Tanzania - Ligi kuu BaraData current as of September 07, 2026

Mtibwa Sugar vs Namungo: match statistics

Mtibwa Sugar crest
Mtibwa Sugar
1 : 1half-time 1:1
Namungo crest
Namungo
155%(0.00)
X30%(0.00)
215%(0.00)

Mtibwa Sugar boasts impressive home form with an 83% win rate at home and a streak of five consecutive victories at their own stadium. The hosts are unbeaten in home matches this season, keeping clean sheets in half of their games and conceding an average of just 0.5 goals per match. Namungo displays poor away efficiency with just a 20% win rate and 40% losses, scoring an average of only 0.6 goals per away match. Mtibwa Sugar's positive goal difference (+6) in home matches contrasts with Namungo's negative goal difference (-3) on the road. Despite Namungo's good recent overall form (2.6 points per match), their evident struggles in away fixtures and the hosts' dominance on home turf argue in favor of a Mtibwa Sugar victory.

Mtibwa Sugar vs Namungo: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Mtibwa Sugar played against Namungo in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The game was played on February 7, 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

Mtibwa Sugar has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.20 points per game. Namungo has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Mtibwa Sugar scores 0.83 goals per game and allows 0.58. Namungo scores 0.91 and allows 0.73. Games in this league average 1.75 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 33% of Mtibwa Sugar's games and 36% of Namungo's. The Over 2.5 rates are 25% and 9%, compared with league averages of 27% for BTTS and 25% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Namungo has the higher season xG average, 1.07 to 0.99 per game. Mtibwa Sugar takes 3.8 shots per game, while Namungo takes 6.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Mtibwa Sugar leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.42 goals per game after halftime. Namungo leads at halftime in 18% and scores 0.73 after halftime.

When the teams score

Mtibwa Sugar's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Namungo, it is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ligi kuu Bara games average 1.75 goals. Both teams score in 27% of games, and 25% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Mtibwa Sugar boasts impressive home form with an 83% win rate at home and a streak of five consecutive victories at their own stadium. The hosts are unbeaten in home matches this season, keeping clean sheets in half of their games and conceding an average of just 0.5 goals per match. Namungo displays poor away efficiency with just a 20% win rate and 40% losses, scoring an average of only 0.6 goals per away match. Mtibwa Sugar's positive goal difference (+6) in home matches contrasts with Namungo's negative goal difference (-3) on the road. Despite Namungo's good recent overall form (2.6 points per match), their evident struggles in away fixtures and the hosts' dominance on home turf argue in favor of a Mtibwa Sugar victory.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

1 : 1
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

51Possession (%)49
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
8Shots6
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
2Shots on target4
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
1.13xG1.18
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
1Corners3
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
66Dangerous attacks70
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
-1Fouls-1
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
-1Cards-1
Mtibwa SugarNamungo

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Mtibwa SugarNamungo
0.83Goals scored / game0.91
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
0.58Goals allowed / game0.73
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
34%Average possession42%
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
1.67Shots on target / game2
Mtibwa SugarNamungo

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

3.83Shots per game6.36
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
1.67Shots on target2
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
21.7%Shot conversion14.3%
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
34%Possession42%
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
0.99xG for1.07
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
1.51xG against1.18
Mtibwa SugarNamungo

Shooting quality

Mtibwa Sugar: Counter-attackingNamungo: Counter-attacking
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
Accuracy (shots on target)44%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.260.17
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.500.46

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Namungo is 18% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / game - Mtibwa Sugar · 2.6 pts / game - Namungo

Mtibwa Sugar
DDWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
42% W42% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-2
1.67 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
DWWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 0.95Opponent xG: 1.74BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Namungo
WWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
45% W36% R18% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-2
1.73 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-2
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LDLWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Namungo is 10% better for: goals scored per game.

0.83 goals / game - Mtibwa Sugar · 0.91 goals / game - Namungo

Mtibwa Sugar is 26% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.58 goals / game - Mtibwa Sugar · 0.73 goals / game - Namungo

Mtibwa Sugar scoring profile: mixed

Mtibwa Sugar scores in 50% of games (6 of 12 meczów), while Namungo keeps a clean sheet in 45% (5 of 11 meczów).

Namungo scoring profile: strong

Namungo scores in 82% of games (9 of 11 meczów), while Mtibwa Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 50% (6 of 12 meczów).

10Goals scored (season)10
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
7Goals conceded (season)8
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
1.42Average goals per game1.64
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
6Goals scored (last 5)6
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
3Goals conceded (last 5)1
Mtibwa SugarNamungo

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal82%
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
33%2 goals9%
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
0%3 goals0%
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
0%4 goals0%
Mtibwa SugarNamungo

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal55%
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
8%2 goals9%
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
0%3 goals9%
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
0%4 goals0%
Mtibwa SugarNamungo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

27%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time0%
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
25%Scored in both halves0%
Mtibwa SugarNamungo

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
60%BTTS - last 520%
Mtibwa SugarNamungo

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time64%
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Mtibwa SugarNamungo

2nd half

50%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time18%
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Mtibwa SugarNamungo

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Namungo is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.75 pts / game - Mtibwa Sugar · 0.91 pts / game - Namungo

Mtibwa Sugar - half-time state
0% leading75% draw25% trailing
Namungo - half-time state
18% leading36% draw45% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.75Points per game (1st half)0.91
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
0.25Goals scored (1st half)0.18
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.45
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
0.75Average goals (1st half)0.64
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
50%Clean sheet before half-time55%
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
75%No goal before half-time82%
Mtibwa SugarNamungo

After half-time (2nd half)

1.75Points per game (2nd half)2.09
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
0.42Goals scored (2nd half)0.73
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
0.08Goals conceded (2nd half)0.27
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
0.5Average goals (2nd half)1
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
92%Clean sheet after half-time82%
Mtibwa SugarNamungo
58%No goal after half-time36%
Mtibwa SugarNamungo

Mtibwa Sugar - second-half results

42% W50% R8% P
9
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.75
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime-0.4

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Namungo - second-half results

64% W18% R18% P
10
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.91
PPG before half-time
Lead holding250%

Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Mtibwa Sugar - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.802.60
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game0.60.0
Average goals per game1.00.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1+4
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Namungo - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.202.60
Goals scored / game0.21.0
Goals allowed / game0.20.0
Average goals per game0.41.0
1 goal40%80%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%100%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference0+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 20% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Mtibwa Sugar
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
3
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
0
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Namungo
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
2
0
46-60
4
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.52
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.8 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
87%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
35%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
41%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Mtibwa Sugar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.52
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.77
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.93
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Namungo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.45
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
160%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
62%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.87
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).

Teams vs league

Mtibwa SugarLigaNamungo
Average goals per game 1.421.75 1.64
Both teams scored 33%27% 36%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 25%25% 9%
Clean sheets 50%44% 45%
Goal before half-time 50%47% 64%
Goal after half-time 50%55% 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.75
Average goals per game
27%
Both teams scored
25%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
44%
Clean sheets
1.18
Home goals / game
0.57
Away goals / game
+107%
Home attack advantage
+52%
Home defensive advantage
+33%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
47%
1 goal
18%
2 goals
3%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
55%
1 goal
16%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Mtibwa Sugar vs Namungo?

The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Mtibwa Sugar 1:1 Namungo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Mtibwa Sugar vs Namungo?

Mtibwa Sugar score 0.83 goals per game on average and Namungo 0.91. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 1.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 25% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Mtibwa Sugar's matches and 36% of Namungo's.

What form are Mtibwa Sugar and Namungo in?

Over the last 5 games Mtibwa Sugar have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Namungo 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mtibwa Sugar vs Namungo?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.