Moss vs Odd: match statistics

Odd sit 5th, while Moss are only 12th, and the visitors’ season record stands at 8 wins and just 4 defeats, compared with the hosts’ 5 victories and 9 losses. Moss have lost all of their last 5 matches, scoring just 5 goals and conceding as many as 14, which significantly reduces their chances despite home advantage. During the same period, Odd suffered only one defeat, collected 6 points, and their defense conceded 6 goals. Away from home, the visitors average 1.57 goals with an xG of 1.62, while Moss concede 1.86 goals per home match and allow opponents an xG of 1.74. The hosts are capable of creating chances, as their home xG stands at 1.69, but they keep a clean sheet in only 14% of matches, making a victory for the more clinical and consistent Odd the more likely outcome.

BTTS - Yes is more likely, as the seasonal BTTS rate stands at 56% for Moss and as high as 71% for Odd, compared with the league average of 61%. Moss score an average of 2.22 goals at home, while Odd score 1.57 away from home, with the visitors keeping a clean sheet in only 29% of matches. Moss’s recent games provide a particularly strong signal: the team conceded an average of 2.8 goals, and BTTS landed in 80% of their last five matches. Odd also create solid chances, with an average xG of 1.62 for the season and 1.81 across their last five games, supporting their chances of scoring despite Moss’s strong seasonal defensive record. A No Goal scenario remains realistic mainly due to Moss’s 44% clean-sheet rate and the team scoring only 1.0 goal across their last five matches, but the weight of the attacking data points to both teams scoring.

The match profile clearly favors goals: Moss matches went Over 1.5 goals in 78% of cases, while Odd matches did so in 71%. Both teams post solid chance-creation metrics, with an average xG of 1.86 for Moss and 1.62 for Odd, which, given their attacking quality, points to opportunities at both ends. Moss conceded as many as 2.8 goals per game across their last five matches, and all 5 of those fixtures ended with at least three goals. Odd averaged 1.4 goals scored during this period, while the hosts kept a clean sheet in only 44% of their matches this season. Over 1.5 is the safest choice, as the projected 3.17 goals and both teams’ high success rate in surpassing this line give it a clear advantage.

The most likely outcome is a draw both at half-time and at full-time, as Odd have drawn 3 of their last 5 matches, while 60% of those games were level at the break. Moss do have a significantly stronger first-half record over the course of the season, leading in 78% of matches and averaging 1.44 goals before half-time, but their current form clearly contradicts this: they have lost their last 5 matches, and in 80% of them they were trailing at the break. Odd have been more defensively stable across their last five appearances, conceding an average of 1.2 goals compared with Moss’s 2.8, which limits the hosts’ chances of holding on to a lead after a potentially strong start. After the break, neither team have won any of their last five matches in this phase of play, with Odd recording draws in 80% of them, so an even scenario through to the final whistle has stronger foundations than a decisive win for either side.