Mtibwa Sugar vs Pamba Jiji: match statistics
Mtibwa Sugar presents impressive home form with 75% of matches won at home and a goal difference of +4, remaining unbeaten at their own stadium this season. The hosts are in excellent disposition, winning four of their last five matches overall (wdww in the last 5 home matches), which shows their stability and confidence in front of their own crowd. Pamba Jiji, despite a higher table position, presents weaker away form with only 25% away victories and 50% of matches ending in a draw, indicating difficulties in securing points away from home. Additionally, the visitors have lower xG values away (0.64) compared to the hosts' xG at home (1.13), suggesting lower offensive efficiency for Pamba Jiji in away games. Considering Mtibwa Sugar's advantage in home matches, their great unbeaten run at home, and the visitors' struggles to win on the road, the most probable scenario is a victory for the hosts, although Pamba Jiji's solid defense (50% clean sheets away) may make the match competitive.
Mtibwa Sugar vs Pamba Jiji: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Mtibwa Sugar played against Pamba Jiji in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The game was played on January 25, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Mtibwa Sugar has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Pamba Jiji has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Mtibwa Sugar scores 0.70 goals per game and allows 0.60. Pamba Jiji scores 1.22 and allows 0.67. Games in this league average 1.71 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 30% of Mtibwa Sugar's games and 33% of Pamba Jiji's. The Over 2.5 rates are 20% and 44%, compared with league averages of 25% for BTTS and 26% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Pamba Jiji has the higher season xG average, 1.10 to 1.02 per game. Mtibwa Sugar takes 4.4 shots per game, while Pamba Jiji takes 3.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Mtibwa Sugar leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.30 goals per game after halftime. Pamba Jiji leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.22 after halftime.
When the teams score
Mtibwa Sugar's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). For Pamba Jiji, it is minutes 0-15 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ligi kuu Bara games average 1.71 goals. Both teams score in 25% of games, and 26% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mtibwa Sugar presents impressive home form with 75% of matches won at home and a goal difference of +4, remaining unbeaten at their own stadium this season. The hosts are in excellent disposition, winning four of their last five matches overall (wdww in the last 5 home matches), which shows their stability and confidence in front of their own crowd. Pamba Jiji, despite a higher table position, presents weaker away form with only 25% away victories and 50% of matches ending in a draw, indicating difficulties in securing points away from home. Additionally, the visitors have lower xG values away (0.64) compared to the hosts' xG at home (1.13), suggesting lower offensive efficiency for Pamba Jiji in away games. Considering Mtibwa Sugar's advantage in home matches, their great unbeaten run at home, and the visitors' struggles to win on the road, the most probable scenario is a victory for the hosts, although Pamba Jiji's solid defense (50% clean sheets away) may make the match competitive.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Mtibwa Sugar | Pamba Jiji | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 53% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.61 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Pamba Jiji is 22% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Mtibwa Sugar · 2.2 pts / game - Pamba Jiji
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Pamba Jiji is 74% better for: goals scored per game.
0.7 goals / game - Mtibwa Sugar · 1.22 goals / game - Pamba Jiji
Mtibwa Sugar is 12% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.6 goals / game - Mtibwa Sugar · 0.67 goals / game - Pamba Jiji
Mtibwa Sugar scores in 40% of games (4 of 10 meczów), while Pamba Jiji keeps a clean sheet in 56% (5 of 9 meczów).
Pamba Jiji scores in 67% of games (6 of 9 meczów), while Mtibwa Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 50% (5 of 10 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Mtibwa Sugar
Over / Under - Pamba Jiji
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Pamba Jiji is 90% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.7 pts / game - Mtibwa Sugar · 1.33 pts / game - Pamba Jiji
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Mtibwa Sugar - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Pamba Jiji - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Mtibwa Sugar
Pamba Jiji
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Mtibwa Sugar | Liga | Pamba Jiji | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.30 | 1.71 | ▲ 1.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 30% | 25% | ▲ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 26% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 56% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 50% | 42% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 40% | 52% | ▼ 44% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Mtibwa Sugar vs Pamba Jiji?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Mtibwa Sugar 1:0 Pamba Jiji. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Mtibwa Sugar vs Pamba Jiji?
Mtibwa Sugar score 0.70 goals per game on average and Pamba Jiji 1.22. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 1.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Mtibwa Sugar's matches and 33% of Pamba Jiji's.
What form are Mtibwa Sugar and Pamba Jiji in?
Over the last 5 games Mtibwa Sugar have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Pamba Jiji 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Mtibwa Sugar vs Pamba Jiji?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.