MSV Duisburg vs Viktoria Köln: match statistics
MSV Duisburg vs Viktoria Köln: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
MSV Duisburg played against Viktoria Köln in 3. Liga (Germany). The game was played on May 16, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
MSV Duisburg has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Viktoria Köln has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
MSV Duisburg scores 1.76 goals per game and allows 1.30. Viktoria Köln scores 1.35 and allows 1.41. Games in this league average 3.17 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 65% of MSV Duisburg's games and 46% of Viktoria Köln's. The Over 2.5 rates are 65% and 54%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
MSV Duisburg has the higher season xG average, 1.51 to 1.40 per game. MSV Duisburg takes 12.3 shots per game, while Viktoria Köln takes 11.4.
First-half and second-half trends
MSV Duisburg leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 1.03 goals per game after halftime. Viktoria Köln leads at halftime in 35% and scores 0.73 after halftime.
When the teams score
MSV Duisburg's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). For Viktoria Köln, it is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
3. Liga games average 3.17 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
MSV Duisburg (3rd) holds a clear edge — at home they win 78% of matches, scoring 2.17 goals on average with an xG of 1.61 and 5.67 shots on target per game. Viktoria Köln (11th) averages 1.39 goals away, has xG 1.32 and 4.11 shots on target, and has managed only 4 goals with 2 wins in their last 5 matches. Defensively Duisburg concedes 1.00 goal at home with xG against 1.32, while the visitors concede 1.39 goals away with xG against 1.53, indicating a numerical defensive advantage for the hosts. Home shooting efficiency is 17% versus Viktoria’s 13%, and the hosts failed to score in only 6% of home games compared to the visitors’ 33% of away matches, which further favors MSV. Considering Duisburg’s 10 goals in the last 5 matches versus Viktoria’s 4 and recent points per game 2.0 vs 1.2, I expect a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In the season MSV Duisburg have BTTS at 47% and Viktoria Köln 44%, while the league average is 64% — this indicates the league generally favors a both teams to score scenario. However, the last 5 matches show clear asymmetry: MSV have BTTS 80%, scoring on average 2.0 goals and conceding 1.2, whereas Viktoria have BTTS 20%, scoring 0.8 and conceding 1.6. xG data shows both sides create chances: MSV xG for 1.48 versus Viktoria xG against 1.53, and Viktoria xG for 1.32 versus MSV xG against 1.29 — meaning roughly 1.3–1.5 xG is generated by each side. MSV have scored 65 and conceded 48 this season, Viktoria have 50 scored and 52 conceded, and the league averages 3.17 goals per match, which supports BTTS; however Viktoria have scored only 4 goals in their last 5 matches (0.8 per match), limiting their probability to score. Considering the league BTTS level of 64%, MSV’s high recent BTTS (80%) and Viktoria’s weaker attacking form (0.8 in last 5), I forecast BTTS 'Yes' at 62% versus 38% for 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistical analysis favors the Over 1.5 market: MSV Duisburg has 74% of matches over 1.5 goals and Viktoria Köln 83%, yielding roughly a 78% probability for Over 1.5. xG indicates combined offensive activity of 2.81 goals — home xG 1.48 and xG against visitors 1.53 imply an expectation of 1.50 for MSV, while visitor xG 1.32 with xG against home 1.29 yields about 1.31 for Viktoria. MSV scored 10 goals in the last 5 matches (2.0 avg), whereas Viktoria scored 4 in the last 5 (0.8), which further supports the likelihood of at least two goals in the match. Season rates for Over 2.5 are moderate (53% for MSV and 56% for Viktoria, combined ~55%), and Over 3.5 is unlikely (32% for MSV and 28% for Viktoria, combined ~30%). Therefore the strongest signal from the data is Over 1.5 (line 1.5, side: Over).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/1 (home leading at half-time and winning), which I assign 32% due to MSV Duisburg’s form: in the last 5 matches they have a 60% win rate, average 2.0 goals per game and 0.8 goals in the first half, leading at the break in 40% of those matches, while Viktoria in their last 5 have a 40% win rate and only 0.4 goals by half-time (lead at the break 20%). Over the season Viktoria have led at half-time in 39% of matches versus Duisburg’s 32%, but xG and shot metrics favor the home side: xG_for 1.48 vs 1.32, xG_against 1.29 vs 1.53, shots on target 4.95 vs 4.11 and average shots 12.11 vs 10.67. The first half rarely features goals from both teams (both teams to score in the first half occurs in 5% of home matches and 11% of away matches), whereas at least one goal in the first half is common (over 0.5 first half: Duisburg 74%, Viktoria 78%), so I expect a 1-0 or similar home lead at the break rather than 1-1. The second half should consolidate Duisburg’s advantage — in the last 5 matches the home side have overturned results and averaged 2.0 goals per game — therefore I also assign a moderate 20% probability to X/1 (draw at half-time, home win) and 15% to X/X (draw at half-time and at full-time). I assign lower probability to outcomes ending in a Viktoria Köln win (total 14% for an away win: 1/2 3% + X/2 5% + 2/2 6%), due to the home side’s superior efficiency and xG in recent matches.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| MSV Duisburg | Viktoria Köln | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
MSV Duisburg is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - MSV Duisburg · 1.2 pts / game - Viktoria Köln
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
MSV Duisburg is 30% better for: goals scored per game.
1.76 goals / game - MSV Duisburg · 1.35 goals / game - Viktoria Köln
MSV Duisburg is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.3 goals / game - MSV Duisburg · 1.41 goals / game - Viktoria Köln
MSV Duisburg scores in 78% of games (29 of 37 meczów), while Viktoria Köln keeps a clean sheet in 30% (11 of 37 meczów).
Viktoria Köln scores in 68% of games (25 of 37 meczów), while MSV Duisburg keeps a clean sheet in 30% (11 of 37 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - MSV Duisburg
Over / Under - Viktoria Köln
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
MSV Duisburg is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / game - MSV Duisburg · 1.32 pts / game - Viktoria Köln
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
MSV Duisburg - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 51%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Viktoria Köln - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
MSV Duisburg
Viktoria Köln
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| MSV Duisburg | Liga | Viktoria Köln | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.05 | 3.17 | ▼ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | • 65% | 64% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 65% | 64% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 21% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 76% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 82% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from MSV Duisburg's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Viktoria Köln. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of MSV Duisburg vs Viktoria Köln?
The 3. Liga match finished MSV Duisburg 1:1 Viktoria Köln. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before MSV Duisburg vs Viktoria Köln?
MSV Duisburg score 1.76 goals per game on average and Viktoria Köln 1.35. The 3. Liga average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 65% of MSV Duisburg's matches and 46% of Viktoria Köln's.
What form are MSV Duisburg and Viktoria Köln in?
Over the last 5 games MSV Duisburg have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Viktoria Köln 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for MSV Duisburg vs Viktoria Köln?
The statistical background for MSV Duisburg vs Viktoria Köln — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.