MSV Duisburg vs Osnabrück: match statistics
MSV Duisburg vs Osnabrück: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
MSV Duisburg play Osnabrück in 3. Liga (Germany). The match date is 7 April 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
MSV Duisburg: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Osnabrück: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
MSV Duisburg scores 1.74 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Osnabrück scores 1.74 and concedes 0.89. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: MSV Duisburg 66%, Osnabrück 42%. Over 2.5: MSV Duisburg 63%, Osnabrück 45%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Osnabrück has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.52. MSV Duisburg: 12.4 shots per match, Osnabrück: 13.1.
Match halves
MSV Duisburg: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.03. Osnabrück: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 1.13.
Goals by minute
MSV Duisburg: 76-90+ (17 goals). Osnabrück: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Osnabrück is the favorite on paper — they sit 1st with a record of 19 wins, 7 draws and 5 losses and 54 goals scored, while MSV Duisburg have 15 wins, 9 draws, 7 losses and also 54 goals. In the last 5 matches the visitors are clearly more productive: Osnabrück scored 11 goals and average 2.0 points per game, whereas Duisburg have 7 goals and 1.4 points. Duisburg boast strong home offensive metrics — 2.2 goals per game, 6 shots on target and xG 1.71 — however Osnabrück have comparable xG 1.60 and 4.67 shots on target away, so the difference in chance quality is marginal. The visitors’ key advantage is defense: 26 goals conceded this season versus Duisburg’s 42 and 47% clean sheets away compared to 13% for the hosts, which together with better form (11 goals in 5 games) gives them a slim edge. Considering this, an Osnabrück win is more likely (45%), with a 30% chance for a Duisburg victory and 25% for a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| MSV Duisburg | Osnabrück | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Osnabrück is 63% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - MSV Duisburg · 2.6 pts / match - Osnabrück
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Osnabrück is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - MSV Duisburg · 0.89 goals / match - Osnabrück
MSV Duisburg scores in 79% of matches (30 of 38 matches), while Osnabrück keeps a clean sheet in 50% (19 of 38 matches).
Osnabrück scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while MSV Duisburg keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — MSV Duisburg
Over / Under — Osnabrück
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Osnabrück is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - MSV Duisburg · 1.53 pts / match - Osnabrück
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MSV Duisburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Osnabrück - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
MSV Duisburg
Osnabrück
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| MSV Duisburg | Liga | Osnabrück | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.03 | 3.21 | ▼ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 64% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 63% | 64% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 21% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 77% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 83% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: MSV Duisburg 0 - 1 - 0 Osnabrück. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of MSV Duisburg vs Osnabrück?
The 3. Liga match finished MSV Duisburg 1:0 Osnabrück. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before MSV Duisburg vs Osnabrück?
MSV Duisburg score 1.74 goals per game on average and Osnabrück 1.74. The 3. Liga average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 66% of MSV Duisburg's matches and 42% of Osnabrück's.
What form are MSV Duisburg and Osnabrück in?
Over the last 5 games MSV Duisburg have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Osnabrück 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MSV Duisburg vs Osnabrück?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for MSV Duisburg vs Osnabrück: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.