Moss vs Stabæk: match statistics
Moss vs Stabæk: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Moss played against Stabæk in First Division (Norway). The game was played on May 30, 2026. Venue: Melløs Stadion. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Moss has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Stabæk has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Moss scores 1.56 goals per game and allows 2.00. Stabæk scores 2.22 and allows 1.11. Games in this league average 3.45 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 78% of Moss's games and 56% of Stabæk's. The Over 2.5 rates are 78% and 78%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 69% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Stabæk has the higher season xG average, 1.90 to 1.61 per game. Moss takes 13.9 shots per game, while Stabæk takes 16.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Moss leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 1.22 goals per game after halftime. Stabæk leads at halftime in 44% and scores 1.11 after halftime.
When the teams score
Moss's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Stabæk, it is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First Division games average 3.45 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 69% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stabæk appears to be the favorite: they have scored 20 goals this season and average 2.0 goals on the road, while Moss have 14 goals this season and average 1.5 goals at home. Form favors the visitors — in the last 5 matches Stabæk have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss (2.0 pts per game), whereas Moss have only 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses (0.8 pts per game). Defensively Moss have been poor in the short term: the hosts conceded 13 goals in their last 5 matches (2.6 per game), while Stabæk conceded just 4 (0.8 per game); season-long Moss concede 1.25 goals at home and Stabæk 1.2 on the road. The visitors also create better chances — Stabæk’s average xG on the road is 1.84 versus 1.49 for the hosts, they register 5.8 shots on target per game compared to 4 and have a higher conversion rate 13% vs 11%. Considering superior efficiency, better xG and the significant difference in goals conceded over the last 5 matches, I predict a Stabæk win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes because both teams generate a high number of clear chances: Moss has xG 1.97, Stabæk 1.84, giving a combined xG ~3.81. Seasonal goals averages are 2.5 (Moss) and 2.0 (Stabæk), with goals conceded averages of 1.0 and 1.2 respectively, so both teams regularly score and concede. Last 5 matches show mixed signals — Moss has BTTS in 80% and concedes 2.6 goals on average in the last 5, while Stabæk has BTTS in 40% and concedes 0.8; this indicates Moss is more prone to conceding, whereas Stabæk has better defensive form. Additionally both sides have similar shots on target (5.75 vs 5.8) and conversion rates (14% vs 13%), and matches involving these teams frequently exceed 2.5 goals (75% for Moss and 80% for Stabæk), which collectively supports the Goal/Goal scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistical analysis indicates clear goal potential: Moss averages 2.5 goals at home, Stabæk 2.0, and the league average is 3.45 goals per match. Combined expected goals based on xG are around 1.85 for Moss (xG_for 1.97 vs xG_against_away 1.73) and 1.56 for Stabæk (xG_for 1.84 vs xG_against_home 1.29), yielding a total of ~3.41 goals. Seasonal percentages corroborate this: Over 1.5 occurred in 100% of Moss’s matches and 80% of Stabæk’s (average 90%), while Over 2.5 occurred in 75% and 80% respectively (average 77.5%). Additionally, both teams generate many shots (18.25 and 15.6) and have similar numbers of shots on target (5.75 vs 5.8), which supports a scoring scenario; therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (line Over 1.5).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Seasonal metrics favor Moss: they average 2.5 goals per game versus Stabæk’s 2.0, concede 1.0 (Stabæk concedes 1.2), and have an xG of 1.97 compared to 1.84 in Moss’s favor. At half-time Moss lead in 50% of matches and average 1.25 goals by the break; the home side’s first half contained at least one goal in 100% of cases, so a Moss lead at the break is a strong signal. Moss also dominate full-time: 75% of wins this season and 2.25 home points per match increase the likelihood of a home victory. However, Stabæk are in good recent form (60% wins in the last five) and led at half-time in 60% of those matches, which raises the chance of a guest turnaround after the break. As a result I assign the highest probability to 1/1 (32%), while retaining meaningful shares for X/1 (15%), X/X (9%) and 2/2 (14%) to reflect the combination of Moss’s seasonal advantage (xG 1.97 and 2.5 goals) and the risk posed by Stabæk’s form.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Moss | Stabæk | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Stabæk is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Moss · 2 pts / game - Stabæk
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stabæk is 42% better for: goals scored per game.
1.56 goals / game - Moss · 2.22 goals / game - Stabæk
Stabæk is 80% better for: goals allowed per game.
2 goals / game - Moss · 1.11 goals / game - Stabæk
Moss scores in 89% of games (8 of 9 meczów), while Stabæk keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 meczów).
Stabæk scores in 100% of games (9 of 9 meczów), while Moss keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Moss
Over / Under - Stabæk
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stabæk is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Moss · 1.56 pts / game - Stabæk
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Moss - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Stabæk - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 44% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Moss
Stabæk
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Moss | Liga | Stabæk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.56 | 3.45 | ▼ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 78% | 55% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 78% | 69% | ▲ 78% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 23% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 77% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 86% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- StabækYellow cardKimi Løkkevik
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Moss's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Stabæk. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Moss vs Stabæk?
The First Division match finished Moss 2:2 Stabæk. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Moss and Stabæk?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Moss won 1, Stabæk won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Moss vs Stabæk?
Moss score 1.56 goals per game on average and Stabæk 2.22. The First Division average is 3.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 69% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Moss's matches and 56% of Stabæk's.
What form are Moss and Stabæk in?
Over the last 5 games Moss have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Stabæk 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Moss vs Stabæk?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.