2hg_home and good second-half efficiency), increasing likelihood of a home win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Morelia | Irapuato | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Morelia is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Morelia · 0.8 pts / game - Irapuato
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Irapuato is 14% better for: goals scored per game.
1.43 goals / game - Morelia · 1.63 goals / game - Irapuato
Morelia is 25% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.18 goals / game - Morelia · 1.47 goals / game - Irapuato
Morelia scores in 75% of games (21 of 28 meczów), while Irapuato keeps a clean sheet in 30% (9 of 30 meczów).
Irapuato scores in 73% of games (22 of 30 meczów), while Morelia keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Morelia
Over / Under - Irapuato
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Morelia is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / game - Morelia · 1.07 pts / game - Irapuato
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Morelia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Irapuato - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 3.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Morelia
Irapuato
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Morelia | Liga | Irapuato | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.61 | 2.91 | ▲ 3.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 53% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 26% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 74% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 79% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Morelia's perspective: 1 win, 2 draws and 0 losses against Irapuato. Games average 1.67 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Morelia vs Irapuato?
The Ascenso MX match finished Morelia 2:0 Irapuato. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Morelia and Irapuato?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Morelia won 1, Irapuato won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Morelia vs Irapuato?
Morelia score 1.43 goals per game on average and Irapuato 1.63. The Ascenso MX average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Morelia's matches and 57% of Irapuato's.
What form are Morelia and Irapuato in?
Over the last 5 games Morelia have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Irapuato 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Morelia vs Irapuato?
The statistical background for Morelia vs Irapuato — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.