MSV Duisburg vs Saarbrucken: match statistics
MSV Duisburg displays impressive home form with a 69% win rate and only one defeat in home matches this season. The hosts score an average of 2.08 goals per home game, with a 15% conversion rate and a favorable goal difference of +14. Saarbrücken, on the other hand, performs poorly away, winning just 7% of matches and conceding an average of 1.57 goals, coupled with a negative goal difference of -8. The visitors' recent form is better (5 matches unbeaten), which could increase the probability of a draw. The hosts' xG advantage (1.75 vs 1.44) and home dominance clearly favor MSV Duisburg; however, Saarbrücken's solid recent form suggests the visitors could put up resistance and lead to a close result.
MSV Duisburg vs Saarbrucken: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
MSV Duisburg played against Saarbrucken in 3. Liga (Germany). The game was played on March 8, 2026. Final score: 4:2.
Recent form
MSV Duisburg has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Saarbrucken has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
MSV Duisburg scores 1.74 goals per game and allows 1.22. Saarbrucken scores 1.37 and allows 1.41. Games in this league average 3.10 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of MSV Duisburg's games and 67% of Saarbrucken's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 44%, compared with league averages of 63% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Saarbrucken has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.52 per game. MSV Duisburg takes 12.4 shots per game, while Saarbrucken takes 13.0.
First-half and second-half trends
MSV Duisburg leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Saarbrucken leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
MSV Duisburg's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (11 goals). For Saarbrucken, it is minutes 0-15 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
3. Liga games average 3.10 goals. Both teams score in 63% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
MSV Duisburg displays impressive home form with a 69% win rate and only one defeat in home matches this season. The hosts score an average of 2.08 goals per home game, with a 15% conversion rate and a favorable goal difference of +14. Saarbrücken, on the other hand, performs poorly away, winning just 7% of matches and conceding an average of 1.57 goals, coupled with a negative goal difference of -8. The visitors' recent form is better (5 matches unbeaten), which could increase the probability of a draw. The hosts' xG advantage (1.75 vs 1.44) and home dominance clearly favor MSV Duisburg; however, Saarbrücken's solid recent form suggests the visitors could put up resistance and lead to a close result.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| MSV Duisburg | Saarbrucken | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Saarbrucken is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - MSV Duisburg · 1.8 pts / game - Saarbrucken
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
MSV Duisburg is 27% better for: goals scored per game.
1.74 goals / game - MSV Duisburg · 1.37 goals / game - Saarbrucken
MSV Duisburg is 16% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.22 goals / game - MSV Duisburg · 1.41 goals / game - Saarbrucken
MSV Duisburg scores in 78% of games (21 of 27 meczów), while Saarbrucken keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 meczów).
Saarbrucken scores in 74% of games (20 of 27 meczów), while MSV Duisburg keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - MSV Duisburg
Over / Under - Saarbrucken
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
MSV Duisburg is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / game - MSV Duisburg · 1.26 pts / game - Saarbrucken
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MSV Duisburg - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Saarbrucken - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 26%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
MSV Duisburg
Saarbrucken
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| MSV Duisburg | Liga | Saarbrucken | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.96 | 3.10 | ▼ 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | • 63% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 63% | 63% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 22% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 76% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 83% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from MSV Duisburg's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Saarbrucken. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of MSV Duisburg vs Saarbrucken?
The 3. Liga match finished MSV Duisburg 4:2 Saarbrucken. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before MSV Duisburg vs Saarbrucken?
MSV Duisburg score 1.74 goals per game on average and Saarbrucken 1.37. The 3. Liga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 63% of MSV Duisburg's matches and 67% of Saarbrucken's.
What form are MSV Duisburg and Saarbrucken in?
Over the last 5 games MSV Duisburg have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Saarbrucken 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MSV Duisburg vs Saarbrucken?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for MSV Duisburg vs Saarbrucken: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.