Tanzania - Ligi kuu BaraData current as of 23 July 2026

Mtibwa Sugar vs Dodoma Jiji: match statistics

Mtibwa Sugar crest
Mtibwa Sugar
0 : 1half-time 0:1
Dodoma Jiji crest
Dodoma Jiji

Mtibwa Sugar vs Dodoma Jiji: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Mtibwa Sugar play Dodoma Jiji in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match date is 6 May 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 0:1.

Current form

Mtibwa Sugar: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Dodoma Jiji: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Mtibwa Sugar scores 0.83 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Dodoma Jiji scores 0.83 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.17 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Mtibwa Sugar 50%, Dodoma Jiji 33%. Over 2.5: Mtibwa Sugar 53%, Dodoma Jiji 37%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.

xG, shots and style

Dodoma Jiji has higher xG: 1.09 vs 1.00. Mtibwa Sugar: 3.5 shots per match, Dodoma Jiji: 5.7.

Match halves

Mtibwa Sugar: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.43. Dodoma Jiji: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.40.

Goals by minute

Mtibwa Sugar: 76-90+ (8 goals). Dodoma Jiji: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ligi kuu Bara: 2.17 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 39%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Match description

I forecast a Mtibwa Sugar win (1). Mtibwa record a 45% win rate at home and average 1.18 goals per home match, while Dodoma Jiji win only 11% of away fixtures and average 0.67 goals on the road. Finishing efficiency favors the hosts: Mtibwa’s home conversion is 16% with 18% of matches without a goal, whereas Dodoma convert at roughly 7% and have 44% of away matches goalless. In the last 5 matches Mtibwa have scored 3 and conceded 10 (2.0 conceded per match on average), while Dodoma have scored 4 and conceded 6, indicating better short-term defensive stability for the visitors. Overall, taking into account the home advantage in finishing and win-rate and the visitors’ poor offensive efficiency away, I assess probabilities at 60% for the home side, 25% for a draw and 15% for the away team.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

50Possession (%)50
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
12Shots12
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
1Shots on target5
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
1.52xG1.71
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
3Corners10
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
95Dangerous attacks82
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
20Fouls18
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
0Cards0
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
0.83Goals scored / match0.83
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
1.6Goals conceded / match1.2
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
29%Average possession43%
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
1.2Shots on target / match1.93
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

3.5Shots per match5.67
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
1.2Shots on target1.93
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
23.8%Shot conversion14.7%
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
29%Possession43%
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
1xG for1.09
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
1.58xG against1.35
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji

Shooting quality

Mtibwa Sugar: Counter-attackingDodoma Jiji: Counter-attacking
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
Accuracy (shots on target)34%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.290.19
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.690.43

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mtibwa Sugar
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
20% W30% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-9-15
0.90 pts / match · goal difference -23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-4-5
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LLWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 0.85Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Dodoma Jiji
LLDDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
27% W37% R37% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-11-11
1.17 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-9
Last 5 away
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 0.87Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Dodoma Jiji is 33% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.6 goals / match - Mtibwa Sugar · 1.2 goals / match - Dodoma Jiji

Mtibwa Sugar scoring profile: mixed

Mtibwa Sugar scores in 57% of matches (17 of 30 matches), while Dodoma Jiji keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).

Dodoma Jiji scoring profile: strong

Dodoma Jiji scores in 53% of matches (16 of 30 matches), while Mtibwa Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).

25Goals scored (season)25
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
48Goals conceded (season)36
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
2.43Average goals in match2.03
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
2Goals scored (last 5)2
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
12Goals conceded (last 5)11
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji

How often they score at least...

57%1 goal53%
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
20%2 goals20%
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
3%3 goals10%
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
3%4 goals0%
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal60%
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
47%2 goals33%
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
27%3 goals20%
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
7%4 goals3%
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

35%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time17%
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
17%Scored in both halves17%
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji

BTTS and goal count

37%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
40%BTTS - last 540%
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji

2nd half

70%Min. 1 goal after half-time60%
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
27%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time3%
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Dodoma Jiji is 94% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.67 pts / match - Mtibwa Sugar · 1.3 pts / match - Dodoma Jiji

Mtibwa Sugar - half-time state
7% leading47% draw47% trailing
Dodoma Jiji - half-time state
23% leading60% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.67Points per match (1st half)1.3
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.43
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
0.87Goals conceded (1st half)0.47
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
1.2Average goals (1st half)0.9
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
33%Clean sheet before half-time73%
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
70%No goal before half-time60%
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji

After half-time (2nd half)

1.03Points per match (2nd half)1.03
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
0.43Goals scored (2nd half)0.4
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
0.73Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
1.17Average goals (2nd half)1
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
53%Clean sheet after half-time57%
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji
60%No goal after half-time70%
Mtibwa SugarDodoma Jiji

Mtibwa Sugar - second-half results

23% W33% R43% P
20
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-16
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding286%

Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Dodoma Jiji - second-half results

17% W53% R30% P
39
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.30
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Mtibwa Sugar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.20
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.4
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-4-6
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Dodoma Jiji - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.40
Goals scored / match0.40.0
Goals conceded / match1.21.0
Average goals in match1.61.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference-4-5
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Mtibwa Sugar
ScoredConceded
4
9
0-15
1
6
16-30
7
11
31-45
3
8
46-60
2
5
61-75
8
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Dodoma Jiji
ScoredConceded
3
10
0-15
3
3
16-30
7
4
31-45
4
2
46-60
1
7
61-75
7
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.23
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
42%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
30%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
20%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Mtibwa Sugar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.58
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+7.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
64%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
184%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.90
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Dodoma Jiji

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.77
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).

Teams vs league

Mtibwa SugarLigaDodoma Jiji
Average goals in match 2.432.17 2.03
Both teams scored 50%35% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 53%39% 37%
Clean sheets 20%39% 40%
Goal before half-time 73%60% 50%
Goal after half-time 70%63% 60%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.17
Average goals per match
35%
Both teams scored
39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.30
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+49%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Mtibwa Sugar 0 - 1 - 0 Dodoma Jiji. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Dodoma Jiji
0 : 0
Mtibwa Sugar

FAQ

What was the result of Mtibwa Sugar vs Dodoma Jiji?

The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Mtibwa Sugar 0:1 Dodoma Jiji. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Mtibwa Sugar vs Dodoma Jiji?

Mtibwa Sugar score 0.83 goals per game on average and Dodoma Jiji 0.83. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Mtibwa Sugar's matches and 33% of Dodoma Jiji's.

What form are Mtibwa Sugar and Dodoma Jiji in?

Over the last 5 games Mtibwa Sugar have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Dodoma Jiji 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mtibwa Sugar vs Dodoma Jiji?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.