Morelia vs Tlaxcala: match statistics
Morelia vs Tlaxcala: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Morelia play Tlaxcala in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 12 April 2026 at 03:00. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Morelia: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Tlaxcala: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Morelia scores 1.29 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Tlaxcala scores 1.07 and concedes 1.57. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Morelia 41%, Tlaxcala 50%. Over 2.5: Morelia 50%, Tlaxcala 50%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Morelia has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.50. Morelia: 13.0 shots per match, Tlaxcala: 12.4.
Match halves
Morelia: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.65. Tlaxcala: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.54.
Goals by minute
Morelia: 76-90+ (13 goals). Tlaxcala: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Morelia is the clear favorite: at home they score an average of 1.6 goals per match (xG 1.84) and register 6 shots on target and 16.27 shots overall, whereas Tlaxcala away averages only 0.62 goals (xG 1.33) with 3.38 shots on target and 11.69 shots overall. The hosts have a 60% home win rate and a positive goal difference (+12), while the visitors have only an 8% away win rate and a negative away goal difference (-21), which further amplifies Morelia’s advantage. Morelia’s defense concedes 0.8 goals per home match and records clean sheets in 47% of home games, whereas Tlaxcala concedes 2.23 goals away and keeps a clean sheet in only 15% of away fixtures. The difference in efficiency is clear: shot conversion is 10% for the hosts versus 5% for the visitors, and Morelia fail to score in 33% of home matches while Tlaxcala fail to score in 54% of away games. In the last 5 matches Morelia scored 7 goals and average 1.2 points, and Tlaxcala 3 goals and average 1.0 point; based on this I assess the probabilities as approximately 75% for a home win, 15% for a draw and 10% for the visitors.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Morelia | Tlaxcala | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tlaxcala is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Morelia · 1.2 pts / match - Tlaxcala
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Morelia is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Morelia · 1.07 goals / match - Tlaxcala
Morelia is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.15 goals / match - Morelia · 1.57 goals / match - Tlaxcala
Morelia scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Tlaxcala keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).
Tlaxcala scores in 64% of matches (18 of 28 matches), while Morelia keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Morelia
Over / Under — Tlaxcala
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Morelia is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Morelia · 1.21 pts / match - Tlaxcala
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Morelia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Tlaxcala - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Morelia
Tlaxcala
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Morelia | Liga | Tlaxcala | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.44 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 25% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 74% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Morelia 1 - 0 - 0 Tlaxcala. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Morelia vs Tlaxcala?
The Ascenso MX match finished Morelia 0:0 Tlaxcala. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Morelia vs Tlaxcala?
Morelia score 1.29 goals per game on average and Tlaxcala 1.07. The Ascenso MX average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Morelia's matches and 50% of Tlaxcala's.
What form are Morelia and Tlaxcala in?
Over the last 5 games Morelia have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Tlaxcala 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Morelia vs Tlaxcala?
The statistical background for Morelia vs Tlaxcala — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.