Moss vs Strømsgodset: match statistics
Moss vs Strømsgodset: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Moss played against Strømsgodset in First Division (Norway). The game was played on May 20, 2026. Venue: Melløs Stadion. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Moss has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Strømsgodset has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Moss scores 1.71 goals per game and allows 2.00. Strømsgodset scores 2.71 and allows 1.43. Games in this league average 3.55 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 71% of Moss's games and 57% of Strømsgodset's. The Over 2.5 rates are 86% and 86%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 73% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Strømsgodset has the higher season xG average, 2.26 to 1.73 per game. Moss takes 14.7 shots per game, while Strømsgodset takes 20.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Moss leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 1.43 goals per game after halftime. Strømsgodset leads at halftime in 14% and scores 2.57 after halftime.
When the teams score
Moss's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). For Strømsgodset, it is minutes 61-75 (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
First Division games average 3.55 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 73% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Strømsgodset is the favorite based on standings and records: they sit 2nd in the table with 5 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss this season, while Moss are 7th with 4 wins and 3 losses. The form gap is clear — in the last 5 matches Strømsgodset have 4 wins and 1 draw, scoring 15 goals (3.0 per match) and averaging 2.6 points per match, whereas Moss have 2 wins, 3 losses, 8 goals (1.6 per match) and 1.2 points per match. In chance creation the visitors also have the edge: on average 7 shots on target and 16 shots per away match with xG 1.88 versus the hosts' 4.67 shots on target, 14.67 shots and xG 1.62. Defensively Moss concede slightly less at home statistically (1.33 goals per match vs 1.67 for Strømsgodset away), but Moss have conceded 12 goals in the last 5 matches (2.4 per match), which undermines their current resilience. Considering league position (2 vs 7), the offensive advantage (3.0 vs 1.6 goals in the last 5) and superior xG, I forecast a Strømsgodset win and assign them 62% probability, draw 20% and Moss win 18%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS (Both Teams To Score) appears more likely: the league BTTS rate is 57%, and the teams show seasonal rates of 50% (Moss) and 67% (Strømsgodset), indicating an overall tendency above half of matches. xG and offensive arguments are strong — Moss records xG 2.54 in home games, while Strømsgodset concedes on average 1.45 xG away, and Strømsgodset simultaneously has xG 1.88 away versus 1.17 xG conceded by Moss at home; this suggests realistic chances for goals from both sides. Moss averages 23.75 shots and 8 on target per game, Strømsgodset 16 shots and 7 on target; with conversion rates of 14% and 13% both teams have the potential to turn chances into goals. Recent 5-match trends reinforce BTTS — Moss had BTTS in 80% of their last 5 and conceded on average 2.4 goals per game (goal balance 8:12), while Strømsgodset scored on average 3.0 and conceded 1.0 in their last 5 (balance 15:5). Although Moss has 50% clean sheets at home this season, considering xG, chance creation and seasonal and recent trends, I estimate BTTS at 70% vs 30% and pick "Yes" (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I expect a total of about 3.53 goals: Moss’s attacking xG is 2.54 versus Strømsgodset’s defensive xG of 1.45, and Strømsgodset’s attacking xG is 1.88 against Moss’s defensive xG of 1.17, which yields a forecast of ~2.00 goals for Moss and ~1.53 for Strømsgodset (total 3.53). The strongest signal for Over 1.5 is that the seasonal percentage of matches with at least 2 goals is 100% for both teams (100% vs 100%) and the league averages 3.55 goals per match; I assign this scenario a 97% probability. Over 2.5 also looks credible: Moss at home has season over 2.5 = 100%, Strømsgodset away = 67%, league = 73%, and in the last 5 matches Over 2.5 occurred for Moss in 100% and for Strømsgodset in 80%, leading me to estimate ~78% for Over 2.5. Over 3.5 is less certain – season over 3.5 is 25% for Moss and 33% for Strømsgodset (average ~29%) – but the combined xG = 3.53 and goals in the last 5 games (8 for Moss, 15 for Strømsgodset) raise this probability to around 47%, therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Moss has a 100% home win rate and averages 3.25 goals scored at home with 1.25 conceded, while Strømsgodset average 2.0 goals away and concede 1.67; the home advantage is further supported by xG of 2.54 versus 1.88 and a higher shot volume (23.75 vs 16.0). At half-time Moss led in 25% of their matches and were level in 50%, whereas Strømsgodset were level at the break in 100% of cases, which statistically makes a draw the most likely state after 45 minutes. In the second half Moss average 3.0 goals (Strømsgodset 2.0) and have a strong 61–75 minute window in which the home side scored 8 goals, so hosts are more often involved in turnarounds in the second half. Additionally Moss record BTTS in 50% of home matches and have a slightly higher shot conversion (14% vs 13%), indicating an ability to maintain and increase a lead after the break; therefore the strongest signal from the data is Half-Time/Full-Time draw at the break and home win (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Moss | Strømsgodset | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Strømsgodset is 117% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Moss · 2.6 pts / game - Strømsgodset
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Strømsgodset is 58% better for: goals scored per game.
1.71 goals / game - Moss · 2.71 goals / game - Strømsgodset
Strømsgodset is 40% better for: goals allowed per game.
2 goals / game - Moss · 1.43 goals / game - Strømsgodset
Moss scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 meczów), while Strømsgodset keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 meczów).
Strømsgodset scores in 100% of games (7 of 7 meczów), while Moss keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Moss
Over / Under - Strømsgodset
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Strømsgodset is 61% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.71 pts / game - Moss · 1.14 pts / game - Strømsgodset
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Moss - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Strømsgodset - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 71%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 1.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 2.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 3.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +10 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Moss
Strømsgodset
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Moss | Liga | Strømsgodset | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.71 | 3.55 | ▲ 4.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 58% | • 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 86% | 73% | ▲ 86% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 21% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal after half-time | • 86% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Moss vs Strømsgodset?
The First Division match finished Moss 1:1 Strømsgodset. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Moss vs Strømsgodset?
Moss score 1.71 goals per game on average and Strømsgodset 2.71. The First Division average is 3.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 73% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Moss's matches and 57% of Strømsgodset's.
What form are Moss and Strømsgodset in?
Over the last 5 games Moss have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Strømsgodset 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Moss vs Strømsgodset?
The statistical background for Moss vs Strømsgodset — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.