Scotland - PremiershipFir ParkData current as of October 21, 2026

Motherwell vs Hearts: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Motherwell vs Hearts: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Motherwell plays Hearts in Premiership (Scotland). The game is scheduled for October 25, 2026. Venue: Fir Park.

Recent form

Motherwell has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.00 points per game. Hearts has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Motherwell scores 1.22 goals per game and allows 1.78. Hearts scores 2.22 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 2.76 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 44% of Motherwell's games and 78% of Hearts's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 89%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Hearts has the higher season xG average, 1.77 to 1.55 per game. Motherwell takes 14.0 shots per game, while Hearts takes 16.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Motherwell leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.56 goals per game after halftime. Hearts leads at halftime in 56% and scores 1.00 after halftime.

When the teams score

Motherwell's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For Hearts, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Premiership games average 2.76 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 3 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.09)
(3.56)
(2.15)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.22Goals scored / game2.22
MotherwellHearts
1.78Goals allowed / game1.67
MotherwellHearts
57%Average possession54%
MotherwellHearts
4.67Shots on target / game5.33
MotherwellHearts

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

14Shots per game16.33
MotherwellHearts
4.67Shots on target5.33
MotherwellHearts
8.7%Shot conversion13.6%
MotherwellHearts
57%Possession54%
MotherwellHearts
1.55xG for1.77
MotherwellHearts
1.79xG against1.14
MotherwellHearts

Shooting quality

Motherwell: DominantHearts: Attacking
MotherwellHearts
Accuracy (shots on target)33%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.42

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Motherwell
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
22% W22% D56% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-5
0.89 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Last 5 at home
1-1-2
DWLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 2.01BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Hearts
WLDWL
Season result split
56% W11% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-3
1.78 pts / game · goal difference +5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LWLDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.90Opponent xG: 1.01BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Hearts is 82% better for: goals scored per game.

1.22 goals / game - Motherwell · 2.22 goals / game - Hearts

Hearts is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.78 goals / game - Motherwell · 1.67 goals / game - Hearts

Motherwell scoring profile: strong

Motherwell scores in 56% of games (5 of 9 games), while Hearts keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 games).

Hearts scoring profile: very strong

Hearts scores in 100% of games (9 of 9 games), while Motherwell keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 games).

11Goals scored (season)20
MotherwellHearts
16Goals conceded (season)15
MotherwellHearts
3Average goals per game3.89
MotherwellHearts
3Goals scored (last 5)10
MotherwellHearts
12Goals conceded (last 5)11
MotherwellHearts

How often they score at least...

56%1 goal100%
MotherwellHearts
44%2 goals56%
MotherwellHearts
22%3 goals33%
MotherwellHearts
0%4 goals22%
MotherwellHearts

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal78%
MotherwellHearts
56%2 goals33%
MotherwellHearts
33%3 goals11%
MotherwellHearts
11%4 goals11%
MotherwellHearts

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time22%
MotherwellHearts
11%BTTS in both halves0%
MotherwellHearts
44%Scored in both halves33%
MotherwellHearts

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
MotherwellHearts
22%Min. 3 goals without BTTS22%
MotherwellHearts
40%BTTS - last 580%
MotherwellHearts

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

89%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
MotherwellHearts
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
MotherwellHearts
22%Min. 3 goals before half-time11%
MotherwellHearts

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
MotherwellHearts
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
MotherwellHearts
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
MotherwellHearts

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Hearts is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.89 pts / game - Motherwell · 1.78 pts / game - Hearts

Motherwell - half-time state
22% leading22% draw56% trailing
Hearts - half-time state
56% leading11% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.89Points per game (1st half)1.78
MotherwellHearts
0.67Goals scored (1st half)1.22
MotherwellHearts
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.89
MotherwellHearts
1.67Average goals (1st half)2.11
MotherwellHearts
33%Clean sheet before half-time56%
MotherwellHearts
44%No goal before half-time22%
MotherwellHearts

After half-time (2nd half)

1.11Points per game (2nd half)1.44
MotherwellHearts
0.56Goals scored (2nd half)1
MotherwellHearts
0.78Goals conceded (2nd half)0.78
MotherwellHearts
1.33Average goals (2nd half)1.78
MotherwellHearts
56%Clean sheet after half-time44%
MotherwellHearts
56%No goal after half-time44%
MotherwellHearts

Motherwell - second-half results

22% W44% D33% L
8
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Hearts - second-half results

44% W11% D44% L
16
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.78
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 56% of games and wins 56%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Motherwell - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.200.40
Goals scored / game0.40.2
Goals allowed / game1.21.2
Average goals per game1.61.4
1 goal100%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet0%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-4-5
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Hearts - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.80
Goals scored / game0.81.2
Goals allowed / game1.60.6
Average goals per game2.41.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-4+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Motherwell
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
3
1
16-30
2
5
31-45
1
4
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Hearts
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
2
2
16-30
5
3
31-45
3
3
46-60
2
1
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.44
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
125%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
61%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-13%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Motherwell

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
134%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.89
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Hearts

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.63
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.53
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
167%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
117%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.38
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).

Teams vs league

MotherwellLigaHearts
Average goals per game▲ 3.002.76▲ 3.89
Both teams scored▼ 44%56%▲ 78%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 67%56%▲ 89%
Clean sheets▼ 22%24%▼ 22%
Goal before half-time▲ 89%83%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▼ 67%76%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.76
Average goals per game
56%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / game
1.33
Away goals / game
+8%
Home attack advantage
+7%
Home defensive advantage
+2%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Motherwell's perspective: 0 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss against Hearts. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 75% of them.

FAQ

When do Motherwell and Hearts play?

Motherwell face Hearts on October 25, 2026 in Premiership at Fir Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Motherwell and Hearts?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Motherwell won 0, Hearts won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Motherwell vs Hearts?

Motherwell score 1.22 goals per game on average and Hearts 2.22. The Premiership average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Motherwell's matches and 78% of Hearts's.

What form are Motherwell and Hearts in?

Over the last 5 games Motherwell have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Hearts 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Motherwell vs Hearts?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Motherwell vs Hearts: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.