MSV Duisburg vs Jahn Regensburg: match statistics
MSV Duisburg presents solid home form with 67% won matches at home and zero percent losses at their own stadium this season. The hosts have a positive goal difference of +8 in home matches, scoring an average of 1.89 goals while conceding just 1 goal per match. Jahn Regensburg performs significantly worse away with 60% losses and only 20% wins, conceding an average of 1.6 goals while scoring just 1.1 goals per away match. The guests' form in the last five matches is concerning with a record of one win and three defeats, conceding as many as 9 goals. Considering the hosts' advantage in home matches and Regensburg's poor away disposition, MSV Duisburg has a clear advantage, although a draw cannot be completely ruled out due to the hosts' 33% draw rate at home.
MSV Duisburg vs Jahn Regensburg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
MSV Duisburg play Jahn Regensburg in 3. Liga (Germany). The match date is 24 January 2026 at 16:30. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
MSV Duisburg: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Jahn Regensburg: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
MSV Duisburg scores 1.74 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Jahn Regensburg scores 1.42 and concedes 1.53. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: MSV Duisburg 66%, Jahn Regensburg 50%. Over 2.5: MSV Duisburg 63%, Jahn Regensburg 55%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Jahn Regensburg has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.52. MSV Duisburg: 12.4 shots per match, Jahn Regensburg: 13.1.
Match halves
MSV Duisburg: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.03. Jahn Regensburg: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
MSV Duisburg: 76-90+ (17 goals). Jahn Regensburg: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
MSV Duisburg presents solid home form with 67% won matches at home and zero percent losses at their own stadium this season. The hosts have a positive goal difference of +8 in home matches, scoring an average of 1.89 goals while conceding just 1 goal per match. Jahn Regensburg performs significantly worse away with 60% losses and only 20% wins, conceding an average of 1.6 goals while scoring just 1.1 goals per away match. The guests' form in the last five matches is concerning with a record of one win and three defeats, conceding as many as 9 goals. Considering the hosts' advantage in home matches and Regensburg's poor away disposition, MSV Duisburg has a clear advantage, although a draw cannot be completely ruled out due to the hosts' 33% draw rate at home.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| MSV Duisburg | Jahn Regensburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
MSV Duisburg is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - MSV Duisburg · 1.2 pts / match - Jahn Regensburg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
MSV Duisburg is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.74 goals / match - MSV Duisburg · 1.42 goals / match - Jahn Regensburg
MSV Duisburg is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - MSV Duisburg · 1.53 goals / match - Jahn Regensburg
MSV Duisburg scores in 79% of matches (30 of 38 matches), while Jahn Regensburg keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).
Jahn Regensburg scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while MSV Duisburg keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — MSV Duisburg
Over / Under — Jahn Regensburg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MSV Duisburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Jahn Regensburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 37%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
MSV Duisburg
Jahn Regensburg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| MSV Duisburg | Liga | Jahn Regensburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.03 | 3.21 | ▼ 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 64% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 63% | 64% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 21% | • 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 77% | ▲ 84% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 83% | • 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: MSV Duisburg 1 - 0 - 0 Jahn Regensburg. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of MSV Duisburg vs Jahn Regensburg?
The 3. Liga match finished MSV Duisburg 2:0 Jahn Regensburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before MSV Duisburg vs Jahn Regensburg?
MSV Duisburg score 1.74 goals per game on average and Jahn Regensburg 1.42. The 3. Liga average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 66% of MSV Duisburg's matches and 50% of Jahn Regensburg's.
What form are MSV Duisburg and Jahn Regensburg in?
Over the last 5 games MSV Duisburg have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Jahn Regensburg 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MSV Duisburg vs Jahn Regensburg?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for MSV Duisburg vs Jahn Regensburg: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.