MSV Duisburg vs Erzgebirge Aue: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

MSV Duisburg play Erzgebirge Aue in 3. Liga (Germany). The match date is 13 December 2025 at 14:00. Final score: 0:0.

Current form

MSV Duisburg: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Erzgebirge Aue: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

MSV Duisburg scores 1.74 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Erzgebirge Aue scores 1.34 and concedes 1.84. League average: 3.21 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: MSV Duisburg 66%, Erzgebirge Aue 66%. Over 2.5: MSV Duisburg 63%, Erzgebirge Aue 66%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

MSV Duisburg has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.43. MSV Duisburg: 12.4 shots per match, Erzgebirge Aue: 11.7.

Match halves

MSV Duisburg: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.03. Erzgebirge Aue: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.79.

Goals by minute

MSV Duisburg: 76-90+ (17 goals). Erzgebirge Aue: 31-45+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

3. Liga: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

51Possession (%)49
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
17Shots9
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
4Shots on target2
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
1.85xG0.96
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
4Corners3
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
70Dangerous attacks34
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
15Fouls9
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
2Cards3
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
1.74Goals scored / match1.34
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
1.29Goals conceded / match1.84
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
46%Average possession48%
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
4.95Shots on target / match4.32
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.39Shots per match11.74
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
4.95Shots on target4.32
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
14%Shot conversion11.4%
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
46%Possession48%
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
1.52xG for1.43
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
1.38xG against1.73
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue

Shooting quality

MSV Duisburg: Counter-attackingErzgebirge Aue: Balanced
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
Accuracy (shots on target)40%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Erzgebirge Aue is 13% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - MSV Duisburg · 1.8 pts / match - Erzgebirge Aue

MSV Duisburg
WLWDD
Season result split
50% W29% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
19-11-8
1.79 pts / match · goal difference +17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
14-5-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.53Opponent xG: 1.17BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Erzgebirge Aue
DDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
18% W34% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-13-18
0.89 pts / match · goal difference -19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-5-11
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LLDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.77BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

MSV Duisburg is 30% better for: goals scored per match.

1.74 goals / match - MSV Duisburg · 1.34 goals / match - Erzgebirge Aue

MSV Duisburg is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.29 goals / match - MSV Duisburg · 1.84 goals / match - Erzgebirge Aue

MSV Duisburg scoring profile: very strong

MSV Duisburg scores in 79% of matches (30 of 38 matches), while Erzgebirge Aue keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).

Erzgebirge Aue scoring profile: very strong

Erzgebirge Aue scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while MSV Duisburg keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).

66Goals scored (season)51
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
49Goals conceded (season)70
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
3.03Average goals in match3.18
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
7Goals scored (last 5)13
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
6Goals conceded (last 5)9
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal74%
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
53%2 goals34%
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
29%3 goals13%
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
13%4 goals11%
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal79%
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
26%2 goals63%
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
16%3 goals32%
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
8%4 goals8%
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

64%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time32%
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
8%BTTS in both halves13%
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
32%Scored in both halves21%
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS58%
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
80%BTTS - last 580%
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
39%Min. 2 goals before half-time45%
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
16%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
58%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

MSV Duisburg is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.39 pts / match - MSV Duisburg · 1 pts / match - Erzgebirge Aue

MSV Duisburg - half-time state
32% leading45% draw24% trailing
Erzgebirge Aue - half-time state
21% leading37% draw42% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.39Points per match (1st half)1
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.55
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.95
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
1.34Average goals (1st half)1.5
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
61%Clean sheet before half-time34%
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
53%No goal before half-time53%
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue

After half-time (2nd half)

1.55Points per match (2nd half)1.32
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
1.03Goals scored (2nd half)0.79
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
0.66Goals conceded (2nd half)0.89
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
1.68Average goals (2nd half)1.68
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
45%Clean sheet after half-time42%
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue
37%No goal after half-time53%
MSV DuisburgErzgebirge Aue

MSV Duisburg - second-half results

34% W53% R13% P
53
Half-time points
27
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
59
Second-half points
+14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.39
PPG before half-time
Lead holding156%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Erzgebirge Aue - second-half results

34% W29% R37% P
38
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
-15
Goal difference (1st half)
50
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding86%

Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 18%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

MSV Duisburg - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Erzgebirge Aue - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.20
Goals scored / match0.81.8
Goals conceded / match1.40.4
Average goals in match2.22.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-3+7
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

MSV Duisburg
ScoredConceded
6
5
0-15
12
6
16-30
9
13
31-45
10
5
46-60
12
9
61-75
17
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Erzgebirge Aue
ScoredConceded
3
12
0-15
6
11
16-30
12
13
31-45
8
9
46-60
10
9
61-75
12
16
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.10
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
66%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

MSV Duisburg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.19
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Erzgebirge Aue

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
105%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.91
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).

Teams vs league

MSV DuisburgLigaErzgebirge Aue
Average goals in match 3.033.21 3.18
Both teams scored 66%64% 66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%64% 66%
Clean sheets 29%21% 21%
Goal before half-time 68%77% 82%
Goal after half-time 74%83% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.21
Average goals per match
64%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.76
Home goals / match
1.45
Away goals / match
+21%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: MSV Duisburg 0 - 1 - 0 Erzgebirge Aue. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of MSV Duisburg vs Erzgebirge Aue?

The 3. Liga match finished MSV Duisburg 0:0 Erzgebirge Aue. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before MSV Duisburg vs Erzgebirge Aue?

MSV Duisburg score 1.74 goals per game on average and Erzgebirge Aue 1.34. The 3. Liga average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 66% of MSV Duisburg's matches and 66% of Erzgebirge Aue's.

What form are MSV Duisburg and Erzgebirge Aue in?

Over the last 5 games MSV Duisburg have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Erzgebirge Aue 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MSV Duisburg vs Erzgebirge Aue?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.