Mtibwa Sugar vs Mbeya City: match statistics
Mtibwa Sugar presents decidedly better home form with 67% wins and an impressive +3 goal difference, remaining unbeaten at home this season. The hosts show solid offensive efficiency (1.33 goals per match) and defensive stability (0.33 goals conceded per match, 67% clean sheets). Mbeya City, on the other hand, is in dismal form, losing 4 of their last 5 matches and earning just 0.2 PPG in recent outings. The visitors have poor away stats: 67% losses, a negative -4 goal difference, and 67% of matches without scoring. The clear advantage in expected goals (xG: 1.1 vs 0.89 for the visitors) and possession (54% vs 41%) further supports a confident victory for the hosts.
Mtibwa Sugar vs Mbeya City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mtibwa Sugar played against Mbeya City in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The game was played on January 21, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Mtibwa Sugar has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Mbeya City has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 0.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Mtibwa Sugar scores 0.56 goals per game and allows 0.56. Mbeya City scores 0.60 and allows 1.30. Games in this league average 1.72 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 22% of Mtibwa Sugar's games and 10% of Mbeya City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 11% and 30%, compared with league averages of 25% for BTTS and 25% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Mbeya City has the higher season xG average, 1.03 to 0.99 per game. Mtibwa Sugar takes 3.9 shots per game, while Mbeya City takes 5.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Mtibwa Sugar leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.22 goals per game after halftime. Mbeya City leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.30 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mtibwa Sugar's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). For Mbeya City, it is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligi kuu Bara games average 1.72 goals. Both teams score in 25% of games, and 25% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mtibwa Sugar presents decidedly better home form with 67% wins and an impressive +3 goal difference, remaining unbeaten at home this season. The hosts show solid offensive efficiency (1.33 goals per match) and defensive stability (0.33 goals conceded per match, 67% clean sheets). Mbeya City, on the other hand, is in dismal form, losing 4 of their last 5 matches and earning just 0.2 PPG in recent outings. The visitors have poor away stats: 67% losses, a negative -4 goal difference, and 67% of matches without scoring. The clear advantage in expected goals (xG: 1.1 vs 0.89 for the visitors) and possession (54% vs 41%) further supports a confident victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mtibwa Sugar | Mbeya City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 49% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Mtibwa Sugar is 500% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Mtibwa Sugar · 0.2 pts / game - Mbeya City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mbeya City is 7% better for: goals scored per game.
0.56 goals / game - Mtibwa Sugar · 0.6 goals / game - Mbeya City
Mtibwa Sugar is 132% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.56 goals / game - Mtibwa Sugar · 1.3 goals / game - Mbeya City
Mtibwa Sugar scores in 33% of games (3 of 9 meczów), while Mbeya City keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 meczów).
Mbeya City scores in 30% of games (3 of 10 meczów), while Mtibwa Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 56% (5 of 9 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mtibwa Sugar
Over / Under - Mbeya City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mbeya City is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / game - Mtibwa Sugar · 1 pts / game - Mbeya City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mtibwa Sugar - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Mbeya City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mtibwa Sugar
Mbeya City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Mtibwa Sugar | Liga | Mbeya City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.11 | 1.72 | ▲ 1.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 22% | 25% | ▼ 10% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 11% | 25% | ▲ 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 56% | 46% | ▼ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 44% | 41% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 33% | 53% | ▲ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Mtibwa Sugar vs Mbeya City?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Mtibwa Sugar 2:1 Mbeya City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mtibwa Sugar vs Mbeya City?
Mtibwa Sugar score 0.56 goals per game on average and Mbeya City 0.60. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 1.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 25% of games. Both teams score in 22% of Mtibwa Sugar's matches and 10% of Mbeya City's.
What form are Mtibwa Sugar and Mbeya City in?
Over the last 5 games Mtibwa Sugar have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Mbeya City 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mtibwa Sugar vs Mbeya City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Mtibwa Sugar vs Mbeya City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.