MP vs KäPa: match statistics
MP vs KäPa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
MP play KäPa in Ykkösliiga (Finland). The match date is 19 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
MP: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. KäPa: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
MP scores 0.93 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. KäPa scores 1.13 and concedes 1.60. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: MP 47%, KäPa 60%. Over 2.5: MP 40%, KäPa 67%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
KäPa has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.23. MP: 9.9 shots per match, KäPa: 11.1.
Match halves
MP: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.53. KäPa: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
MP: 76-90+ (6 goals). KäPa: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ykkösliiga: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
I back the away win ('2'). KäPa have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches (1.8 per game) versus MP’s 4 goals (0.8 per game). In away metrics KäPa average 8 shots and 5 shots on target with xG 1.14, while the hosts register 0 shots and 0 xG in home stats. KäPa also collect more points over the last 5 fixtures — 1.6 points per game versus MP’s 1.0 — and sit 5th in the table compared to the hosts’ 8th. Both teams concede: MP have conceded 5 goals in their last five matches (1.0 average), KäPa 8 goals (1.6 average), so KäPa’s edge comes primarily from better-quality chances and efficiency (9 vs 4 goals, conversion rate 25%). Based on this I assess result probabilities as: home 15%, draw 25%, away 60%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| MP | KäPa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
MP is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - MP · 0.8 pts / match - KäPa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KäPa is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
0.93 goals / match - MP · 1.13 goals / match - KäPa
MP is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - MP · 1.6 goals / match - KäPa
MP scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while KäPa keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 matches).
KäPa scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while MP keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — MP
Over / Under — KäPa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
MP is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - MP · 1.4 pts / match - KäPa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MP - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
KäPa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 27%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
MP
KäPa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ykkösliiga).
Teams vs league
| MP | Liga | KäPa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.20 | 2.47 | ▲ 2.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 44% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 44% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 31% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | • 60% | 60% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 73% | • 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of MP vs KäPa?
The Ykkösliiga match finished MP 0:1 KäPa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before MP vs KäPa?
MP score 0.93 goals per game on average and KäPa 1.13. The Ykkösliiga average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 47% of MP's matches and 60% of KäPa's.
What form are MP and KäPa in?
Over the last 5 games MP have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and KäPa 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MP vs KäPa?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.